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The season’s top two-year-old mile types are on show at Royal Randwick in one of the Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival’s final Group 1 races on Saturday, our comprehensive 2018 Champagne Stakes form guide analysis and betting preview detailed below.
Due to run as Randwick Race 6 at 2:55pm (AEST), this year’s Group 1 $500,000 Moet & Chandon Champagne Stakes (1600m) field attracted 13 gun juveniles led in betting at Ladbrokes.com.au by $5.50 co-favourites Not A Single Cent and Outrageous.
Not A Single Cent has eased out in Champagne Stakes betting from $5 to $5.50.
The Ciaron Maher-trained colt is looking to atone for his hampered run in the Group 1 ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes (1400m) last time out.
He never saw daylight from barrier 15 of 15 a fortnight back but was still only three lengths beaten.
The son of Not A Single Doubt gets the chance to bounce back on Saturday from a far better barrier and return to winning form having won the Group 2 VRC Sires’ Produce Stakes (1400m) at Flemington the month prior.
Outrageous is the big Champagne Stakes market mover firming into equal favouritism after the Hawkes Racing-trained All Too Hard colt opened at $7.50.
The well-bred bay ran third only a length off the upset winner El Dorado Dreaming in the ATC Sires’ on Day 1 of ‘The Championships’, a race that has produced 10 of the past 12 Champagne Stakes winners.
El Dorado Dreaming also backs-up chasing the double at $9 Champagne Stakes odds, while former favourite Seabrook has eased from $4.60 to $6.50 to atone for her luckless ATC Sires’ ninth last start in Saturday’s rematch.
To help sort the genuine contenders from the young pretenders, below we go over the full Champagne Stakes 2018 form guide, betting history and statistical data ahead of Saturday’s mile classic.
2018 Champagne Stakes Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Champagne Stakes winner was the Paul Perry-trained colt The Mission (2017) who came off a lead-up sixth in the ATC Sires’, jumped from barrier 5 (of 10) and was ridden to victory by Damian Lane
- Paul Perry chases back-to-back Champagne Stakes wins by a trainer for the first time since 2010-11 with #4 Ragged Rascal ($34)
- The other previous Champagne Stakes winning trainers with a runner on Saturday are: James Cummings with #1 Encryption ($16); three-time winner John Hawkes with #3 Outrageous ($5.50) and #6 Irukandji ($11); and fellow triple champion Peter Snowden with #7 Bondi ($12)
- The previous Champagne Stakes winning jockeys with a ride on the weekend are: dual champ Hugh Bowman after his third on #1 Encryption, fellow two-time winner Kerrin McEvoy on #2 Long Leaf, Joshua Parr on #4 Ragged Rascal and Damien Oliver on #13 Seabrook
- The Mission (2017) was the tenth Champagne Stakes winner to come off a lead-up run in the ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes in 12 years and the sixteenth since 1999
- This weekend #12 El Dorado Dreaming ($9) chases the ATC Sires’ Produce – Champagne Stakes double for the first time since Guelph (2013) achieved the feat for the third year on the trot following Helmet (2011) and Pierro (2012)
- The other ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes graduates in the mix are: Outrageous (3rd), Long Leaf (4th), Encryption (6th), Bondi (7th), Ragged Rascal (8th), Seabrook (9th), Not A Single Cent (10th) and Seberate (11th)
- Five of the past seven Champagne Stakes winners came off a lead-up win
- Along with El Dorado Dreaming the other last start winners in the line-up are: #6 Irukandji (Group 3 Baillieu Handicap, 1400m, Rosehill, 31/03/2018) and #11 Guerrier (2YO Maiden, Hawkesbury, 05/04/2018)
- No Champagne Stakes winner since Mentality (Sires’ Produce 7th in 2006) has finished worse than fourth in their final lead-up
- Last year’s winning barrier (5) has produced three winners since 1983 and belongs this year to #5 Not A Single Cent ($5.50)
- The most successful Champagne Stakes barrier (since 1983) producing eight winners is gate six drawn this year by #9 Akkadian ($17)
- Skilled (11 of 15 in 2010) was the last Champagne Stakes winner to jump from a double-digit barrier; the widest drawn runners this year out to break the hoodoo are: #1 Encryption (10), #8 Seberate (11), #13 Seabrook (12) and #4 Ragged Rascal (13)
- Since the upset win by Carry On Cutie ($26 in 2005) the only Champagne Stakes winners to jump at double-figure odds were Onemorenomore ($12 in 2009) and Skilled ($10 in 2010)
- Champagne Stakes favourites have a gun recent record with five wins in the past seven years
- #3 Outrageous and #5 Not A Single Cent are the current $5.50 co-favourites in Champagne Stakes 2018 betting
- The other single-figure hopes in Champagne Stakes betting this year are: #13 Seabrook ($6.50), #2 Long Leaf ($7.50) and #12 El Dorado Dreaming ($9)
- The fillies have won four times since 2008 including three years on the trot from 2013-2015; the fillies in the Champagne Stakes field on Saturday are: #12 El Dorado Dreaming and #13 Seabrook
- The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to the undefeated #11 Guerrier (100%) who has had just the one start to date followed by #2 Long Leaf (50%) and #10 Blazing Issue (50%)
- Along with #11 Guerrier the horses with the best Place Rate in the mix are: #12 El Dorado Dreaming (75%), #1 Encryption (67%) and #7 Bondi (67%)
- The horses with previous winning form at the Randwick track are #12 El Dorado Dreaming (1:1-0-0) and #13 Seabrook (2:1-0-0)
- No horse has raced over the 1600m distance before
Stay tuned for our insider Champagne Stakes 2018 betting tips, checking out a comprehensive race form guide courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au below.
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