2017 Australian Guineas Form Guide & Betting Preview

March 2, 2017

2017 Australian Guineas Form Guide & Betting Preview

The feature Group 1 race in Melbourne this weekend is the Australian Guineas 2017, a full Flemington form guide and betting preview on the mile classic found below.

Divine Prophet

Divine Prophet is out to become just the second horse to complete the Caulfield Guineas – Australian Guineas double with success in the latter on Saturday. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

Running as Flemington Race 7 at 4:30pm (AEDT) a talented line-up of 16 starters will take to the track for this season’s $750,000 Group 1 Australian Guineas (1600m).

The latest Australian Guineas betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au are firmly led by the CS Hayes Stakes winner Hey Doc ($3.30) after a double last achieved by Wandjina (2015).

Tony McEvoy’s Duporth gelding was impressive winning the Group 3 lead-up at the track a fortnight back by one and a half-lengths, but is out to break a recent hoodoo by Australian Guineas favourites with the last to salute being Light Fantastic back in 2008.

His main dangers looking at the Australian Guineas odds shape-up as the spring’s Caulfield Guineas winner in similar company at the distance Divine Prophet ($9) and the reigning Victoria Derby champion over more distance Prized Icon ($12) second-up at the nice price.

That’s the story told by the bookies but below we take a look over the full Australian Guineas form guide, betting history, statistics and facts to uncover who to back and sack in the race on Saturday.

David Hayes chases a fourth Australian Guineas win with four runners in the 2017 edition including Seaburge

2017 Australian Guineas Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Australian Guineas winner was the Darren Weir-trained Palentino (2016) who came off a CS Hayes Stakes second, jumped from barrier 15 (of 15) and had Mark Zahra aboard for the $10 win
  • Weir is without a runner this Saturday but the previous Australian Guineas winning trainers in the mix are: David Hayes (23-3-2-4) with #3 Seaburge, #12 Snitzon, #14 Harlow Gold and #16 Fuhryk; and Robert Smerdon (4-1-0-0) with #7 Oak Door and #17e Theanswermyfriend
  • Last year’s winning hoop Mark Zahra (5-1-0-1) chases back-to-back victories aboard #3 Seaburge ($11)
  • Craig Newitt (Light Fantastic in 2008 and Heart Of Dreams 2009) was the last jockey to ride successive Australian Guineas winners
Hey Doc is out to become the sixth winner of the CS Hayes Stakes / Australian Guineas double
  • The other previous Australian Guineas winning jockeys with a ride on the weekend are: Craig Williams (10-2-1-0) on #5 Morton’s Fork, Damien Oliver (19-2-3-2) on #8 So Si Bon, Noel Callow (5-2-0-0) on #9 Anaheim, and Brett Prebble (6-1-0-1) on #6 Attention
  • The CS Hayes Stakes has produced the past two Australian Guineas winners with Wandjina (1st in 2015) and Palentino (2nd in 2016)
  • The CS Hayes Stakes graduates in the line-up this year are: Hey Doc (1st), Land Of Plenty (3rd), Morton’s Fork (4th), Inside Agent (5th) and Throssell (11th)
  • #4 Hey Doc is out to become the sixth horse to claim the CS Hayes Stakes – Australian Guineas double and the second to do so in three years
  • The past five Australian Guineas winners came off a top three run; this year that form holds for: #4 Hey Doc, #7 Oak Door, #9 Anaheim, #13 Land Of Plenty, #14 Harlow Gold, #16 Fuhryk and #17e Theanswermyfriend
  • Along with Hey Doc the other last start winners in the mix out of that lot are: #7 Oak Door (Group 2 Autumn Stakes, 1400, Caulfield, 11/02/2017), #16 Fuhryk (Group 3 Kevin Hayes Stakes, 1200m, Caulfield, 11/02/2017) and #17e Theanswermyfriend (Benchmark 64, 1400m, Sandown-Lakeside, 15/02/2017)
  • Last year’s winning barrier (15) has produced just the one winner of the race since 1983 and is drawn this year by #13 Land Of Plenty; #7 Oak Door (18) will come into the barrier if the three emergencies fail to gain a run
  • The most successful Australian Guineas barriers in that time producing six wins are 2 and 7 drawn this autumn by #4 Hey Doc (2) and #14 Harlow Gold (7); #1 Prized Icon (3) and #10 Throssell (8) will come into the gates if the emergencies come out
  • Barrier nine has produced two of the past three Australian Guineas winners; first emergency #17e Theanswermyfriend (9) is drawn gate nine and if he and the other emergencies come out the barrier will belong to #6 Attention (11)
  • Light Fantastic (2008) was the last favourite to salute in the Australian Guineas results; #4 Hey Doc ($3.30) is out to be the net this weekend
  • The other single-figure fancy in Australian Guineas betting this year is #2 Divine Prophet ($9)
  • #2 Divine Prophet is out to become just the second horse to complete the Caulfield Guineas – Australian Guineas double along with Mahogany (1993/94); he is also the first to attempt the double since Helmet (2011/12)
  • Just two fillies have won the race since 2007 with Shamrocker (2011) and Mosheen (2012)
  • The fillies out to beat the boys in the 2017 Australian Guineas field are: #14 Harlow Gold ($16), #15 Legless Veuve ($14) and #16 Fuhryk ($14)
Harlow Gold, Legless Veuve and Fuhryk are the three fillies taking on the colts & geldings in the Australian Guineas field 2017
  • The three-year-olds with previous winning form over the distance (1600m) are: #1 Prized Icon (3-2-0-0), #2 Divine Prophet (2-1-0-1), #4 Hey Doc (3-1-0-1), #5 Morton’s Fork (2-1-1-0), #14 Harlow Gold (2-1-0-0) and #17e Theanswermyfriend (2-1-1-0)
  • The three-year-olds with winning Flemington track form in the race are: #1 Prized Icon (1-1-0-0), #3 Seaburge (5-1-1-0), #4 Hey Doc (3-1-1-0), #7 Oak Door (3-1-0-1), #9 Anaheim (1-1-0-0), #10 Throssell (4-1-0-1), #11 Inside Agent (3-1-1-0) and #12 Snitzeon (2-1-0-0)
  • The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #16 Fuhryk (67%) followed by #12 Snitzon (50%) and #4 Hey Doc (45%)
  • The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #9 Anaheim (100%) who is yet to finish out of the money followed by #4 Hey Doc (73%), #5 Morton’s Fork (73%) and #7 Oak Door (73%)

Stay tuned for our insider 2017 Australian Guineas betting tips to be published shortly and in the meantime check out the full race form guide below courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au – offering Enhanced Australian Guineas odds (Max Bet $100 / T&Cs apply).

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