They are a Group 1 winner in Sydney from last preparation but can Murray Baker’s Kiwi raider It’s A Dundeel get back to their best with another elite level win in the 2013 Randwick Guineas this weekend?
The High Chaparral colt enjoyed a nice win over the odds-on favourite Proisir in the Group 1 Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) at Randwick last October and shoot for their first victory since in Saturday’s $500,000 Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m).
They will be second-up for the season after returning to Sydney on March 2 when a credible fourth behind Pierro in the Group 2 Hobartville Stakes (1400m) on a Heavy (9) Rosehill track.
It will be a similar field of rivals, minus the winner who is being saved for the Group 1 Canterbury Stakes (1300m) Saturday week, that It’s A Dundeel will face in the Randwick Guineas.
Also coming via that race is the runner-up Rebel Dane who won the Royal Sovereign Stakes the start before and third placegetter Proisir who managed to turn the tables on It’s A Dundeel there.
The latest Randwick Guineas betting odds are led by the Gary Portelli-trained market mover Rebel Dane ($2.80) who is tipped to handle their first run over the mile they way they have handled all other tests put to them so far.
It’s A Dundeel meanwhile occupies the third line of betting at $6.50 also trailing Proisir ($3.40).
So does It’s A Dundeel stand a chance of a form return here? Or will they be running for the minor placings again?
#1 It’s A Dundeel – Horse Form
- Barrier: 2
- Jockey: James McDonald
- Trainer: Murray Baker
- Owners: Mr A I Craig, Mrs W A Craig, Mr M M Andersen, Mrs J P Andersen, Mr M J Craig, Mrs S S Craig, Mr D C Morison, Ms J E Morison, Mr G P Chaplow, Mrs T P Andersen, Mr M P Brown, Mrs J M Brown, Mr T J Joyce, Mrs J Joyce, Mr A M Muollo, Mrs G Muollo, Mr D Focas, Mrs A F Focas
- Age: 3YO
- Gender: Colt
- Breeding: by High Chaparral from Stareel
- Career: 8-5-1-0
- Win: 62.50%
- Place: 75.00%
- Last 6: 1127×4
- Prize Money: $490,905
- Track: 0-0-0-0
- Distance: 1-1-0-0
- Current 2013 Randwick Guineas Odds: $6.50
Why It’s A Dundeel Can Win the Randwick Guineas 2013
- Has gate two so no ground to make up if they get a clear run
- Is a Group 1 winner in Sydney in the Spring Champion Stakes over 2000m last season
- Hasn’t raced over exactly 1600m before but did win over 1580m at Canterbury and over 1800m in the Group 3 Gloaming Stakes at Randwick in the spring
- May have finished behind the lies of Rebel Dane and Proisir in the Hobartville but really caught the eye there when a brave fourth coming from the back of the field
- Unbeaten second-up
- Top hoop James McDonald stays on having ridden them for all eight of their starts to date
- Right pedigree to win this race with another son of High Chaparral – Shoot Out – having taken out the 2010 Randwick Guineas
- Good winning strike rate of 62.50% with five wins from eight starts
Why It’s A Dundeel Can’t Score an Upset 2013 Randwick Guineas Result
- Racing style of this horse would suggest a wider barrier would suit better here
- Mile too short?
- Rain predicted which would work against them – they prefer it a little firmer
- Needs to beat home #7 Rebel Dane ($2.80) and #3 Proisir ($3.40) who got the better of them last start
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