Caulfield Cup favourites have a poor recent record over the past decade but this weekend in Melbourne an on-the-rise Kiwi star is out to break the hoodoo with Mongolian Khan chasing the Group 1 win in 2015 as the punters pick.

Mongolian Khan (outside) is the early favourite for Saturday’s Caulfield Cup 2015 and is undefeated over 2400m. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

A full field of stayers will face off in Saturday’s $3 million Group 1 BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m), but despite the big field for Caulfield Race 9 at 5:40pm (AEST), there are only three single figure chances in the latest markets at Ladbrokes.com.au – home of Best Tote or SP + 20% on the spring majors!

Leading those Caulfield Cup odds at $4.80 is the Murray Baker-trained four-year-old Mongolian Khan ($4.60), drawn a treat in barrier nine for Kiwi hoop Opie Bosson.

Just one favourite in the past 10 years has taken out the Caulfield Cup with Master O’Reilly (8/1 in 2007), but the form of Mongolian Khan is good as he looks to be the next with 55kg on his back, three kilos less than the weight he carted to a close third in his lead-up run behind Criterion in the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m) only last Saturday.

So can Mongolian Khan salute for the Caulfield Cup punters or is there another Caulfield Cup result on the cards following the success of three double-figure roughies in as many years: Dunaden (12/1 in 2012), Fawkner (10/1 in 2013) and Admire Rakti (10/1 in 2014)?

Caulfield Cup Horse Form: #6 Mongolian Khan

Barrier: 9 (into 6 with emergencies out)

Weight: 55kg

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Murray Baker

Owner/s: Mr L Lin

Age: 4YO

Gender: Stallion

Breeding: by Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) from Centafit (NZ)

Career: 12-7-0-1

Win: 58%

Place: 67%

Last 6: 51×743

Prize Money: $1,970,512

Track: 2-0-0-1

Distance: 2-2-0-0

Current 2015 Caulfield Cup Odds: $4.80

Why Mongolian Khan Can Break the Caulfield Cup Favourites’ Hoodoo

• Is drawn ideally midfield in barrier nine (into six without emergencies) with the last winner from gate six being All The Good (2008)
• Is undefeated over the 2400m with two previous wins including the Group 1 ATC Derby in Sydney during the autumn
• Carried 58kg in his two previous starts and drops to 55kg for the Cup – a weight last carried to victory by Fawkner (2013)
• Three four-year-olds have won the Caulfield Cup in the past 10 years most recently Southern Speed (2011)
• Boasts the highest Win Rate of the field 58%

Why Mongolian Khan Won’t Win the 2015 Caulfield Cup

• A New Zealand-trained horse hasn’t won the Caulfield Cup since Ethereal (2001)
• Neither trainer Baker nor jockey Bosson has previous Caulfield Cup winning form
• The only Caulfield Cup favourite to win since 2004 was Master O’Reilly (2007)
• The past three Caulfield Cup winners have saluted at double figures
• Comes off a Caulfield Stakes third – a race that hasn’t produced a Caulfield Cup winner since Mummify (2003)

Whether you’re backing or sacking Saturday’s Caulfield Cup favourite make sure you lock in Best Tote or SP + 20% to win more on the classic available exclusively to Ladbrokes.com.au punters!