The Lindsay Park stable are eyeing the Sir...
The latest Group 1 of the Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival takes place at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday with the fillies and mares doing battle in the Coolmore Classic 2018, a full form guide analysis and betting preview for which is detailed below.
There are 18 runners left in this season’s Group 1 $600,000 Coolmore Classic (1500m) after the early withdrawal of the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained filly Shumookh (18) who instead runs against her own age in the Phar Lap Stakes.
The Coolmore Classic field boasts plenty of depth this autumn and the latest markets at Ladbrokes.com.au feature four single-figure hopefuls led by Egg Tart ($6).
Drawn a treat in barrier three, Chris Waller’s dual Oaks winner is looking to return to her gun form as a three-year-old.
The now four-year-old daughter of Sebring raced first-up on March 3 when a length back for fourth to Crack Me Up in the Group 3 Liverpool City Cup (1300m) and is back against her own kind second-up on Saturday.
The dangers according to the Coolmore Classic betting markets include the rails-drawn Raiment for Godolphin who has been well supported early firming in from $10 to $7, Ron Quinton’s last start Guy Walter Stakes winner Dixie Blossoms ($7.50) in gate four and last year’s runner-up Silent Sedition ($8).
To help uncover where the value is at in the race known for its recent string of upset results, below we go over the full Coolmore Classic 2018 form guide, betting history and statistical data.
2018 Coolmore Classic Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Coolmore Classic winner was the Tim Martin-trained Heavens Above (2017) who improved on a lead-up ninth in the Millie Fox Stakes, jumped from barrier 4 (of 19) and was ridden to an upset victory at $26 odds by Tye Angland
- #4 Heavens Above ($21) is back chasing successive Coolmore Classic wins for the first time in the race’s history this time coming off a sixth in the Millie Fox Stakes
- Along with the winner Heavens Above the other top three runners in last year’s Coolmore Classic finishing order all also back-up in the race again in 2018 with: Silent Sedition (2nd), Danish Twist (3rd) and Daysee Doom (4th)
- Tim Martin is after back-to-back Coolmore Classic wins by a trainer with #4 Heavens Above for the first time since Gai Waterhouse (2003-04)
- The other previous Coolmore Classic winning trainers with a runner this weekend are: four-time champion trainer Gai Waterhouse with #5 Prompt Response ($16); dual winner Ron Quinton chasing a third trophy with #1 Dixie Blossoms ($7.50) and #3 Daysee Doom ($12); and Mick Price with #18 Oregon’s Day ($16)
- Dual Coolmore Classic winning hoop Tye Angland after a third win retaining the ride on the reigning champion #4 Heavens Above
- The other previous Coolmore Classic winning jockeys with a ride on Saturday are Corey Brown on #1 Dixie Blossoms ($7.50) Blake Shinn on #5 Prompt Response ($16)
- Last year’s Coolmore Classic winning barrier (4) belongs this year to #1 Dixie Blossoms
- The most successful Coolmore Classic barriers (since 1983) producing four winners each are 2 and 7 drawn this weekend by #14 Francaletta (2) and #2 Silent Sedition (7)
- No Coolmore Classic winner has jumped from wider than barrier 9 since gate 14 produced back-to-back wins in 2009-10
- Favourites in Coolmore Classic betting have a poor recent record with just two saluting since 2009
- #7 Egg Tart ($7) is the current favourite looking to break the hoodoo in this year’s Coolmore Classic
- Five of the past six Coolmore Classic winners jumped at double-figures including the notable 25/1 upset by Heavens Above (2017)
- Along with the favourite #7 Egg Tart the other single-figure fancies looking to buck the trend this weekend are: #13 Raiment ($7), #1 Dixie Blossoms ($7.50) and #2 Silent Sedition ($8)
- No filly has won the Coolmore Classic since Typhoon Tracy (2009); the two remaining three-year-olds in the mix this year are #8 Alizee ($11) and #15 Bring Me Roses ($14)
- Four-year-olds have the best Coolmore Classic record in the past decade with four wins; the 4YOs looking to continue the trend this year are: #5 Prompt Response ($16), #7 Egg Tart ($6), #11 Eckstein ($21), #13 Raiment ($7), #17 Just Dreaming ($21) and #18 Oregon’s Day ($16)
- No Coolmore Classic winner has come off a lead-up win since Ofcourseican (2012)
- There are five last-start winners in the Coolmore Classic field in 2018: #1 Dixie Blossoms (Group 3 Guy Walter Stakes, 1400m, Randwick, 03/04/2018), #2 Silent Sedition (Group 3 Mannerism Stakes, 1400m, Caulfield, 24/02/2018), #3 Daysee Doom (Group 2 Millie Fox Stakes, Rosehill, 1300m 24/02/2018), #12 Flippant (Group 3 Tressady Stakes, 1400m, Flemington, 1400m, 03/03/2018) and #17 Just Dreaming (Provincial Championship, Wyong, 1350m, 03/03/2018)
- #1 Dixie Blossoms is out to be the first Coolmore Classic winner to come off a lead-up run in the Guy Walter since Peeping (3rd in 2016)
- #2 Silent Sedition is out to be the first Coolmore Classic winner to come off a non-Sydney lead-up since Aloha (2011) and the first out of a Caulfield race since Camino Rose (1999)
- The Millie Fox Stakes has produced two of the past three Coolmore Classic winners with Plucky Belle (2nd in 2015) and Heavens Above (9th in 2017) and this year #3 Daysee Doom is out to do the double
- The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #14 Francaletta (60%) followed by #7 Egg Tart (50%) and #3 Daysee Doom (44%)
- The best Place Rate of the field also belongs to the Kiwi raider #14 Francaletta (80%) followed by #15 Bring Me Roses (75%)
- The runners with previous winning form at the Rosehill track are: #3 Daysee Doom (8:4-1-2), #17 Just Dreaming (5:3-2-0), #6 Zanbagh (8:3-0-0), #4 Heavens Above (10:2-4-0), #11 Eckstein (3:1-1-0), #13 Raiment (1:1-0-0) and #16 Slightly Sweet (10:1-0-2)
- The chances with the best winning form over the distance are: #17 Just Dreaming (5:2-3-0), #6 Zanbagh (6:2-0-0), #4 Heavens Above (3:1-2-0), #2 Silent Sedition (2:1-1-0) and #7 Egg Tart (1:1-0-0)
Stay tuned for our insider Coolmore Classic 2018 tips to be published shortly, checking out a comprehensive race form guide below in the meantime courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au.
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