Black Caviar Blatant but Best 2011 TJ Smith Stakes Betting Tip

April 7, 2011

Black Caviar Blatant but Best 2011 TJ Smith Stakes Betting Tip

It is an obvious tip but one all the experts are making, Black Caviar to win the $1 million Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) at the Royal Randwick’s AJC Derby Day on Saturday.

Black Caviar

Black Caviar has been well backed by the punters to win the TJ Smith Stakes on Saturday

Peter Moody’s irrefutable sprint champion, Black Caviar graces the Sydney turf for the first time on Saturday and the expectancy over her appearance has the fans and punters at Randwick in a frenzy.

“Hero horses and people’s horses come along very rarely in racing,” said the Australian Turf Club’s CEO Darren Pearce.

“Everyone is getting on board the Black Caviar express.”

Black Caviar is the world’s best thoroughbred, unbeaten in her 11 starts to date, a freak of the turf that seems to have no issue in obliterating her rivals time and time again.

Still, the 2011 TJ Smith Stakes has drawn a final field of 11 in total with the brave connections of 10 other hopefuls still keen to take on Black Caviar – even if they will be running for second.

“You obviously get sick of running second to her,” said jockey Corey Brown who is aboard TJ Smith Stakes rival Shoot Out on Saturday.

“But she’s just the perfect racehorse.”

Her firming odds-on price of $1.24 to win not only her 12th on the trot but her fifth at Group 1 level confirms just how close to a sure thing Black Caviar is on Saturday.

The punters are also still keen to back the queen even at her short price.

To win off Black Caviar – well it’s the same as it was with Phar Lap really.

Sportingbet Australia has reported to have taken over $350,000 worth of bets on Black Caviar in the first 24 hours of posting their TJ Smith Stakes markets.

“We took a bet of $150,000 almost instantly and since then we have taken further bets of $100,000, $44,000 and $22,000,” Michael Sullivan, CEO of Sportingbet Australia, said.

“Punters won’t hear of her getting beaten and the likes of Hay List and Crystal Lily can’t find a supporter to have more than $100 on them.

“Punters have just had such a huge run backer her during her 11 unbeaten runs that they are just jumping on as soon as we post the price.”

Luxbet’s chief bookmaker Paul Vincent is also aboard the Black Caviar express.

“It will be great for racing to see her make it 12 from 12,” Vincent told Races.com.au.

The 2011 Darley TJ Smith Stakes will run at 2:20pm (AEST) as Randwick Race 5 on Saturday.

Black Caviar jumps from barrier five with regular rider Luke Nolen aboard.

Randwick Race 5 Tips – 2011 TJ Smith Stakes

  • #7 Black Caviar

The Queen – respect. Has a 100% Win Rate earning her over $2.6 million in prize money, she will add to this with another easy victory here.

Hay List

Hay List has the form to run second to Black Caviar in the 2011 TJ Smith Stakes

  • #1 Hay List

In better form and will come closer than before. Won the Group 2 Challenge Stakes (1200m) at Warwick Farm last start showing good form. Finished second behind Black Caviar in the Lightning Stakes and with Hay List back, Crystal Lily gets bumped from the runner-up title. Also runs well on Slow ground with a win and a second from his two starts on a Slow track.

  • #2 Shoot Out

First-up and fit – last year’s AJC Derby winner has the confidence of his connections. Had a nice gallop at Randwick on Thursday and can finish in the money. Jumps from barrier two with Corey Brown in the mount. Won the Group 2 Royal Sovereign Stakes at this track and distance in February last year, is unbeaten (before now) at Randwick.

  • #10 Hinchinbrook

Moody wouldn’t accept if stablemate to favourite didn’t have a chance. Nice barrier four draw, ridden by Brad Rawiller. Also boasts the best Place Rate of the field with 50% and has won and placed at the TJ Smith Stakes track and distance.

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2021 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Military Mission Fires in 2023...

Zipping Classic 2023 Field �...

Zipping Classic 2023 Field & Odds Update: Vow And Declare Defends Title

Danny O’Brien’s 2019 Melbourne Cup winner Vow And Declare continues to show a...

Overpass Heads 2023 Winterbott...

Overpass Heads 2023 Winterbottom Stakes Field & Betting Markets

Bjron Baker’s The Everest performer Overpass is tipped to return to winning...

Osipenko Leads The Gong 2023 R...

Osipenko Leads The Gong 2023 Race Field & Betting

The Chris Waller-trained Pierro four-year-old Osipenko is firm favourite in...

2023 Railway Stakes Field ...

2023 Railway Stakes Field & Betting Update: Tuvalu Narrow Favourite

The Lindsey Smith-trained top-weight Tuvalu is narrow favourite in the latest...

Horse Racing Today

Pride Of Jenni Wins 2024 Queen...

Sydney Cup 2024 Winner Circle ...

Sydney Cup 2024 Winner Circle Of Fire Salutes for Punters

Another staying race goes to star horseman Ciaron Maher whose race favourite,...

Australian Oaks 2024 Results: ...

Australian Oaks 2024 Results: Autumn Angel Beats Zardozi on the Back-Up

Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman continued their ace The Championships’...

2024 Arrowfield 3YO Sprint Res...

2024 Arrowfield 3YO Sprint Results: Joliestar Returns a Winner for Waller

Joliestar was terrific in her first-up run since taking out last year’s...

2024 Percy Sykes Stakes Result...

2024 Percy Sykes Stakes Results: Eneeza Beats Lady Of Camelot

The Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman-trained Eneeza ran up to form...

Race Results

2024 Queen Of The Turf Stakes Results: Waller Runs Quinella with Zougotcha and Atishu

Pride Of Jenni Wins 2024 Queen Elizabeth Stakes in Historical Demolition Job

Sydney Cup 2024 Winner Circle Of Fire Salutes for Punters

Australian Oaks 2024 Results: Autumn Angel Beats Zardozi on the Back-Up

2024 Arrowfield 3YO Sprint Results: Joliestar Returns a Winner for Waller

Race Previews

2024 The Quokka Race Tips & Best Bets

Manaal Heads Champagne Stakes 2024 Field & Betting

2024 All Aged Stakes Field & Betting Update: Espiona Leads Markets

2024 The Quokka Field, Barriers & Betting Update: Amelia’s Jewel Favourite Out Wide

Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2024 Tips & Best Bets

Fields & Form

2024 The Quokka Race Tips & Best Bets

Manaal Heads Champagne Stakes 2024 Field & Betting

2024 All Aged Stakes Field & Betting Update: Espiona Leads Markets

2024 The Quokka Field, Barriers & Betting Update: Amelia’s Jewel Favourite Out Wide

Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2024 Tips & Best Bets