2023 PB Lawrence Stakes Results: Cox Plate Hope Mr Brightside Salutes First-Up
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The Caulfield Cup 2017 tips are flooding in ahead of the opening leg of the Spring Cups double on Saturday and history shows the four-year-old horses in the mix are statistically the best to back.
There are 17 hopefuls in the Group 1 $3 million BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m) this year, the race running under the 18-starter capacity after the withdrawal of injured Japanese import Admire Deus on Tuesday morning.
Of the confirmed Caulfield Cup horses there are four four-year-old fancies looking to add to the imposing record of this age group from the past 30 plus years.
Since 1983 there have been 18 Caulfield Cup winning four-year-olds including the past two on the trot with Mongolian Khan (2015) and Jameka (2016) both also starting favourite.
The last time a trio of four-year-olds won the Caulfield Cup in successive years was 2003-05 and before that it was 1999-2001, with only the then six-year-old Fred Kersley-trained Northerly (2002) ruining the run.
It is an open edition of the mile and a half classic this weekend, with Aidan O’Brien’s Irish raider Johannes Vermeer ($4.20) leading the latest Caulfield Cup odds after a lead-up second in the Group 1 Ladbrokes Stakes (2000m) just last Saturday.
Below though we have a look at the four-year-old chances in Caulfield Cup betting to decide if ATC Derby winner Jon Snow, the Hawkes Racing-trained Inference, one-time favourite Bonneval or the roughie hope Hardman are a winning chance.
Verdict: Brings into the race the same form as the stable’s 2015 winner and is a live-wire hope at a nice price.
Odds: $12
Breeding: by Iffraaj from Orinda
Age: 4YO
Sex: Stallion
Trainer: Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman (NZ)
Owners: Zame Partnership
Jockey: Stephen Baster
Barrier: 6
Weight: 54.5kg
Lead-Up Run: 3rd, Group 1 Ladbrokes Stakes (2000m), Caulfield, 14/10/2017
Verdict: Would need to be improving notably to turn the tables on those ahead of him in the Ladbrokes Stakes last weekend.
Odds: $14
Breeding: by So You Think from Pontiana
Age: 4YO
Sex: Stallion
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes
Owners: Mr L P Maxsted, Mr P C Maxsted, G P I Racing, Mr S J Tuxen, Ms K N Cooper, Mr P K Allen, Mrs C D Allen, Mr G J Hayes
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Barrier: 11
Weight: 53.5kg
Lead-Up Run: 5th, Group 1 Ladbrokes Stakes (2000m), Caulfield, 14/10/2017
Verdict: Can atone for the Ladbrokes Stakes loss and return the 4YO mares to winning Caulfield Cup form with luck from the gate.
Odds: $7.50
Breeding: by Makfi from Imposingly
Age: 4YO
Sex: Mare
Trainer: Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman (NZ)
Owners: Mr A R Lawrence, Mr J A Rattray, Mr T W Jarvis
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Barrier: 14
Weight: 52.5kg
Lead-Up Run: 6th, Group 1 Ladbrokes Stakes (2000m), Caulfield, 14/10/2017
Verdict: There are better horses to get behind and doesn’t have the right lead-up form to suggest a win.
Odds: $41
Breeding: by Redoute’s Choice from Nureyev’s Girl
Age: 4YO
Sex: Stallion
Trainer: David Brideoake
Owners: Mrs S A Moody, Mr M J Bradley, Sir P Hogan, Mr M J Davidson, Mr S Derry, Mr M Fleming, Mrs K Fleming, Mr R J Patterson, Mr E Savaglia, Dr G Tsoi Wai Wang, Krualaya, Tomadachi, Ms R L Cormie, Kahos Racing
Jockey: Craig Newitt
Barrier: 8
Weight: 52.5kg
Lead-Up Run: 2nd, Inglis Cup (2000m), Caulfield, 01/10/2017
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