Can Australian Guineas Betting Favourite We Can Say It Now Win?

March 2, 2011

Can Australian Guineas Betting Favourite We Can Say It Now Win?

An impressive field of 16 starters plus four emergencies make up this year’s 2011 Australian Guineas field with Kiwi filly We Can Say It Now the favourite in the Guineas odds, so here the Races.com.au team take a look at the chances the punters’ pick has of winning on Saturday.

The $750,000 Group 1 Australian Guineas (1600m) highlights a top race-card at Flemington this Saturday March 5 and is scheduled to run as Race 6 at 4:05pm (AEDST).

After the final field for the Australian Guineas was released this morning, We Can Say It Now remained at the top of the betting markets at a quote of $6 through Luxbet.

Prepared in New Zealand by Murray & Bjorn Baker, We Can Say It Now is a star on her home turf having won four of her eight career starts including two Group 1 events.

Last year the speedy daughter of Starcraft won back-to-back Group 1 races over the mile in NZ including the Captain Cook Stakes by an impressive four lengths.

First-up this year We Can Say It Now ran a convincing fifth behind King Mufhasa in the Group 1 Waikato Draught Sprint (1400m) on February 12.

Her good form over the mile means We Can Say It Now continues to gain support from the punters to become the 2011 Australian Guineas winner despite not having raced on Aussie turf before or faced any of her Guineas rivals before.

So will the favourite salute or can one of the other quality three-year-olds such as in-form Ascot galloper Playing God, last start CS Hayes Stakes winner Bullbars or unbeaten filly Southern Speed claim an upset in the Australian Guineas 2011 on Saturday?

Why We Can Say It Now Can Win the 2011 Australian Guineas

– Has drawn barrier 12 and a little wider suits this big filly who needs room to race

– Is one of the three fillies in the field meaning she carries just 53.5kg – We Can Say It Now has carried up to 57kg to victory

– In-form hoop Craig Williams is booked for the ride who won the Australian Guineas aboard Miss Finland in 2007

– Good record over the Australian Guineas distance of 1600m with two wins from three starts over the mile

– Has a good second-up record of one win and a second from two attempts

– May not have raced in Australia but has had two promising gallops at Flemington in preparation for the Guineas

– Proven performer against older horses

Why She Can’t

– Even if she moves into barrier 10 with the emergencies not gaining a start on Saturday, history is against We Can Say It Now as no Australian Guineas has won from a double-digit barrier

– Her Group 1 victories were over much weaker fields than she faces here

– We Can Say It Now ran fifth last-start and no Australian Guineas winner has come off a worse than fourth place finish at their most recent run

– Fourteen fillies have contested the Australian Guineas over 1600m and only two have been successful – Triscay (1991) and Miss Finland (2007)

– No New Zealand-trained horse has won the Australian Guineas to date

To back the favourite in the Australian Guineas or to tip an upset with a longer-priced contender head to Luxbet for the guaranteed best Australian Guineas odds and wagering options!

2011 Australian Guineas Horse Form

#15 We Can Say It Now (12)

(by Starcraft from We Can’t Say That)

  • Weight: 53.5kg
  • Trainers: Murray & Bjorn Baker (Cambridge NZ)
  • Jockey: Craig Williams
  • Prize Money: $244,386
  • Career: 8-4-1-0
  • 1600m: 3-2-0-0
  • Win %: 50
  • Place %: 63
  • Current Australian Guineas Odds: $6 Luxbet

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Brave Smash to race in Chris W...

Rogerson Dreams of 2018 Melbou...

Rogerson Dreams of 2018 Melbourne Cup Win with Surrey

A son of triple Melbourne Cup hero Makybe Diva, Surrey, could develop into a...

The Everest 2018 Field to Feat...

The Everest 2018 Field to Feature Redzel

Inaugural champion Redzel has officially secured his position in the 2018 The...

2018 The Everest Field Takes S...

2018 The Everest Field Takes Shape: In Her Time Confirmed

She missed out on a shot at the world’s richest race on turf last spring but...

Trapeze Artist Secures 2018 Th...

Trapeze Artist Secures 2018 The Everest Slot for Aquis

The first official slot in The Everest 2018 field has been confirmed with...

Horse Racing Today

Calanda to carry top weight in...

Tradesman is top weight for 20...

Tradesman is top weight for 2018 Tattersall’s Cup

Ipswich Cup winner Tradesman has been given the top weight for Saturday’s...

Bumper Nominations for 2018 Ta...

Bumper Nominations for 2018 Tattersall’s Club Tiara

The last Group 1 of the current racing season is set to have a capacity field...

Moss ‘N’ Dale chal...

Moss ‘N’ Dale challenging for favouritism in 2018 Eye Liner Stakes betting

Victorian sprinter Moss ‘N‘ Dale is making a solid bid for favouritism for the...

Final field of 11 for 2018 Ips...

Final field of 11 for 2018 Ipswich Cup

A final field of eleven will line up in the 2018 Listed $175,000 Channel 7...

Race Results

Viewed Victorious in Caulfield Cup

Race 1 Result – $101 500 AGL Renewable Energy Stakes – She’s Got Gears Wins

Race 2 – $101,500 Schiavello Plate – Avienus Wins

Race 3 – $101 500 Lavazza A Modo Mio – Linton Street Wins

Race 4 Results – $151,500 Listed Herald Sun Stakes – Strawberry Field Wins

Race Previews

2009 Caulfield Cup Barrier Draw Announced

Who Are the Top Contenders for Tomorrow’s Caulfield Cup?

Victoria Derby in sight for Onemorenomore

2009 Melbourne Cup Field

Eclipse Stakes Final Field & Preview

Fields & Form

SA Fillies Classic 2013 Field Released

The Goodwood Day Fields – National Stakes 2013

Adelaide Cup Winner Riayla Heads RA Lee Stakes Field 2013

Linton Continues Stradbroke Handicap 2013 Campaign in Adelaide

Can Moody Score Second Goodwood With Moment Of Change?