next to go

Ladbrokes Cox Plate 2026 Tips & Predictions

Cox Plate 2026 Late Mail: Favourites Firm, History Beckons & Flemington Set for a Unique Weight-For-Age Showdown

Lucy Henderson • October 24, 2026

Cox Plate 2026 Late Mail: Favourites Firm, History Beckons & Flemington Set for a Unique Weight-For-Age Showdown

Chances are you're about to lose.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

The countdown is on to this afternoon’s 2026 Ladbrokes Cox Plate (2040m) and all signs point towards one of the most fascinating editions of Australia’s premier weight-for-age race in recent memory.

For the first time in its 106-year history, the time-honoured classic will be run at Flemington Racecourse as Moonee Valley undergoes redevelopment, creating a completely different challenge for the 12-horse Cox Plate 2026 field looking to join an honour roll featuring champions like Winx, Kingston Town, Sunline, Makybe Diva, Northerly, Phar Lap and most recently dual winner Via Sistina.

With Saturday’s $6 million feature scheduled for 5:10pm AEDT as Flemington Race 8, punters are facing a wide-open betting affair headlined by market elects Sir Delius, Aeliana, Ceolwulf, and exciting three-year-old Warwoven.

Ladbrokes Cox Plate Final Field & Barriers

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
EntrantLast 6SexBarrierWeight
1. Ceolwulf J: Chad Schofield
T: Joseph Pride
x52322 G 3 59kg
2. Light Infantry Man J: Harry Coffey
T: Ciaron Maher
15×482 G 11 59kg
3. Sir Delius J: Craig Williams
T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
331×44 H 5 59kg
4. Attrition J: Jamie Mott
T: Mitchell Freedman
0x9031 H 4 59kg
5. Cosmic Crusader J: William Pike
T: Andrea Leek
113214 G 8 59kg
6. Birdman J: Ben Melham
T: Chris Waller
21×613 G 1 59kg
7. Land Legend J: Ethan Brown
T: Ciaron Maher
29×001 G 12 59kg
8. Middle Earth J: John Allen
T: Ciaron Maher
1×8789 G 7 59kg
9. Saint George J: Blake Shinn
T: Ciaron Maher
411202 G 6 59kg
10. Aeliana J: James McDonald
T: Chris Waller
11×023 M 10 57kg
11. Warwoven J: Rachel King
T: Bjorn Baker
6×5111 C 2 49.5kg
12. Blind Raise J: Jamie Melham
T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
19×112 G 9 49.5kg

A Cox Plate Like No Other

While the race retains its famous 2040m distance, the move from Moonee Valley’s tight-turning circuit to Flemington’s spacious layout is expected to significantly change the shape of the race.

The short run into the first bend that traditionally defines the Cox Plate has disappeared. Instead, runners will enjoy a much longer run before the field settles, reducing the importance of barriers and potentially favouring horses capable of sustaining long runs rather than producing a sharp sprint.

Form analysts know punters need to approach this year’s race differently.

With the more spacious Flemington track expected to create a very different tactical contest, the sweeping layout gives jockeys more time to find their positions and build momentum, reducing the pressure of the early stages and allowing a wider range of runners to settle comfortably. The broader track and longer straight should also provide more horses with the opportunity to produce their best, making luck in running less influential and placing a greater emphasis on stamina, race tempo and sustained finishing power.

With expected speed from Land Legend, Light Infantry Man, and potentially Blind Raise, the race looks set to be run at a genuine tempo, which could suit swoopers and midfield runners more than traditional leaders.

Sir Delius Gets His Grand Final

Long-time favourite Sir Delius remains the horse many punters believe has been specifically trained to peak in Saturday’s Cox Plate.

While it’s been a tight race at the top of the markets for favouritism, Sir Delius remains the current top elect at $4.40 in Cox Plate 2026 betting at race sponsor Ladbrokes.

The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained star has enjoyed two measured lead-up runs and strikes his preferred third-up stage from a dream barrier five draw.

Waterhouse was pleased with what she saw during trackwork week.

“He’s very fit and he handled it very well, he’s a happy, happy horse,” she told the media.

The six-year-old’s Queen Elizabeth Stakes victory earlier this year remains arguably the strongest piece of form in the race and history is also on his side, having won both previous Australian third-up assignments.

The only question punters continue to ask is whether he can finally turn the tables on Aeliana, who holds a 3-1 advantage over him in recent head-to-head meetings.

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
3. Sir Delius (5)
J: Craig Williams 59kg
31×44 T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 10 in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1600m, 4 len behind Sheza Alibi with 59kg at $5. Second run from a spell 4th of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on a wet track; 3.5 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 59kg at $3. Been set for this, set up is perfect, best horse in the race if he brings it.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Waller Chasing History Again with Aeliana

No trainer has owned the Cox Plate in modern times like Chris Waller, and the master trainer is just one victory away from equalling the legendary TJ Smith’s all-time record of seven wins.

Already successful with Winx four times and Via Sistina twice, Waller believes Aeliana is ready to add her name to the list.

“Everyone wants to win a Cox Plate. It’s the weight-for-age champion race of Australia,” he said.

“It’s just theatre. It’s just two minutes of pure adrenaline.”

The mare enters her grand final fourth-up after steadily building through the spring and gets the services of James McDonald, who is chasing an incredible fifth straight Cox Plate victory.

McDonald was bullish despite drawing gate 10.

“The preparation has all been aimed around Saturday,” he said.

“The draw makes things a bit sticky but I’d much rather 10 at Flemington than I would have at Moonee Valley.”

“With Land Legend and Light Infantry Man setting a strong tempo my job will be to just blend her into the race at the right time.”

If successful, McDonald would extend one of the most extraordinary records in modern Australian racing.

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
10. Aeliana (10)
J: James McDonald 57kg
1×023 T: Chris Waller
Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on a wet track; 2.75 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 57kg at $3.80. The start before that 2nd in a small field in the G2 7 Stakes at Randwick on September 19 over 1600m, 1.3 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 57kg at $21. Building beautifully, will be charging home.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Can Warwoven Defy the Older Horses?

Three-year-olds always generate intrigue in the Cox Plate and this year’s headline youngster is undoubtedly Warwoven.

The Bjorn Baker-trained colt arrives chasing a fourth straight victory after dominant wins in both the Golden Rose and Caulfield Guineas, and he receives a huge weight advantage carrying just 49.5kg.

Baker acknowledges the challenge.

“It’s a tough race, no doubt about it,” the trainer said.

“The 2040m is another big jump, but he has got a really good base, and he is fit and well.”

Warwoven has drawn perfectly in barrier two and will enjoy every opportunity to settle close enough under Rachel King.

If his mile form translates to 2040m, he could become one of the spring’s genuine superstars.

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
11. Warwoven (2)
J: Rachel King 49.5kg
x5111 T: Bjorn Baker
Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite; came from midfield and won by 1.75 len in the G1 Caulfield Guineas on October 10 over 1600m defeating Blind Raise with 57kg at $2.40. The run before that favourite; won by 3 len in the G1 Golden Rose Stakes at Rosehill on September 26 over 1400m defeating St Gotthard with 56.5kg at $6. Very talented 3yo, draws perfectly, this is the acid test.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Ceolwulf Ready for His Flemington Return

Few horses are racing more consistently than Ceolwulf, who comes through elite Sydney form after seconds behind both Autumn Glow and God’s Window this campaign.

Trainer Joseph Pride has always believed the Cox Plate would become the ideal target if conditions aligned.

“He didn’t have a tough run, he seems to have pulled up real well,” Pride said.

“Perfect. We wanted an inside-ish draw to just limit the work he has got to.”

The Champions Mile winner returns to the scene of his biggest victory and should enjoy a perfect run from barrier three.

The major query remains whether 2000m against elite weight-for-age opposition is his absolute sweet spot.

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
1. Ceolwulf (3)
J: Chad Schofield 59kg
52322 T: Joseph Pride
Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd in a small field in the G1 King Charles Iii Stakes at Randwick on October 17 over 1609m, slow going 2.25 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 59kg at $4.80. The race before that 2nd of 16 in the G1 Epsom Handicap at Randwick on October 3 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind God’s Window with 59kg at $9.50. Racing as well as ever, gets a smother and explodes late.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Birdman the Forgotten Horse?

If there is one horse attracting significant each-way support in late betting moves, it is Chris Waller’s second runner Birdman.

The Underwood Stakes winner landed the coveted inside draw and gets Ben Melham aboard after an eye-catching preparation.

Waller couldn’t be happier.

“Barrier 1, looks like it’s going to be a solid-run Cox Plate,” the master trainer said at the Cox Plate barrier draw on Tuesday evening.

“He’s come on nicely, loved his work on Tuesday morning at Flemington and barrier 1, save the ground, don’t you?”

Birdman remains one of the more intriguing runners in the race after his dominant Underwood win and looks poised to get all the favours.

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
6. Birdman (1)
J: Ben Melham 59kg
1×613 T: Chris Waller
Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd in a small field in the G1 Might And Power Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 2000m, 1.4 len behind Land Legend carrying 59kg at $4.40. The run before that won by 1.75 len in the G1 Underwood Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1800m defeating Cosmic Crusader carrying 59kg at $6. Like the draw, can improve again and the Underwood win was dominant.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Maher’s Four-Pronged Assault

No stable has greater numerical representation than Ciaron Maher’s, who saddles four runners.

The most fascinating is undoubtedly Land Legend, who shocked racing fans when setting a track-record tempo to win the Might And Power Stakes.

Maher has no plans to change tactics.

“He went track record pace at Caulfield, and he looked comfortable doing so, I’d imagine we’d try and do the same thing,” he confirmed.

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
7. Land Legend (12)
J: Ethan Brown 59kg
9×001 T: Ciaron Maher
At the latest run won by a head in the G1 Might And Power Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 2000m defeating Sheza Alibi carrying 59kg at $61. Before that 11th of 13 in the G3 Jra Cup at Caulfield on September 27 over 2000m, 9 len behind Royal Supremacy with 56.5kg at $12. Shock winner in track record time latest, not sure they’ll let him pinch this one.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

His stablemate Saint George also adds intrigue after passing Friday’s veterinary inspections and backing up from a brave runner-up finish in last week’s Caulfield Cup.

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
9. Saint George (6)
J: Blake Shinn 59kg
11202 T: Ciaron Maher
Most recently 2nd of 18 in the G1 Caulfield Cup on October 17 over 2400m, 0.5 len behind Kingswood carrying 53.5kg at $10. The race before that eased back early on 10th of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on rain affected going; 11 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 55kg at $13. Doubt he’s good enough.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Meanwhile, Light Infantry Man remains a knockout chance according to jockey Harry Coffey.

“He’s a tough horse,” Maher said.

“I suppose he is a little bit underrated.”

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
2. Light Infantry Man (11)
J: Harry Coffey 59kg
5×482 T: Ciaron Maher
Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on rain affected going; 1.75 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 58kg at $26. Before that 8th of 10 in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1600m, 5.5 len behind Sheza Alibi with 59kg at $41. Loves Flemington, was game last time, can give cheek.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Records On the Line

Saturday’s race isn’t just about the trophy.

A victory for Chris Waller would equal TJ Smith’s long-standing record of seven Cox Plates.

A victory for James McDonald would see him become the first jockey to ride five consecutive Cox Plate winners.

And for the winner itself, immortality awaits in a race long regarded as the ultimate test of a middle-distance thoroughbred.

Races.com.au Late Mail Cox Plate 2026 Verdict

This year’s Cox Plate looks set to be run at a genuinely strong tempo, which should provide every horse their chance on Flemington’s spacious circuit.

Sir Delius remains the horse to beat from the ideal barrier and proven third-up profile, while Aeliana looks perfectly set to peak fourth-up under James McDonald. Ceolwulf should get all the favours from barrier three, and Warwoven has the class and weight advantage to test the older horses.

For value hunters, Birdman appeals as the forgotten runner from barrier one and looks over the odds if he reproduces his Underwood Stakes performance.

Races.com.au Cox Plate 2026 Selections

1. Sir Delius
2. Aeliana
3. Warwoven
4. Birdman

Whether it’s Sir Delius delivering on his long-range mission, Aeliana helping Waller make history, or Warwoven announcing himself as Australia’s next superstar, the first-ever Flemington edition of the 2026 Cox Plate promises to add another unforgettable chapter to one of racing’s greatest races.

Ladbrokes Cox Plate 2026 Odds

Flemington R8 – Ladbrokes Cox Plate (G1)
Open Race time: 
1. Ceolwulf (3)
J: Chad Schofield 59kg
52322 T: Joseph Pride
Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd in a small field in the G1 King Charles Iii Stakes at Randwick on October 17 over 1609m, slow going 2.25 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 59kg at $4.80. The race before that 2nd of 16 in the G1 Epsom Handicap at Randwick on October 3 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind God’s Window with 59kg at $9.50. Racing as well as ever, gets a smother and explodes late.
2. Light Infantry Man (11)
J: Harry Coffey 59kg
5×482 T: Ciaron Maher
Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on rain affected going; 1.75 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 58kg at $26. Before that 8th of 10 in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1600m, 5.5 len behind Sheza Alibi with 59kg at $41. Loves Flemington, was game last time, can give cheek.
3. Sir Delius (5)
J: Craig Williams 59kg
31×44 T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 10 in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1600m, 4 len behind Sheza Alibi with 59kg at $5. Second run from a spell 4th of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on a wet track; 3.5 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 59kg at $3. Been set for this, set up is perfect, best horse in the race if he brings it.
4. Attrition (4)
J: Jamie Mott 59kg
x9031 T: Mitchell Freedman
At the latest run won by a neck in the G2 Hill Stakes at Rosehill on October 10 over 1900m defeating Lindermann with 59kg at $6. Before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 in the G1 Underwood Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1800m, 4 len behind Birdman with 59kg at $101. Rock solid, good win last time, doubt he quite has the class.
5. Cosmic Crusader (8)
J: William Pike 59kg
13214 T: Andrea Leek
Most recently 4th of 18 in the G1 Caulfield Cup on October 17 over 2400m, 1.4 len behind Kingswood with 56kg at $4.80. The start before that favourite; won by 1.75 len in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m on a heavy track defeating Light Infantry Man with 58kg at $8. Not far away last start. Iron horse, the Turnbull win says he can win and he’ll be fitter than anything.
6. Birdman (1)
J: Ben Melham 59kg
1×613 T: Chris Waller
Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd in a small field in the G1 Might And Power Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 2000m, 1.4 len behind Land Legend carrying 59kg at $4.40. The run before that won by 1.75 len in the G1 Underwood Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1800m defeating Cosmic Crusader carrying 59kg at $6. Like the draw, can improve again and the Underwood win was dominant.
7. Land Legend (12)
J: Ethan Brown 59kg
9×001 T: Ciaron Maher
At the latest run won by a head in the G1 Might And Power Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 2000m defeating Sheza Alibi carrying 59kg at $61. Before that 11th of 13 in the G3 Jra Cup at Caulfield on September 27 over 2000m, 9 len behind Royal Supremacy with 56.5kg at $12. Shock winner in track record time latest, not sure they’ll let him pinch this one.
8. Middle Earth (7)
J: John Allen 59kg
x8789 T: Ciaron Maher
Most recently 9th of 18 in the G1 Caulfield Cup on October 17 over 2400m, 5.5 len behind Kingswood with 55kg at $61. The start before that 8th of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on a wet track; 10 len behind Cosmic Crusader carrying 56kg at $31. Outclassed, better suited next week in the Cup.
9. Saint George (6)
J: Blake Shinn 59kg
11202 T: Ciaron Maher
Most recently 2nd of 18 in the G1 Caulfield Cup on October 17 over 2400m, 0.5 len behind Kingswood carrying 53.5kg at $10. The race before that eased back early on 10th of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on rain affected going; 11 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 55kg at $13. Doubt he’s good enough.
10. Aeliana (10)
J: James McDonald 57kg
1×023 T: Chris Waller
Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 13 in the G1 Turnbull Stakes at this track on October 3 over 2000m, on a wet track; 2.75 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 57kg at $3.80. The start before that 2nd in a small field in the G2 7 Stakes at Randwick on September 19 over 1600m, 1.3 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 57kg at $21. Building beautifully, will be charging home.
11. Warwoven (2)
J: Rachel King 49.5kg
x5111 T: Bjorn Baker
Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite; came from midfield and won by 1.75 len in the G1 Caulfield Guineas on October 10 over 1600m defeating Blind Raise with 57kg at $2.40. The run before that favourite; won by 3 len in the G1 Golden Rose Stakes at Rosehill on September 26 over 1400m defeating St Gotthard with 56.5kg at $6. Very talented 3yo, draws perfectly, this is the acid test.
12. Blind Raise (9)
J: Jamie Melham 49.5kg
9×112 T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
Racing well recently. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 in the G1 Caulfield Guineas on October 10 over 1600m, 1.75 len behind Warwoven carrying 57kg at $3.10. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 2.75 len in the G3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude on September 19 over 1400m defeating Tornado Valley with 57kg at $2.40. Very brave in the Guineas, wouldn’t surprise if he measured right up.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 24/10/2026 09:50:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2021 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Horse Racing Today

Chances are you’re about to lose.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au