Vinery Stud Stakes 2018 Form Guide & Betting Preview

March 29, 2018

Vinery Stud Stakes 2018 Form Guide & Betting Preview

*Update: Hugh Bowman is off Unforgotten missing 10 days of riding due to illness, while Luvaluva has been scratched due to an elevated white cell count. 

A line-up of the season’s best three-year-old staying fillies will face off in Saturday’s 2018 Vinery Stud Stakes field at Rosehill Gardens, a detailed form guide analysis and betting preview for the Group 1 found below.

Unforgotten

Vinery Stud Stakes 2018 betting favourite Unforgotten boasts a flawless three-from-three record over the distance. Photo: Steve Hart.

It is a 14-starter field full of depth for this season’s Group 1 $500,000 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m), the Tancred Stakes Day support act due to run as Rosehill Race 7 at 4:10pm (AEDT).

This Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival the bookies are having a hard time separating the best in Vinery Stud Stakes betting with nearly half of the field under $10 for the win in the latest markets at Ladbrokes.com.au.

Post-barriers the favourite at Vinery Stud Stakes odds of $4.80 looking to salute for the punters in the race for the first time since 2013 is the Chris Waller-trained Unforgotten.

Drawn in gate eight, which hasn’t produced a Vinery Stud Stakes winner in over 30 years, the in-form daughter of Fastnet Rock comes off a win over the boys in the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) from March 17 and has dual winning hoop in the race Hugh Bowman in the saddle.

The other best in betting include the spring’s Thousand Guineas winner Aloisia ($6) with the outside barrier (14 of 14) to overcome, John Sargent’s last start Kembla Grange Classic winner Luvaluva ($6.50) who is also wide out in gate 13 and early market mover Alizee ($6.50) who gets out to 2000m for the first time.

Below we have a comprehensive look over the Vinery Stud Stakes 2018 form guide, betting history and statistical data on the race to sort those to back and sack at Ladbrokes.com.au in the Australian Oaks lead-up.

Jockey Hugh Bowman chases a third Vinery Stud Stakes win this year aboard the favourite Unforgotten

2018 Vinery Stud Stakes Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Vinery Stud Stakes winner was the Leon & Troy Corstens-trained Montoya’s Secret (2017) who came off a non-black type lead-up win at Moonee Valley, jumped from barrier 4 (of 12) and was ridden to victory by Noel Callow as a $12 shot in betting
  • The previous Vinery Stud Stakes winning trainers with a starter on Saturday are: Clarry Conners with #5 Torvill ($17) and David Hayes with #6 Rimraam ($18)
  • The previous Vinery Stud Stakes winning jockeys with a ride on the weekend are: Kerrin McEvoy on #4 Luvaluva ($6.50), Craig Williams on #12 Semari ($19), Corey Brown on rank outsider #14 Madame Markievicz ($151), dual winning hoop Damien Oliver chasing his third aboard #6 Rimraam ($18) and Hugh Bowman who is also after a third success on #7 Unforgotten ($4.80)
  • Last year’s winning barrier (4) has produced just the one Vinery Stud Stakes winner (since 1983) and belongs this year to #13 Miss Admiration ($61)
  • Barrier 11 was the last to produce back-to-back winners in 2008-09
  • The most successful Vinery Stud Stakes barrier (since 1983) producing seven winners is gate 10 drawn this year by #3 Bring Me Roses ($8)
Bring Me Roses is out to be the eighth Vinery Stud Stakes winner since 1983 to jump from barrier 10 on Saturday
  • The Coolmore Classic has produced two of the past five Vinery Stud Stakes champions
  • The Coolmore Classic graduates in the mix this year are: Bring Me Roses (11th), Alizee (13th),
  • #4 Luvaluva ($8) comes off a lead-up win in the Group 3 Kembla Grange Classic (1600m) and is out to do the double Single Gaze (2016) achieved just two years ago
  • #5 Torvill (2nd) is the other best out of the Kembla Grange Classic backing up in the Vinery Stud Stakes field on Saturday
  • #7 Unforgotten ($4.80) beat home the boys last start in the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) and is out to be the first Vinery Stud Stakes winner to come directly off that race since Lotka’s Star (5th in 1984)
Race favourite Unforgotten is out to be the first Vinery Stud Stakes winner backing up off a Phar Lap Stakes start last time out since 1984
  • The other best out of the Phar Lap Stakes in Saturday’s Vinery Stud Stakes field is third placegetter #9 Hiyaam ($17)
  • #8 Danzdanzdance ($8.50) races for the first time since a NZ Derby third across the Tasman and is looking to win the Vinery Stud Stakes off a Kiwi lead-up run for the first time since Sixty Seconds (2002)
  • #12 Semari ($19) and #13 Miss Admiration ($16) both come off lead-up wins in non-black type races as Montoya’s Secret did last year
  • #7 Unforgotten ($4.80) leads Vinery Stud Stakes betting in 2018 and is out to be the first favourite to win since Mosheen (2012) and Norzita (2013) went back-to-back for the punters
The favourite in the Vinery Stud Stakes hasn’t won since 2013
  • Four of the past seven Vinery Stud Stakes winners jumped at double-figures
  • Along with the favourite #7 Unforgotten ($4.80) the other single-figure hopes in the Vinery Stud Stakes odds this weekend looking to buck the hoodoo are: #1 Aloisia ($6), #2 Alizee ($6.50), #4 Luvaluva ($6.50), #3 Bring Me Roses ($8) and #8 Danzdanzdance ($8.50)
  • The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #7 Unforgotten (57%) followed by #12 Semari (50%)
  • The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #6 Rimraam (82%) followed by #8 Danzdanzdance (80%)
  • The fillies with previous winning form at the Rosehill track are: #7 Unforgotten (3-3-0-0) and #10 All Too Soon (4:1-1-0)
  • The fillies with previous winning form over the distance (2000m) are: #1 Aloisia (1:1-0-0), #4 Luvaluva (1:1-0-0), #12 Semari (1:1-0-0) and #13 Miss Admiration (3:1-0-0)
  • #6 Rimraam is yet to win over 2000m but she is a dual placegetter from as many starts over the Vinery Stud Stakes distance (2:0-1-1)

Stay tuned for our insider Vinery Stud Stakes 2018 betting tips, checking out the full race form guide below in the meantime courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au.

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