2018 Doncaster Mile Form Guide & Betting Preview

April 5, 2018

2018 Doncaster Mile Form Guide & Betting Preview

The Doncaster Mile 2018 takes centre stage at Royal Randwick Racecourse on Day 1 of ‘The Championships’ this Saturday, our comprehensive form guide and betting preview for which is detailed below.

Happy Clapper

Dual runner-up Happy Clapper is a top hope to go one better and win Saturday’s Doncaster Mile 2018 as a seven-year-old. Photo: Steve Hart.

This autumn’s Group 1 $3 million The Star Doncaster Mile (1600m) has attracted a star-studded line-up of 16 hopefuls with the latest markets led by Godolphin-raced three-year-old Kementari.

Drawn a treat in gate two and getting in on just 51.5kg, the James Cummings-trained Lonhro colt sits top of the Doncaster Mile odds at $3.70 through Ladbrokes.com.au to frank the form out of his third to Winx in the Group 1 George Ryder Stakes (1500m) last time out.

Prior to that the in-form youngster made it three Sydney wins on the trot taking out the Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m) over the Doncaster Mile track / distance against his own kind.

The main danger according to the Doncaster Mile betting markets is the race’s two-time runner-up Happy Clapper ($5) who jumps from barrier one and comes off the second to Winx in the George Ryder.

To see if the best two fancies are the ones to back this weekend below we go over the full Doncaster Mile 2018 form guide, betting history and race statistics.

2018 Doncaster Mile Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Doncaster Mile winner was the Godolphin-raced It’s Somewhat (2017) who backed-up from a win in the Group 2 Ajax Stakes (1500m) and saluted from barrier 8 (of 20) with Zac Purton aboard the $31 outsider in betting
  • Godolphin saddle-up this weekend’s Doncaster Mile favourite in the James Cummings-trained #9 Kementari ($3.70)
  • Favourites in Doncaster Mile betting have won just twice since 2007 and #9 Kementari is out to be the second in three years to salute for the punters along with Winx (2016)
  • The previous Doncaster Mile winning trainers with a runner on the weekend are six-time champion trainer Chris Waller chasing his seventh with #4 Endless Drama ($26), #8 Tom Melbourne ($16), #10 Comin’ Through ($17), #12 Egg Tart ($34), #14 Mister Sea Wolf ($67) and #16 D’Argento ($7); and Gai Waterhouse chasing an incredible eighth Doncaster Mile win with #13 Arbeitsam ($26)
  • The only previous Doncaster Mile winning jockey with a ride in 2018 is Tim Clark on #10 Comin’ Through
  • Last year’s winning barrier (8) has produced just two Doncaster Mile winners (since 1983) and belongs this year to #2 Tosen Stardom ($26)
  • Three of the past four Doncaster Mile winners and seven of the past nine jumped from a double-digit barrier
  • The most successful Doncaster Mile barrier (since 1983) producing five winners is gate 12 drawn this year by #7 Invincible Gem ($31)
  • The next best barriers in that time with four winners each are 10 and 16 belonging on Saturday to #13 Arbeitsam (10) and #14 Mister Sea Wolf (16)
  • No Doncaster Mile winner since Sacred Choice (Ranvet Stakes 5th in 2011) has run worse than fourth in their lead-up; this year that rules out: #2 Tosen Stardom, #7 Invincible Gem and #12 Egg Tart
  • Three of the past six winners came off a lead-up win and the last-start winners in the Doncaster Mile field this year are: #1 Humidor (Group 2 Blamey Stakes, 1600m, Flemington, 16/03/2018), #10 Comin’ Through (Group 2 Ajax Stakes, 1500m, Rosehill, 17/03/2018), #11 Lanciato (Group 3 Newcastle Newmarket Handicap, 1400m, 09/03/2018), #13 Arbeitsam (Group 3 Neville Sellwood Stakes, 2000m, 31/03/2018) and #16 D’Argento (Group 1 Rosehill Guineas, 2000m, 24/03/2018)
  • #1 Humidor ($9) is out to be the first Doncaster Mile winner to come off a non-Sydney lead-up since Sunline (1999) who won that year’s Moonee Valley Oaks
  • The past 18 Doncaster Mile winners had their last start at Rosehill Gardens
  • The other horses to rule out that didn’t race at Rosehill Gardens last start are: #2 Tosen Stardom (Flemington), #4 Endless Drama (Randwick), #11 Lanciato (Newcastle) and #15 Cool Chap (Flemington)
  • #10 Comin’ Through ($17) is out to do the Ajax Stakes – Doncaster Mile double completed last year by It’s Somewhat (2017)
  • #16 D’Argento ($7) is out to be the first Doncaster Mile winner out of the Rosehill Guineas since the also Waller-trained Sacred Falls (2nd in 2013)
  • Seven of the past eight Doncaster Mile winners came off a Group 1 lead-up race
  • Three-year-olds have won the Doncaster Mile twice in the past five years; the 3YOs in the mix this year are single-figure fancies #9 Kementari and #16 D’Argento
  • No seven-year-old has won since Pharaoh (1995); the 7YOs out to break the drought on Saturday are #2 Tosen Stardom, #3 Happy Clapper and #8 Tom Melbourne
  • Three mares have beaten home the boys in the Doncaster Mile results since 2011; the two mares in the field this year are #7 Invincible Gem and #12 Egg Tart
  • Top-weight #1 Humidor (58kg) is out to be the first Doncaster Mile winner since Sunline (58kg in 2002) to carry more than 57.5kg to victory
  • Lightweight #16 D’Argento (49kg) is out to be the first Doncaster Mile winner since Soho Square (47.5kg in 1992) to carry under 50kg to victory
  • The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #16 D’Argento (67%) followed by #12 Egg Tart (46%) and #9 Kementari (40%)
  • The best Place Rate of the field also belongs to #16 D’Argento (83%) followed by #9 Kementari (80%) and #7 Invincible Gem (77%)
  • The horses with the best winning form at the Randwick track are: #3 Happy Clapper (17:6-4-1), #7 Invincible Gem (5:2-1-2), #10 Comin’ Through (7:2-1-2), #5 Prized Icon (11:2-2-3), #6 Crack Me Up (2:2-0-0), #9 Kementari (2:2-0-0), #11 Lanciato (2:1-0-1) and #16 D’Argento (2:1-0-0)
  • Perennial placegetter #8 Tom Melbourne is yet to win at Randwick but is a three-time runner-up from three goes at the track
  • The horses with the best winning record over the mile (1600m) distance are: #1 Humidor (6:4-1-0), #3 Happy Clapper (8:3-3-1), #6 Crack Me Up (7:3-2-0), #5 Prized Icon (5:2-2-0), #12 Egg Tart (4:2-0-0) and #14 Mister Sea Wolf (8:2-1-1)
  • #15 Cool Chap is yet to win over the 1600m but is a three-time runner-up from three goes over the distance

Stay tuned for our insider Doncaster Mile 2018 tips, a full race form guide provided by Ladbrokes.com.au detailed below in the meantime.

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