Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The race everyone is geared up to see this weekend in Melbourne is the first of the ‘Big 3’ spring majors, a class field of stayers facing off in Saturday’s Caulfield Cup 2015 – betting tips for which are detailed below.
A full line-up of 18 will take to the track in Caulfield Race 9 at 5:40pm (AEST) when the latest edition of the classic $3 million Group 1 BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m) lights up the course.
Favourite in the latest Caulfield Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au, who are offering an incredible Best Tote or SP + 20% on all 10 races on the card, is the autumn’s New Zealand-trained Mongolian Khan ($4.80).
Murray Baker prepares the top four-year-old who has two wins from as many starts over 2400m to date and will be hard to beat with 55kg from a perfect barrier nine, possibly into six, draw on the back of a Caulfield Stakes third.
His biggest threats are the firming Caulfield Cup market mover Snow Sky ($11 into $9.50) who is British horseman Sir Michael Stoute’s maiden starter in the race and the John O’Shea-trained ATC Derby runner-up Hauraki ($9.50) who are the only other single figure fancies.
A host of other livewire chances with genuine claims of becoming the fourth Caulfield Cup winner to salute at double figures in as many years including the Japanese-trained Fame Game ($10) on the rails looking to go back-to-back for Japan after the success of Admire Rakti last year, runner-up in the race 12 months ago Rising Romance ($10) carrying only 53kg and drawn in barrier two, and fellow Group 1 winning mare Set Square ($10) who ran third in the Turnbull Stakes last time out like Fawkner (2013) did before his Caulfield Cup victory two years ago.
So will one of the best in Caulfield Cup betting get the job done or is there a genuine blow-out on the agenda from something like the German import Our Ivanhowe ($26) or Chris Waller’s super-consistent mare Royal Descent ($21) in the outside alley that last produced a winner with Duanden (2012)?
#10 Royal Descent ($21)
Even from the outside alley (22 into 18), the $20 plus odds on offer for Waller’s 2013 ATC Oaks winner Royal Descent are too juicy to ignore. She doesn’t have the best Win Rate (17% one of the worst in this field), but she never runs a bad race. The outside gate produced a winner just three years ago in Dunaden, and her nice 53.5kg weight is a half-kilo less than what she had when fifth to Fawkner in the same race two years back. The Turnbull Stakes has produced four of the past six Caulfield Cup winners and could be the formline to follow again this season.
#6 Mongolian Khan ($4.80)
While the favourites have a poor recent record in the Caulfield Cup with the last to win being Master O’Reilly (2007), there’s plenty of boxes ticked by Mongolian Khan this year. He won this year’s ATC Derby in Sydney over the 2400m so now has two wins from as many starts over the distance he gets back up to this weekend. Drawn to win with that gate and drops from 58kg to 55kg, a very nice weight for an in-form four-year-old on the improve with the best Win Rate of the field (58%).
#14 Rising Romance ($10)
This now David Hayes & Tom Dabernig-trained Kiwi expat ran second in the race last year and is out to go one better and win 12 months later in a rare feat not achieved since Columnist (1946 & 1947). She jumps from barrier two and she’ll run well from an inside alley. Out to atone for a well-back run in the Turnbull Stakes, but she’s ready to do that dropping down to only 53kg that she also had on her back last year. Loves the 2400m (3-1-2-0) and is priced well.
Whether you are backing or sacking our insider Caulfield Cup 2015 betting tips make sure you have access to Best Tote or SP + 20% on all the races at the meeting offered exclusively at Ladbrokes.com.au this Saturday!
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