2017 Melbourne Cup Odds Update: No Love for Cismontane

November 7, 2017

2017 Melbourne Cup Odds Update: No Love for Cismontane

There has been absolutely no love for the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained Cismontane in the latest Melbourne Cup 2017 odds with a big drift on the Lexus Stakes winner.

Cismontane

The punters are shying away from Lexus Stakes winner Cismontane in the latest 2017 Melbourne Cup odds for Flemington Race 7 this afternoon. Photo: Steve Hart.

Cismontane was the final horse to secure a spot in the Group 1 $6.25 million Emirates Melbourne Cup (3200m) field with a gutsy effort in last Saturday’s Group 3 $300,000 Lexus Stakes (2500m).

Earning the ballot free ride into the Melbourne Cup field, which is down to 23 runners with Who Shot Thebarman withdrawn on Sunday due to a fever, Cismontane carries the 50kg lightweight in the ‘Race That Stops A Nation’.

No Melbourne Cup winner since Rogan Josh (1999), the late Bart Cummings’ 11th winner of the two mile classic, has carted under 51kg to victory in the race.

Apprentice Beau Mertens rides Cismontane with the High Chaparral five-year-old chasing the Lexus Stakes – Melbourne Cup double for the first time since Shocking (2009).

He put it all in late to hold off Vengeur Masque in the Lexus Stakes on Derby Day and comes down 4kg from his winning weight, but could be cooked having also run the Saturday prior in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup when third.

Cismontane is the obvious pace horse in the Melbourne Cup this year but not sure if he will be able to sustain the up-front ride all the way to the winning post in a two mile race full of better experienced stayers.

The punters seem to have the same opinion and Cismontane has eased out notably in the latest Melbourne Cup betting markets from $34 to $51 at Ladbrokes.com.au to hand Waterhouse her second ‘Loving Trophy’ following her success in 203 with that year’s $7 favourite Fiorente.

The bookies and punters may be shying away from Cismontane winning the Melbourne Cup, but Waterhouse remains confident tipping the horse as an “excellent chance” in an interview with A Current Affair on Melbourne Cup Eve.

“I think he’s got an excellent chance of winning the Cup,” she said.

“Not many horses come from the Lexus, which is the race he won on Saturday, but he’s got a lightweight chance.

“He’s got great intestinal fortitude and he showed that on Saturday.”

The two longest priced Melbourne Cup winners from the past 30 years were Viewed ($41 in 2008) and Prince Of Penzance ($101 in 2015) with the rest of the champions saluting at around $12 – $17 in the markets.

The rough average Melbourne Cup odds on the winners over the past 30 years are $12 - $17

That rough average price of a Melbourne Cup winner stacks up for a number of chances in 2017.

Historically the Melbourne Cup odds work in favour of the likes of the German raider Red Cardinal ($17) jumping from the outside barrier with dual winning jockey Kerrin McEvoy in the saddle, the 2015 runner-up Max Dynamite ($16) and the unknown young European Rekindling ($14).

Of those the punters have backed the Joseph O’Brien-trained Irish visitor Rekindling, who has firmed in from $17 and who has the 2009 winning jockey Corey Brown aboard on 51.5kg from barrier four.

Racing in Australia as a four-year-old, the entire gets the chance to even the score of this age group with the five-year-olds who currently boast the 44 – 43 advantage when it comes to the age of Melbourne Cup winners in history.

To back your selections in the Melbourne Cup 2017 odds at the right price head to Ladbrokes.com.au now.

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2021 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Military Mission Fires in 2023...

Zipping Classic 2023 Field �...

Zipping Classic 2023 Field & Odds Update: Vow And Declare Defends Title

Danny O’Brien’s 2019 Melbourne Cup winner Vow And Declare continues to show a...

Overpass Heads 2023 Winterbott...

Overpass Heads 2023 Winterbottom Stakes Field & Betting Markets

Bjron Baker’s The Everest performer Overpass is tipped to return to winning...

Osipenko Leads The Gong 2023 R...

Osipenko Leads The Gong 2023 Race Field & Betting

The Chris Waller-trained Pierro four-year-old Osipenko is firm favourite in...

2023 Railway Stakes Field ...

2023 Railway Stakes Field & Betting Update: Tuvalu Narrow Favourite

The Lindsey Smith-trained top-weight Tuvalu is narrow favourite in the latest...

Horse Racing Today

2024 Robert Sangster Stakes Re...

Vibrant Sun Shines in 2024 Aus...

Vibrant Sun Shines in 2024 Australasian Oaks Results

Vibrant Sun just held on in a brave effort showing true grit to salute in the...

Seonee Wins Queen Of The South...

Seonee Wins Queen Of The South Stakes 2024

Seonee rolled up and joined the leader Legacy 150m out from the line before...

2024 Tobin Bronze Stakes Resul...

2024 Tobin Bronze Stakes Results: Skybird Soars to Victory

The Mitchell Freedman-trained filly Skybird has scored an impressive win in...

2024 Queen Of The Turf Stakes ...

2024 Queen Of The Turf Stakes Results: Waller Runs Quinella with Zougotcha and Atishu

Trainer Chris Waller rounded out the Group 1 races at Royal Randwick on...

Race Results

2024 Robert Sangster Stakes Results: Climbing Star Stuns in Local Upset

Vibrant Sun Shines in 2024 Australasian Oaks Results

Seonee Wins Queen Of The South Stakes 2024

2024 Tobin Bronze Stakes Results: Skybird Soars to Victory

2024 Queen Of The Turf Stakes Results: Waller Runs Quinella with Zougotcha and Atishu

Race Previews

Australasian Oaks 2024 Field & Odds Update: Wings Of Song Favourite

Estriella Heads 2024 Robert Sangster Stakes Field & Betting Markets

2024 The Quokka Race Tips & Best Bets

Manaal Heads Champagne Stakes 2024 Field & Betting

2024 All Aged Stakes Field & Betting Update: Espiona Leads Markets

Fields & Form

Australasian Oaks 2024 Field & Odds Update: Wings Of Song Favourite

Estriella Heads 2024 Robert Sangster Stakes Field & Betting Markets

2024 The Quokka Race Tips & Best Bets

Manaal Heads Champagne Stakes 2024 Field & Betting

2024 All Aged Stakes Field & Betting Update: Espiona Leads Markets