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2025 Moonee Valley Vase winner Observer

2025 Victoria Derby Field & Betting Update: All Eyes on Observer

Lucy Henderson October 29, 2025

2025 Victoria Derby Field & Betting Update: All Eyes on Observer

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The stallion-making Victoria Derby 2025 race headlines the action in Melbourne on Saturday as the Melbourne Cup Carnival gets underway at Flemington and all eyes are on last weekend’s Moonee Valley Vase winner Observer who is dominant favourite in the three-year-old staying showdown.

2025 Moonee Valley Vase winner Observer
Observer is the hot 2025 VRC Derby favourite after his Vase win last weekend. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

The Group 1 $2 million Victoria Derby (2500m) is one of three elite levels on the weekend race card at HQ as the countdown to Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup race heats up.

Victoria Derby betting at Ladbrokes.com.au is firmly led by the Ciaron Maher trained Observer at a short $2.10 on the quick back-up after his powerhouse Vase win at The Valley on Cox Plate Day.

The progressive Ghaiyyath colt Observer was far too strong for his rivals saluting as the odds-on favourite over the 2040m and looks cherry ripe to go back-to-back on successive Saturdays up in grade and distance.

Observer is short favourite to complete the Vase - VRC Derby double for the first time since Efficient in 2006!

Improving on his lead-up third in the Caulfield Guineas in the Vase, he was given a bold front-running ride by Mark Zahra to lead the field by a big margin and give a great kick around the home bend holding on to beat the fast-finishing Providence by a half-length.

Efficient (2006) was the last three-year-old to complete the Moonee Valley Vase – VRC Derby double and there’s plenty of money coming for Observer to be the next.

Observer drew a dream in gate four and the flying Zahra sticks aboard in another plus.

The danger occupying the next line of betting at $6 through Ladbrokes.com.au and currently the only other single figure contender also out of the Vase is Providence who was enormous the closing stages running out of his skin to make up all the ground and finish second.

Chris Waller‘s Wootton Bassett colt improved out of sight on his lead-up eighth in the Gloaming Stakes in Sydney relishing the Melbourne way of racing and extra distance in the Vase.

Three-time Victoria Derby winning trainer Chris Waller saddles-up a livewire chance to run down the favourite with Providence out to go one better than his second in last Saturday's Vase!

He just ran out of room to run down Observer but could be the value to turn the tables up further in trip this weekend out to hand Waller his fourth VRC Derby victory.

Craig Williams is a nice replacement for J-Mac in the saddle with the only query being the wide gate (12).

Waller will also saddle up one of the dark horses in the Derby field with the consistent Savisanta ($23) looking to break through at a huge price.

The son of Savabeel comes via a third in the Listed Geelong Classic (2200m) on October 23, a race that has produced a number of recent Derby placegetters.

Mark Walker‘s Geelong Classic winner Azazel is also an underrated value runner in the Group 1 on Saturday at $21 to do the double.

Michael Dee sticks aboard the lightly raced and progressive son of former Melbourne Cup winner Shocking who is bred to get the distance.

Another last start winner in the mix with genuine claims is Autumn Mystery ($12) with Rory Hunter‘s The Autumn Sun gelding chasing a hat-trick.

Autumn Mystery has suffered an early blow drawing wide in his attempt to be the first horse since Polanski (2013) to complete the Caulfield Classic - VRC Derby double!

A proven Flemington performer having won at the track two back over 1800m when narrowly beating Engine Of War, he rose in grade last time out to salute in the Group 3 Caulfield Classic (2000m).

To date five horses have completed the Caulfield Classic – Victoria Derby double: Omnicorp (1987), Nothin’ Leica Dane (1995), Blackfriars (1999), Amalfi (2001), and most recently Polanski (2013).

Blake Shinn continues associations this weekend, but their chances have been hampered by a nasty barrier 17 draw.

The best of the rest include the Tony & Calvin McEvoy trained Options ($13) who won the Listed Super Impose Stakes at the track before his Vase fifth placing, the Vase third placegetter O’sheamus ($16) for O’Shea & Charlton, Nick Ryan‘s Maurice gelding Miewa ($18) coming off back-to-back seconds in good company, and the early market mover Arabian Prince ($18) to be ridden by Craig Williams from the outside alley.

The 2025 Victoria Derby is set to run as Flemington Race 7 at 4:20pm (AEDT) on Saturday’s nine-race card.

Flemington R7
Final Race time: 
1st
1. Observer (4)
J: Mark Zahra57kg
5x231T: Ciaron Maher
2.50WIN
1.50PLACE
2nd
8. Arcora (11)
J: John Allen57kg
31005T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
61.00WIN
11.00PLACE
3rd
16. Deal Done Fast (1)
J: Daniel Stackhouse57kg
244T: Matt Cumani
31.00WIN
6.50PLACE
4th
13. One Step Closer (2)
J: Jye McNeil57kg
x5104T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton
126.00WIN
18.00PLACE
5th
6. Providence (12)
J: Craig Williams57kg
60382T: Chris Waller
5.00WIN
1.95PLACE
6th
14. Savisanta (3)
J: Ben Melham57kg
2223T: Chris Waller
20.00WIN
4.80PLACE
7th
4. Miewa (8)
J: Jordan Childs57kg
44122T: Nick Ryan
17.00WIN
4.40PLACE
8th
3. Autumn Mystery (15)
J: Blake Shinn57kg
52211T: Rory Hunter
10.00WIN
3.00PLACE
9th
9. O'sheamus (5)
J: Kerrin McEvoy57kg
x4613T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton
10.00WIN
3.10PLACE
10th
5. Options (7)
J: Harry Coffey57kg
11315T: Tony & Calvin McEvoy
12.00WIN
3.40PLACE
11th
11. Engine Of War (9)
J: Tommy Berry57kg
3x127T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
31.00WIN
6.50PLACE
12th
2. Highvol (13)
J: Jamie Mott57kg
76402T: Nick Ryan
35.00WIN
7.50PLACE
13th
10. Amazake (6)
J: Declan Bates57kg
7x673T: Ciaron Maher
71.00WIN
12.00PLACE
14th
15. Mcwoody (14)
J: Jamie Melham57kg
15T: Mark Walker
46.00WIN
9.00PLACE
15th
12. Matsuda (16)
J: Thomas Stockdale57kg
24814T: Ciaron Maher
81.00WIN
13.00PLACE
16th
7. Azazel (10)
J: Michael Dee57kg
141T: Mark Walker
31.00WIN
6.50PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 29/07/2026 03:14:27 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

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