Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
A top field of three-year-old milers take to the new course proper at Eagle Farm Racecourse this Saturday in Brisbane for the Queensland Guineas 2016, betting tips and the latest odds for the set weights clash found below.
Set to run as Eagle Farm Race 4 at 12:30pm (AEST) on the now 10-race Stradbroke Handicap Day card, this year’s lucrative $400,000 Group 2 Mirvac Queensland Guineas (1600m) field will run at a capacity 18 starters.
Red hot favourite in the latest Queensland Guineas odds at Ladbrokes.com.au paying $2.70 and firming for the win is the in-form Tsaritsa for Sydney’s best Chris Waller.
The Dane Shadow filly has been well supported early to beat home the boys firming in from an opening quote of $3.50 despite her wide barrier 12 draw.
The ‘Magic Man’ Joao Moreira rides the three-time winner who comes off back-to-back Sydney wins including over 1400m at Rosehill on May 21 where she saluted for the punters as the odds-on favourite with a one length success over Royal Tudor.
Despite the bumper size of this year’s Queensland Guineas field there are only two other single-figure hopes in the markets with Tivaci and Sold For Song at an equal $9.50.
The Michael Moroney-trained High Chaparral colt Tivaci is second-up and looking to improve on a first-up fourth to Waller’s Stradbroke Handicap hope this weekend Counterattack in the Group 3 Fred Best Classic (1350m) at Doomben on May 21.
Brisbane’s Damian Browne retains the ride on Tivaci who chases his first win since the Group 3 CS Hayes Stakes (1400m) at Flemington back in February.
Sold For Song has work to do from the outside alley 18 of 18 on the weekend with Queensland’s leading apprentice James Orman booked to ride the Kevin Kemp-trained Collate filly from Toowoomba.
She has won two from six to date and run second a further three times, but needs to improve on her well-beaten 12th in the Fred Best last time out.
The other best in betting at more generous odds for the upset include Desleigh Forster’s Fred Best fifth-placed Rothesay colt Too Good To Refuse ($10) and the Gai Waterhouse-trained Kimberley Star ($10).
So can the shortie Tsaritsa keep the winning streak going or is there a roughie hope ready to strike in the Queensland Guineas on Saturday?
#13 Kimberley Star ($10)
Waterhouse’s nicely-bred Star Witness filly is out to break a notable winning drought going back to August last year, but looks set to strike on the back of a nice Scone Inglis Guineas third in mid-May. She’s been freshened-up since and has form against some nice types including her close sixth when only 1.4 lengths off the winner in last year’s Group 1 Flight Stakes (1600m). She gets the mile again for the first time here and the extras metres should suit, as will the Eagle Farm track.
#2 Tivaci ($9.50)
Lots of boxes ticked by this Group 3 Melbourne winner for Moroney who was disappointing in his later autumn runs back in March before coming back in better form at Doomben in the Fred Best. He was defeated only 2.3 lengths by the classy Counterattack as a $21 shot and will be improving off that run. The mile will be better if you look at his pedigree and he has Browne in the saddle again. He missed the kick in the Fred Best so if he gets away from the gates well here he’s a threat.
#17 Tsaritsa ($2.70)
Firming favourite is deserving of top spot in betting based on the lead-up form this time in when winning twice in restricted company in NSW. Plenty of upside and potential and Moreira adds another advantage. She has to handle the barrier, the step up in grade and a mile, but lots saying she’ll do just that.
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2016 Queensland Guineas Odds
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