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Nepotism

Group 1 Caulfield Guineas Odds Update, Late Mail & Tips

Lucy Henderson October 11, 2025

Group 1 Caulfield Guineas Odds Update, Late Mail & Tips

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One of the season’s key Group 1 races for three-year-olds takes place today, Saturday October 11, at Caulfield Racecourse with the 2025 Caulfield Guineas stealing the show in Melbourne with punters keen to get in on the action of the stallion-making showdown.

Below, the Races.com.au team look at the updated Caulfield Guineas odds, late mail, and provide their expert tips for the $3 million event.

Nepotism
Can Champagne Stakes winner Nepotism return to form in today’s Caulfield Guineas? Photo: Bradley Photos.

Caulfield Guineas Track Report

  • Rail: True Entire Circuit
  • Weather: Overcast Total
  • Dual Track Meeting: N
  • Track Type: Turf
  • Track Rating: Good 4
  • General Comment: Finalised 11/10 – 7:45am / Late Scratching R8 N6
  • Irrigation: 6mm last 24 hours, 28mm last 7 days
  • Rainfall: nil last 24 hours, 2.6mm last 7 days
  • Track Information: Inspection 6AM 11/10; Going Stick- 8.8, Penetrate- 8.6, Shear- 9.6, Soil Moisture- 24.3%

Caulfield Race 8 (4:30PM AEDT) – Caulfield Guineas

Scratchings:

  • 6. Vega For Luck (6) – SCRATCHED (LATE) 11/10, 8:57 am
  • 17. Centu Cavaddi (6) – SCRATCHED 11/10, 6:47 am
  • 18. Regal Award (8) – SCRATCHED 11/10, 6:47 am

The Matt Laurie trained VEGA FOR LUCK (6) was a late scratching from the 2025 Caulfield Guineas field on vet’s advice.

Runner-up in the Prelude at his latest, he looked a genuine roughie inclusion at a great price before being withdrawn having shown signs of stiffness.

The field will now be run under capacity with the first emergency already officially scratched prior to the late omission.

Market Moves

Standout Market Mover:

  • No. 8 Navy Pilot – $12 into $6

Favourite:

  • No. 2 Wodeton – $4.20 into $3.30

Other Market Firmers:

  • No. 1 Rivellino – $23 into $21
  • No. 4 Nepotism – $19 into $16

Market Drifts:

  • No. 3 Vinrock – $6 out to $9.50
  • No. 5 West Of Swindon – $13 out to $17
  • No. 9 Autumn Boy – $3.70 out to $4.20
  • No. 12 Hillier – $51 out to $71
  • No. 13 Stay Cosmic – $35 out to $51
  • No. 14 Planet Red – $16 out to $26
  • No. 15 Romantic Encounter – $81 out to $21

Rank Outsider:

  • No. 11 Prestige Ole – $71 out to $91

Speed Map Predictions

  • Leaders: No. 15 Romantic Encounter, No. 16 Observer
  • Midfield: No. 2 Wodeton, No. 5 West Of Swindon, No. 9 Autumn Boy, No. 11 Prestige Ole, No. 12 Hillier, No. 14 Planet Red
  • Off Midfield: No. 1 Rivellino, No. 8 Navy Pilot, No. 13 Stay Cosmic
  • Off Pace: No. 3 Vinrock, No. 7 Highvol, No. 10 Space Rider
  • Backmarkers: No. 4 Nepotism

Late Mail Contenders

Wodeton and Autumn Boy are locked in a tight battle for favouritism in the 2025 Caulfield Guineas, with Vinrock and Navy Pilot offering value plays.

Nepotism and Planet Red are emerging as late mail smokies.

No. 4 Nepotism (9) is attracting late interest as a forgotten Group 1 winner. Blake Shinn takes over and the step up to 1600m suits. Could be the blowout.
Caulfield R8 – Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas (G1)
Final Race time: 
7th
4. Nepotism (9)
J: Blake Shinn 57kg
11×98 T: M, W & J Hawkes
19.00WIN
4.80PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:07:37 AM (Australia/Brisbane)
No. 14 Planet Red (5) has been finding the line well and looks overs at his current price. Maps to settle midfield and finish strong.
Caulfield R8 – Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas (G1)
Final Race time: 
2nd
14. Planet Red (5)
J: Jordan Childs 57kg
1×143 T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
31.00WIN
7.00PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:07:37 AM (Australia/Brisbane)
No. 3 Vinrock (11) has drifted slightly but remains a key contender if he can overcome the wide draw. Forgivable last one and a proven Group 1 winner ready to bounce back.
Caulfield R8 – Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas (G1)
Final Race time: 
4th
3. Vinrock (11)
J: Mark Zahra 57kg
1×415 T: Matt Laurie
10.00WIN
3.10PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:07:37 AM (Australia/Brisbane)
No. 9 Autumn Boy (1) is expected to peak third-up and gets the gun draw in barrier one. Damian Lane sticks.
Caulfield R8 – Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas (G1)
Final Race time: 
1st
9. Autumn Boy (1)
J: Damian Lane 57kg
11×27 T: Chris Waller
4.20WIN
1.80PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:07:37 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Top Tips

  • Best Bet: Wodeton – Rock-hard fit, strong Golden Rose form, and ready to break through.
  • Best Each Way: Vinrock – Proven class, just needs luck from the draw.
  • Best Roughie: Nepotism – Group 1 winner with upside at the mile

Lucy Henderson’s Same Race Multi Selections ($16 at time of publish)

  • Top 2 – No. 2 Wodeton
  • Top 3 – No. 9 Autumn Boy
  • Top 4 – No. 4 Nepotism
Caulfield R8 – Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas (G1)
Final Race time: 
1st
9. Autumn Boy (1)
J: Damian Lane 57kg
11×27 T: Chris Waller
4.20WIN
1.80PLACE
7th
4. Nepotism (9)
J: Blake Shinn 57kg
11×98 T: M, W & J Hawkes
19.00WIN
4.80PLACE
10th
2. Wodeton (7)
J: James McDonald 57kg
4×242 T: Chris Waller
2.80WIN
1.45PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:07:37 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Caulfield Guineas 2025 Results

Caulfield R8 - Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas (G1)
Final Race time: 
1st
9. Autumn Boy (1)
J: Damian Lane 57kg
11x27 T: Chris Waller
4.20WIN
1.80PLACE
2nd
14. Planet Red (5)
J: Jordan Childs 57kg
1x143 T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
31.00WIN
7.00PLACE
3rd
16. Observer (6)
J: Ethan Brown 57kg
215x2 T: Ciaron Maher
20.00WIN
5.00PLACE
4th
3. Vinrock (11)
J: Mark Zahra 57kg
1x415 T: Matt Laurie
10.00WIN
3.10PLACE
5th
12. Hillier (14)
J: Luke Currie 57kg
x1243 T: Annabel & Rob Archibald
91.00WIN
15.00PLACE
6th
8. Navy Pilot (2)
J: Jamie Melham 57kg
37x21 T: Ciaron Maher
8.00WIN
2.60PLACE
7th
4. Nepotism (9)
J: Blake Shinn 57kg
11x98 T: M, W & J Hawkes
19.00WIN
4.80PLACE
8th
1. Rivellino (3)
J: Craig Williams 57kg
5x466 T: Kris Lees
17.00WIN
4.40PLACE
9th
5. West Of Swindon (13)
J: Ben Melham 57kg
0x421 T: Ciaron Maher
17.00WIN
4.40PLACE
10th
2. Wodeton (7)
J: James McDonald 57kg
4x242 T: Chris Waller
2.80WIN
1.45PLACE
11th
10. Space Rider (8)
J: Beau Mertens 57kg
4x174 T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
51.00WIN
9.50PLACE
12th
15. Romantic Encounter (10)
J: Daniel Stackhouse 57kg
12 T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes
23.00WIN
5.50PLACE
13th
13. Stay Cosmic (12)
J: Thomas Stockdale 57kg
22x25 T: Phillip Stokes
67.00WIN
12.00PLACE
14th
7. Highvol (15)
J: Declan Bates 57kg
1x764 T: Nick Ryan
34.00WIN
7.00PLACE
15th
11. Prestige Ole (4)
J: Harry Coffey 57kg
12x59 T: Matt Laurie
126.00WIN
18.00PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:07:37 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

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