2013 Queensland Oaks Form Guide & Betting Preview

The headline race of the weekend runs in Brisbane on Saturday with Eagle Farm Racecourse to host a hot edition of the Queensland Oaks, the 2013 form guide analysis and betting preview for which are detailed below.

Dear Demi

Dear Demi is the only previous Group 1 winner in Saturday's Queensland Oaks 2013 field. Photo: Race Horse Photos Australia.

Set to run as Eagle Farm Race 7 at 3:40pm (AEST) this year’s $400,000 Group 1 XXXX Gold Queensland Oaks (2400m) features a full field of 18 three-year-old fillies.

Two of those are battling for favouritism in the Queensland Oaks odds with Crown Oaks winner Dear Demi narrowly ahead at $3.40 over the progressive Gondokoro ($4).

The other major players in the markets are then the Kris Lees-trained Gold Coast Bracelet winner Express Power ($9), Peter Moody’s last start Melbourne winner Miss Zenella ($11), Gai Waterhouse’s undefeated Porcellanus ($12) and their stablemate Vaquera ($12).

But are these fillies really the ones to back in your Queensland Oaks betting this weekend?

Or is there an upset on the cards form a longer priced hopeful, the race known for its upsets with four of the past 11 Queensland Oaks winners jumping at $16 or more.

To make sure you’re on the best chances in the big one this Saturday the Races.com.au team have gone over the Queensland Oaks field, form guide and betting history and come up with the below must know facts and stats on the race.

2013 Queensland Oaks Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Queensland Oaks winner was the John Sargent-trained Kiwi raider Quintessential who came off a fourth place finish in the Group 3 The Roses (2000m), jumped from barrier one (of 17) and was ridden by Damien Brown
  • The Doomben Roses is the ultimate form line for the Queensland Oaks having produced seven of the past 10 winners
  • Many of the Queensland Oaks hopes this year come via The Roses the best of which are #1 Dear Demi (1st), #4 Gondokoro (2nd), #8 Vaquera (3rd), #11 Magic In Motion (4th), #10 Just As Cosmic (5th), #3 Soapy Star (6th), #5 Express Power (7th), #6 Fantisha (8th) and #2 Kazanluk (9th)
  • Note that #1 Dear Demi however is out to become just the second filly in the past 11 years to win The Roses – QLD Oaks double joining Scarlett Lady (2011)
  • Last year’s winning barrier meanwhile belongs on Saturday to second fancy #4 Gondokoro ($4)
  • Barrier one is the equal most successful Queensland Oaks barrier in the past 30 years producing four winners along with gate four which belongs to this year to #9 Antarctic Dream ($101)
  • The next best barriers have then been five and 12 with three winners each; this year those belong to #8 Vaquera ($12) and #15 Miss Zenella ($11) respectively
  • #4 Gondokoro is also out to become the fourth New Zealand-bred filly to win the Queensland Oaks in as many years
  • The other New Zealand-bred fillies in the mix this year are then #8 Vaquera, #15 Miss Zenella, #17 Porcellanus and #18 The Last Shower
  • Being undefeated in their two career starts to date #17 Porcellanus ($12) boasts the best Win Rate of the field with 100% followed by #10 Just As Cosmic (42.86%), #5 Express Power (40%) and #15 Miss Zenella (40%)
  • The highest Place Rate belongs of course to #17 Porcellanus (100%) again followed this time by #5 Express Power ($9), #11 Magic In Motion ($31) and #15 Miss Zenella ($11) all with 80%
  • There are two last start winners in the mix this year with #15 Miss Zenella (RST Handicap 68, 1700m, Sale, 12/05/2013) and #17 Porcellanus (BM74 Handicap, 1600m, Warwick Farm, 19/05/2013)
  • Just two fillies in the field meanwhile have previous winning form at Eagle Farm with #6 Fantisha (3-1-0-0) and #11 Magic In Motion (3-1-1-1)
  • None of the competitors have won over the 2400m and just two have run top three over the distance with the two top fancies #1 Dear Demi (1-0-1-0) and #4 Gondokoro (1-0-0-1)
  • This is a sort of false statistic however as it doesn’t factor in those with form over 2500m – the distance Dear Demi won the Group 1 Crown Oaks over last spring
  • There is a good likelihood the Queensland Oaks will be run on a Slow – Heavy track this weekend and those fillies with the best wet track records are #1 Dear Demi, #4 Gondokoro, #3 Soapy Star and #7 Proper Madam
  • Fillies paying $16 or more shouldn’t be discounted with four at these odds (averaging $29) have won in the past 11 years
  • This year’s favourite #1 Dear Demi ($3.40) is the only previous Group 1 winner in the field
  • Favourites have saluted for the punters three times in the past 10 years at an average price of $4, and eight times in the past three decades

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider Queensland Oaks betting tips later in the week.

Think you’ve already picked the winner? Head over to bookmaker.com.au now and place your bets at the best possible prices making sure to check out their exclusive Pick Your Own Queensland Oaks Odds!

2013 Queensland Oaks Field & Form Guide

Eagle Farm Race 7 – 3:40pm (AEST) – 01/06/2013

# Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. AS Days API Career W% P% Last 6
1. DEAR DEMI C E Conners Nash Rawiller 3 56.5 3yoF 7 $67,555 22: 6 4 4 27.27% 63.64% 105216
2. KAZANLUK Anthony Freedman Kerrin Mc Evoy 8 56.5 3yoF 14 $18,091 11: 2 1 2 18.18% 45.45% x52469
3. SOAPY STAR K A Lees Hugh Bowman 10 56.5 3yoF 14 $12,859 16: 5 2 5 31.25% 75.00% 143226
4. GONDOKORO P G Carey Rhys Mc Leod 1 56.5 3yoF 14 $13,468 12: 1 1 2 8.33% 33.33% x71432
5. EXPRESS POWER K A Lees Jimmy Cassidy 2 56.5 3yoF 14 $17,496 10: 4 3 1 40.00% 80.00% 421217
6. FANTISHA Steven O’dea Timothy Bell 9 56.5 3yoF 14 $10,533 15: 2 2 3 13.33% 46.67% 256178
7. PROPER MADAM Jason Warren Christian Reith 16 56.5 3yoF 21 $13,357 13: 2 0 0 15.38% 15.38% 405684
8. VAQUERA Ms G Waterhouse Michael Rodd 5 56.5 3yoF 14 $8,273 8: 2 2 1 25.00% 62.50% x21103
9. ANTARCTIC DREAM Bruce Hill Brenton Avdulla 4 56.5 3yoF 14 $7,500 16: 3 1 1 18.75% 31.25% 4×0900
10. JUST AS COSMIC Steven Wilson Chris Munce 14 56.5 3yoF 14 $8,752 7: 3 0 0 42.86% 42.86% 641115
11. MAGIC IN MOTION R L Heathcote Glen Colless 18 56.5 3yoF 14 $6,995 10: 3 4 1 30.00% 80.00% 12×114
12. ZOMBIE DANCER G Eurell Michael Walker 17 56.5 3yoF 14 $7,551 7: 2 1 2 28.57% 71.43% 1×2830
13. GERMAYNE LASS Desleigh Forster Ryan Wiggins 15 56.5 3yoF 14 $4,075 10: 3 0 1 30.00% 40.00% x40390
14. IRELAND’S TEARDROP A J Cummings Peter Robl 7 56.5 3yoF 13 $4,221 12: 1 1 0 8.33% 16.67% 40×449
15. MISS ZENELLA P G Moody Luke Nolen 12 56.5 3yoF 20 $6,945 5: 2 1 1 40.00% 80.00% 521×31
16. PHANTOM CALLER P J Balzen Paul Hammersley 6 56.5 3yoF 10 $3,246 13: 2 1 1 15.38% 30.77% 801017
17. PORCELLANUS Ms G Waterhouse Tim Clark 13 56.5 3yoF 13 $16,065 2: 2 0 0 100.00% 100.00% 11
18. THE LAST SHOWER M D Moroney Eddie Wilkinson 11 56.5 3yoF 15 $952 9: 1 1 2 11.11% 44.44% x31528

*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change

*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au