Will Jameka Win the 2016 Caulfield Cup for Punters?

October 14, 2016

Will Jameka Win the 2016 Caulfield Cup for Punters?

Last spring Mongolian Khan broke an eight-year drought for the favourites with his Caulfield Cup success and this weekend all the money is on Jameka to go back-to-back for the punters in the 2016 edition of the world’s richest mile and a half handicap.

Jameka

A number of historical factors go against the 2016 Caulfield Cup favourite Jameka on Saturday in the Group 1 classic. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

The $3 million Group 1 BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m) runs as Race 8 at 4:30pm (AEDT) on Saturday with a full field of 18 in the mix, markets at Ladbrokes.com.au all about Ciaron Maher’s mare Jameka.

She is at $3.60 in Caulfield Cup betting to become the first Caulfield Cup winning mare since Southern Speed (2011) after her gun lead-up including the last start Turnbull Stakes second behind star Sydney raider Hartnell.

There is big hoodoo for the four-year-old daughter of Myboycharlie to overcome however.

As a three-year-old last November she took out the Group 1 Crown Oaks (2500m), and no Victorian Oaks winner has ever gone on to win a Caulfield Cup since the latter was inaugurated in 1879.

Jameka is out to be the first ever VRC Oaks winner to back-up the next spring and win the Caulfield Cup in history

If she overcomes that and gets the job done on Saturday heading the Caulfield Cup results, Jameka will be the shortest-priced favourite to win since Elvstroem ($3 in 2004).

So does she have what it takes to go back-to-back for the Caulfield Cup favourites on Saturday?

2016 Caulfield Cup Horse Form #11 Jameka

Barrier: 12

Weight: 52.5kg

Jockey: Nicholas Hall

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

Owner/s: Mr C L Maher, Halo Racing Services Pty Ltd, Mrs J M Mckenna, Mr D F Degenhardt, Mr T A Cole-Sinclair, Mr M R Fallon, Mr G M Verdoorn, Mr S Priestley, Mrs S Cockram, Mr M V Mills, Ms J L Nolte

Age: 4YO

Gender: Mare

Breeding: by Myboycharlie (IRE) from Mine Game

Career: 18-4-4-4

Win: 22%

Place: 67%

Last 6: 4×4712

Prize Money: $1,770,725

Track: 4-1-1-1

Distance: 2-0-1-0

Current 2016 Caulfield Cup Odds$3.60

Why Jameka Can Win the 2016 Caulfield Cup

  • She has had the ideal lead-up winning the Naturalism Stakes and beaten by runaway winner Hartnell in the Turnbull Stakes last time out
  • The Turnbull Stakes has produced 14 of the past 17 Caulfield Cup winners
  • She is the right age as four-year-olds have won three of the past six editions
  • She has the ideal weight (52.5kg), the exact kilos carried to victory by Descarado (2010) and Southern Speed (2011) in recent years
  • Jockey Nicholas Hall won the race only three years ago on Fawkner (2013)
  • She has winning form at the track (4-1-1-1)

Why Jameka Wont’ be the 2016 Caulfield Cup Winner

  • No Naturalism Stakes winner has gone on to win the Caulfield Cup in the past 30 years; of the 16 that have tried just one (Douro Valley – 2nd in 2007) has placed
  • She comes into barrier 12, which hasn’t produced a winner in over 30 years
  • Favourites have won just 2 of the past 10 editions of the race
  • The only mare since Ethereal (2001) to win the Caulfield Cup was Southern Speed (2011)
  • She only has a 22% win rate
  • Ciaron Maher is yet to saddle-up a Caulfield Cup winner
  • If successful she’ll be the shortest-priced mare to win since Leilani ($3.25 in 1974)

Think Jameka is the deserving favourite and want to back her to win at the best price? Head to Ladbrokes.com.au now – home of Enhanced Odds (T&Cs apply).

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