Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The Carlyon Stakes 2016 is one of two Black-Type features on the Moonee Valley race card on Saturday and betting tips along with the latest odd for the short-distance sprint can be found below.
Due to run as Moonee Valley Race 8 at 5:15pm (AEST), the $120,000 Listed Carlyon Stakes (1000m) field is down to 12 runners after a host of early scratchings.
Manihi Mischief gets the rails run gaining a start as the race’s only emergency with the withdrawal of four original acceptors: #8 Wild Rain (13), #9 Diamond Oasis (14), #10 Beau Rada (7) and #12 Sunday Escape (16).
Leading the updated Carlyon Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au is the classy and consistent Heatherly ($3).
The Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra-trained Lonhro mare is draw well for her first-up start at a track she has a strong record of two wins and a third from three previous runs over.
The four-year-old is also well-suited to the distance (5-2-2-1), but fitness may not be on her side as she hasn’t raced since her brave third when under a length off the winner Flamberge in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate (1100m) at Caulfield in late February.
The other best fancied Carlyon Stakes betting tips according to the bookies are early market mover Shiraz ($4.50) for Tony McEvoy, the Lloyd Kennewell-trained four-year-old mare Viddora ($7.50) who boasts five wins from eight starts at the distance and the Lindsay Park-trained Bel Esprit four-year-old Keen Array ($8).
So can Heatherly return with a win or is there value tipping an upset Carlyon Stakes result this weekend?
#1 Shiraz ($4.50)
McEvoy saddles-up this veteran seven-year-old from a gun barrier three draw with Luke Currie in the saddle first-up. The son of Zariz flies fresh boasting four wins from six resuming runs to date, but is yet to have a run at the tight Moonee Valley circuit. The alley will help him get around his first look at the track and he has the class proven by the Group 1 The Galaxy (1100m) in March at Rosehill. His last start on April 2 was a distant 10th when outclassed in the Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) won by late swooper Chautauqua. He’ll be better off the spell and has plenty of claims.
#3 Keen Array ($8)
Craig Williams is booked to ride this gelding whose last start was over 1200m at Moonee Valley when third to Stellar Collision in the autumn. He comes off a winter spell without a trial, but the 1000m first-up should suit as he has won two from four over the distance to date. Was second to Japonisme in Flemington’s Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) down the straight last Melbourne Cup Carnival and if he can produce anything similar to that is a livewire place chance even from the wide barrier.
#5 Heatherly ($3)
Deserving favourite and she could prove hard to hold out even though she’s coming off a lengthy let-up. Her form last time in was outstanding including a Group 2 win and the Group 1 placing both over 1100m at Caulfield in February. She also handles the Valley without an issue (3-2-0-1) and she won her last start here as the odds-on favourite by three lengths back in early January. If she hasn’t lost any flare over the spell, she could win.
Check out the full Carlyon Stakes 2016 odds below then follow the links for your favourites to lock them in for the win at the right price through Ladbrokes.com.au!
2016 Carlyon Stakes Odds
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