2022 Geelong Cup Preview & Betting Update: Interpretation Narrow Favourite

October 18, 2022

2022 Geelong Cup Preview & Betting Update: Interpretation Narrow Favourite

The time-honoured Geelong Cup 2022 takes place on Wednesday as an important lead-up to the Group 1 $7.75 million Lexus Melbourne Cup (3200m) and Interpretation from the Maher/Eustace stable is narrow favourite in an open market.

Surefire | Photo: Steve Hart | Races.com.au

Surefire is one of the best-fancied 2022 Geelong Cup hopefuls this Wednesday. Photo: Steve Hart.

Set to run as Geelong Race 8 at 4:00pm (AEDT) at the mid-week Victorian meet, this season’s Group 3 $500,000 Geelong Cup (2400m) features a capacity field including first emergency Team Captain coming in for the early scratching, Francesco Guardi.

The latest Geelong Cup betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au have five-year-old Galileo entire Interpretation on top at $4.20 following a good gate four draw.

Jockey Ben Melham comes aboard the European import who has his fourth run down under in the Geelong Cup.

Last start the horse caught the eye when a length back third in the Group 3 The Bart Cummings (2510m) and he looks a solid chance to improve on that here and move up the 2022 Melbourne Cup order of entry currently sitting number 32 on the ballot.

He is rated a $26 shot in pre-field Melbourne Cup markets.

The early Geelong Cup betting market mover and close second elect now into $5.50 is the Chris Waller-trained Surefire in gate six for champion hoop James McDonald who won this race back in 2015 aboard Almoonqith.

Fastnet Rock five-year-old Surefire has his 13th start on Wednesday and is after his sixth success, the galloper out to atone for a luckless 11th in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington last time out when getting too far back to feature in the finish.

The next best fancied in the Geelong Cup odds are the David Simcock-trained international raider Rodrigo Diaz ($6) the Ben & JD Hayes-trained Makram ($6.50) drawn wide in barriers 17 and 18 respectively.

The Melbourne Cup-bound Rodrigo Diaz makes his Australian race debut on Geelong Cup Day for Australian Bloodstock and he brings him some consistent form having finished in the money in 10 of his 17 starts.

He was disappointing in his latest however and whether the races he has been performing in rate as highly as the Australian form his rivals bring into the race on Wednesday is questionable.

Markam and jockey Craig Williams, who has a terrific record in this race, combined last time out a fortnight back at Caulfield when second in the Group 2 Herbert Power Stakes (2400m) and go around again here as a genuine chance.

Of the double-figure fancies after an upset those considered most likely include the Kris Lees-trained Luncies ($10) who was making up ground late for his eye-catching Turnbull Stakes sixth behind Smokin’ Romans last time out, Emissary ($15) chasing his first top three run over the distance and the second emergency Herman Hesse ($13) still sweating on a start.

History shows Media Puzzle (2002), Americain (2010) and Dunaden (2011) are the latest horses to complete the Geelong Cup – Melbourne Cup double.

Click here for the all-in Melbourne Cup odds on the Geelong Cup runners before markets firm post-race.

Click here for the latest Geelong Cup odds on the final field, courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au.

2022 Geelong Cup Final Field & Barrier Draw

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Penalty Hcp Rating
1 4x786x0x09 SERPENTINE (IRE) Robert Hickmott Ethan Brown 13 58kg 101
2 41431×4284 MIDNIGHT BLUE Danny O’Brien Jye McNeil 10 57kg 99
3 3883x28x60 SAN HUBERTO (IRE) Matt Cumani Dean Yendall 19 57kg 99
4 1×61123282 FRANCESCO GUARDI (IRE) Chris Waller Nash Rawiller 15 56.5kg 98
5 21x01x9142 MAKRAM (IRE) Ben & JD Hayes Craig Williams 18 56.5kg 98
6 24x69x320x RODRIGO DIAZ (GB) David Simcock Damien Oliver 17 56.5kg 98
7 1x120x1550 SUREFIRE (GB) Chris Waller James McDonald 6 56.5kg 98
8 753x35x158 EMISSARY (GB) Michael Moroney Blake Shinn 7 56kg 97
9 x529302x26 LUNCIES (GB) Kris Lees Damian Lane 16 56kg 97
10 3346x81x96 SCHABAU (GER) Robert Hickmott Brett Prebble 11 56kg 97
11 635×892410 GROVE FERRY (IRE) Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Ms Linda Meech 3 55.5kg 96
12 x11144x653 INTERPRETATION (IRE) Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Ben Melham 4 55.5kg 96
13 1123x62x04 LA DRAGONTEA (GB) Anthony & Sam Freedman Ms Jamie Kah 9 54kg 97
14 x111x80x08 MEDIA AWARD Chris Calthorpe Damien Thornton 1 54kg 96
15 80537×6087 ATTORNEY (FR) Matthew Smith Craig Newitt 12 54kg 93
16 332117×783 AURORA’S SYMPHONY Symon Wilde Harry Coffey 8 54kg 92
17 3x807x4160 TEEWATERS Archie Alexander Daniel Moor 14 54kg 90
18e 071113×067 TEAM CAPTAIN (IRE) Matt Cumani Declan Bates 5 54kg 89
19e 7225×83813 HERMAN HESSE (GB) Ciaron Maher & David Eustace 2 54kg 88

Table Credit: Racing Australia. 

 

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