The Ben, Will & JD Hayes-trained Cox...
2023 Caulfield Guineas Results
- 1st: #6 Griff
- 2nd: #5 Veight
- 3rd: #4 Steparty
2023 Caulfield Guineas Tips
Stay tuned for our insider Caulfield Guineas 2023 Tips for the three-year-old milers to back and sack in this season’s $3 million classic.
To Win: #1 Militarize ($2.80 at time of publish) – BET NOW
Great edition of the Caulfield Guineas with a few form lines to consider, but happy to stick with the Chris Waller-trained favourite Militarize who heads south for the first time. The gun Dundeel colt is now a three-time Group 1 winner after flashing from nowhere to score the Golden Rose over 1400m right on the line last start. He is proven at a mile having saluted in Randwick’s Champagne Stakes at elite level as a two-year-old and should appreciate the 1600m again now. The ‘Magic Man’ Joao Moreira retains the ride. The horse needs to answer a few questions like the gate (12) and racing the Melbourne way for the first time, but is the class horse from the best stable going too good to ignore with natural progression now third-up and fit.
The Danger: #4 Steparty ($4 at time of publish) – BET NOW
Really hard to leave out an undefeated three-year-old in this year’s Caulfield Guineas tips. It has been a while since a horse completed the Prelude – Guineas double in Melbourne with Helmet (2011) the last to do so. Still, think this Paul Preusker-trained Artie Schiller colt could come close. He is five-from-five and continues to impress as the bar is raised. He only just got there last time out however, so needs to improve again up to a mile now. Group 1 acid test but he is drawn to get the run of the race from a mid-field gate and has the upside to challenge.
The Roughie: #10 Wolfy ($14 at time of publish) – BET NOW
Have had this Nick Ryan-trained galloper pegged for a big run on Saturday since the field came out. Preferred him at 20/1 earlier in the week, but he remains value into $14 now as the big Caulfield Guineas market mover. Blake Shinn comes aboard the in-form, Kiwi-bred Tivaci colt who chases a third win on the trot. He’ll need to go to another level having only broken his maiden status two back at Sale, but was impressive with 59.5kg over 1420m at Flemington in a BM64 on September 24. Caught the eye there, has been set for this, and a top three run would not surprise as he comes in with confidence.
Betting on the Group 1 $3 million Caulfield Guineas (1600m) each October during the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival is big business and the Caulfield Guineas tips are some of the season’s most sought after.
The race is only open to three-year-old gallopers and the Caulfield Guineas tips are out as soon as the field is released the Tuesday before the race runs at Caulfield Racecourse that Saturday, one week before Caulfield Cup Day back at the track.
Caulfield Guineas Favourite
Caulfield Guineas favourites have a good recent record when it comes to the Caulfield Guineas results over the past 10 years or so. Between 2006 – 2016 five of the 11 Caulfield Guineas winners jumped favourites in the Caulfield Guineas betting markets, giving the punters’ picks nearly a 50% strike rate in that time. Despite a huge upset in 2017 by 100/1 shot Mighty Boss, the favourite was back in form with The Autumn Sun saluting for the punters in 2018 on the back of a Golden Rose Stakes win in Sydney.
The latest favourites to salute for the punters in the Caulfield Guineas are Press Statement (2015), The Autumn Sun (2018), Ole Kirk (2020), Anamoe ($2.10 in 2021) and Golden Mile ($2.70 in 2022).
In that same recent period of Caulfield Guineas history, only two winners jumped at double figures with Starspangledbanner ($13 in 2009) and All Too Hard ($12 in 2012) meaning you should look for the shorter-priced three-year-olds in the Caulfield Guineas odds when doing your tips.
There were blowout odds on offer for the 2023 Caulfield Guineas winner Griff who won at $31.
Caulfield Guineas Lead Up Races
One of the best Caulfield Guineas tips is to look at the lead-up form of the runners in the field. History shows there are two stand-out lead-up races that have provided more Caulfield Guineas winners than any other events.
Sydney’s Group 2 Stan Fox Stakes (1500m) provided back-to-back Caulfield Guineas winners in Melbourne with both Shooting To Win (2014) and Press Statement (2015) completing the double, before Divine Prophet (2016) improved on a lead-up second in the Stan Fox Stakes before his Group 1 win. The Stan Fox Stakes now runs after the Caulfield Guineas as the Callander-Presnell over a mile and no longer serves as a lead-up into the event.
In 2022 Golden Mile backed-up from his Caulfield Guineas victory heading to Sydney to win the Callander-Presnell race becoming the first horse to do the double.
The traditional lead-up race is the Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) held a fortnight earlier at the same track over 200m shorter. The last Caulfield Guineas winner to come off a run in the Prelude was Super Seth (5th in 2019). Recent winners of the Prelude – Caulfield Guineas double include Helmet (2011) and Anacheeva (2010).
Caulfield Guineas Fillies
Previously betting on fillies in the Caulfield Guineas was risky with most trainers aiming their fillies at the Thousand Guineas instead which was held on either Caulfield Guineas Day or soon after. No filly has won the race since 1976.
In 2023 the Thousand Guineas has been shifted to late November giving fillies a shot at the double.
With that said, you can still pick fillies as part of exotic bets, especially if they have performed well in any or the lead up races or in races at the same distance.
You need to be careful about relying on fillies to beat the boys, but the longer odds they are assured to have in the Caulfield Guineas can make exotic bets that include them payoff incredibly well.
Caulfield Guineas Barrier Draw
Early Caulfield Guineas tips are nearly always thrown into disarray after the barrier draw is released. This is simply the risk you take when you go with longer early odds, but a bad barrier draw does not mean the end of the world.
For the most part, the Caulfield Guineas barrier draw won’t have much of an effect on a horse’s chances unless they draw beyond barrier 8. Beyond barrier 8 things get difficult and horses have struggled to win from there, in which case you should consider putting your favourite horse in a box trifecta with a few selections rather than placing a win bet.
From 2006 – 2016 just two Caulfield Guineas winners saluted from a double-digit barrier draw with Whobegotyou (11 of 16) in 2008 and Press Statement (14 of 16) in 2015. Barrier one is the most successful Caulfield Guineas barrier in recent times producing four winners since 2009 including Divine Prophet (2016). Backing youngsters drawn the inside alley then is a good Caulfield Guineas betting tip.
The latest Caulfield Guineas winning barrier was 15 with Griff overcoming the wide gate to lead-all-the-way and win the 2023 race.
Current Caulfield Guineas Tips
For the most up-to-date Caulfield Guineas tips in the lead up to the race, be sure to check out our horse racing news pages! We offer tips on all the big Spring Racing Carnival events to help our readers make better picks.