Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The second Group 1 of the Sydney Spring Racing Carnival takes place at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday with the top three-year-olds facing off in the Golden Rose Stakes 2017, betting tips and the updated odds on the feature detailed below.
All 14 original first acceptors remain in contention for the Group 1 $1 million De Bortoli Wines Golden Rose (1400m) and the red hot favourite is the Gerald Ryan-trained Menari.
Winner of the Group 2 The Run To The Rose (1200m) at the track a fortnight back, the in-form Snitzel colt pays $2 in the latest Golden Rose Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au.
He was impressive in that traditional lead-up into Saturday’s Group 1 and also won the Listed The Rosebud (1100m) first-up so has plenty of form at Rosehill.
Fourth in the Group 1 Golden Slipper Stakes (1200m) at the track as a two-year-old on a Heavy (10) course, Menari has proved this campaign that he is just as affective on good going and he looks the one to beat again.
The other two single-figure fancies after the upset in the Golden Rose results are Peter & Paul Snowden’s Run To The Rose runner-up Pariah ($6) and the undefeated Merchant Navy ($8.50) who is the only runner coming off a non-Sydney lead-up.
So does Menari have the Golden Rose Stakes win in the bag or is there value to be had further down the markets from the likes of Gai Waterhouse’s Stan Fox Stakes winner Gold Standard ($11) or Pariah’s stablemate Assimilate ($14) who looks on the improve?
Earlier we published our comprehensive Golden Rose 2017 Form Guide & Betting Preview, our insider tips on the feature based on the facts and stats uncovered there listed below.
#2 Menari ($2)
He is nearing odds-on favouritism but Menari ticks too many boxes to bet against even at the prohibitive price. The past two favourites have saluted for the favourites and the past three winners all came off a lead-up win in the Run To The Rose. This year’s top fancy was impressive in that and deserves favouritism. He has killer form at Rosehill Gardens, handles all going and the wide draw (11) is a non-issue with three of the past four winners having saluted from double-digits barriers.
#4 Gold Standard ($11)
Money is starting to flow in for Gold Standard ($13 into $11) and it is easy to see a top three finish from this ultra-consistent Sebring colt who has finished first or second in all four career starts so far. Was runner-up in the Up & Coming Stakes two back before putting nearly two lengths on his Rosehill rivals on September 2 to take out the Group 2 Stan Fox Stakes (1500m). Is back to 1400m and will run a good race at a distance a number of his rivals see for the first time on Saturday.
#9 Dracarys ($20)
Three-time Golden Rose winning trainer Peter Snowden has three in this race, including Pariah at the shorter odds, but really think the roughie of his team is a standout for a place at a nice price. Dracarys is drawn the rails and that barrier has produced more winners than any other gate in the past 30 years. Beat Gold Standard in the Up & Coming Stakes last time out and has trialled well since. Manawanui (2011) did the double and there’s a genuine chance this galloper can come close.
Whether you’re backing or sacking our Golden Rose tips, lock-in the top racing odds this weekend through Ladbrokes.com.au.
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