Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Punters are treated to take-two of the 2017 Sydney Cup this weekend extending Group 1 autumn racing at Royal Randwick, our updated form guide analysis and betting preview for the staying showdown found below.
The original $2 million Group 1 Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m) on April 8 was a tragically abandoned due to the fall of ill-fated stayer Almoonqith.
A fortnight on and a new-look Sydney Cup field featuring eleven of the first-time around runners plus three new editions faces off as Randwick Race 8 at 3:35pm (AEST) on Saturday afternoon.
Big Duke still leads the Sydney Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au, Darren Weir’s Chairman’s Handicap winner at $3.10 and firming to post his fourth win on the trot.
In 2014 The Offer completed the Chairman’s Handicap – Sydney Cup double and was the last favourite to salute for the punters.
With the addition of Lasqueti Spirit in the Sydney Cup re-run the dynamics of the two mile clash are altered and that could make Big Duke, yet to run out the distance, vulnerable.
The other best in Sydney Cup betting are the Charlie Appleby-trained raiders Penglai Pavilion ($5.50) and Polarisation ($6.50), both dour stayers that will run all day and could prove hard to stop after they both ran in the money in the voided event from Day 2 of ‘The Championships’.
Below we take a fresh look at the full Sydney Cup 2017 form guide facts, betting statistics and race history to uncover value in the markets ahead of Saturday.
2017 Sydney Cup Facts & Form Statistics
- #1 Who Shot Thebarman ($13) runs in his fourth straight Sydney Cup and was involved in the race fall a fortnight ago
- Trainer Chris Waller (15-2-3-1) is one of the most successfully Sydney Cup trainers most recently scoring the quinella in 2015 led by Grand Marshal
- Waller saddles up #1 Who Shot Thebarman along with last year’s runner-up #2 Libran ($18) and #11 Kinema ($26)
- The other previous Sydney Cup winning trainers with a starter on Saturday are: John O’Shea (2-1-0-0) with #3 Tally ($12); and David Hayes (9-1-0-1) with #4 Boom Time ($20) and #7 Harlem ($34) who are two of the new editions to the race on Saturday
- Jockey Corey Brown was first past the post on Polarisation in the no-race Sydney Cup results and is back on the English raider looking for the same result this weekend
- Brown (12-1-1-3) chases a second Sydney Cup victory having also ridden Mr. Prudent to victory in 2001
- The other previous Sydney Cup winning jockeys with a ride on the weekend are: Tommy Berry (5-1-0-0) on #3 Tally, Kerrin McEvoy (11-1-2-1) on #10 Penglai Pavilion and Glen Boss (15-1-2-3) on the favourite #6 Big Duke
- #6 Big Duke ($3.10) is out to be the first Sydney Cup favourite to salute since The Offer (2014) who was also the last horse to complete the Chairman’s Handicap – Sydney Cup double
- Last autumn Gallante (2016) won the Sydney Cup from barrier 11, which has produced just the two winners in the past 30 years
- Barrier 11 belongs this weekend to #4 Boom Time
- Barrier 8 has produced the most Sydney Cup winners (since 1983) with nine champions and is drawn this year by #14 Polarisation ($6.50)
- Stand To Gain (Chairman’s Handicap 10th in 2011) is the only Sydney Cup winner from the past decade to finish worse than fourth in his lead-up run
- The Sydney Cup hopes this weekend that finished first four in their official lead-up runs are: #1 Who Shot Thebarman, #3 Tally, #4 Boom Time, #5 Chance To Dance, #6 Big Duke, #12 Lasqueti Spirit and #14 Polarisation
- Seven of the past 10 Sydney Cup winners came out of the Chairman’s Handicap
- Big Duke (1st), Kinema (5th) and Pentathlon (6th) are the Chairman’s Handicap graduates in the mix this year
- Gallic (2007) – winner of the Adelaide Cup – Sydney Cup double – is the only champion of the latter to have come off a lead-up run outside of Sydney since 2001
- #8 Annus Mirabilis ($26) is this year’s Adelaide Cup winner after the double, but Stuart Webb’s stayer subsequently ran 13th (of 13 runners) in the Mornington Cup in between
- #3 Tally chases the Mornington Cup – Sydney Cup double; the only Sydney Cup winner to back-up off a Melbourne run in over 30 years was Mr. Prudent (Easter Cup 3rd, Caulfield, 2001)
- Four of the past six Sydney Cup winners were five-year-olds; the 5YOs out to add to that form this weekend are: #4 Boom Time, #6 Big Duke, #7 Harlem, #13 Pentathlon and #14 Polarisation
- #12 Lasqueti Spirit ($11) is out to be the first three-year-old Sydney Cup winner since Tie The Knot (1998) and the first filly to take out the classic since Moorilla (1911)
- The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #6 Big Duke (50%) followed by #10 Penglai Pavilion (35%) and #2 Libran (35%)
- The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #6 Big Duke (92%) followed by #3 Tally (68%) and #5 Chance To Dance (36%)
- The stayers with previous winning form over the distance (3200m) are: #1 Who Shot Thebarman (7-1-1-1), #8 Annus Mirabilis (1-1-0-0), #9 Mister Impatience (8-2-0-0), #10 Penglai Pavilion (1-1-0-0) and #13 Pentathlon (5-1-1-0)
- The previous winners at the Randwick track are: #2 Libran (6-2-1-1) and #6 Big Duke (1-1-0-0)
- The gallopers with top Heavy track form are: #1 Who Shot Thebarman (6-1-0-1), #5 Chance To Dance (3-1-1-0), #6 Big Duke (2-2-0-0), #10 Penglai Pavilion (1-1-0-0) and the second emergency #16e Self Sense (5-2-1-1)
Stay tuned for our updated Sydney Cup 2017 betting tips, checking out the comprehensive form guide below in the meantime courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au.
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