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Victoria Derby Tips



Our Victoria Derby tips guide is your essential source of expert analysis, betting insights, and race day predictions for Australia’s premier staying race for three-year-olds. Run over 2500 metres at Flemington on Victoria Derby Day, the Group 1 classic presents a unique challenge for punters, with emerging stayers tested over a distance many tackle for the first time. The best Victoria Derby 2026 tips are built around key factors including staying credentials, lead-up race form, barrier draws, track conditions, jockey bookings, and proven performances in races such as the Moonee Valley Vase, Spring Champion Stakes, and Caulfield Classic. On this page, you’ll find the latest Victoria Derby betting tips, expert VRC Derby tips, top selections, value runners, roughie chances, and market analysis designed to help punters make informed decisions in one of the most prestigious and challenging betting races of the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival.

Victoria Derby Betting Tips

Stay tuned for our insider Victoria Derby 2026 betting tips to be detailed below the week of the race.

Read our full 2026 Victoria Derby Tips, Best Bets & Same Race Multi Selections now!

Favourite: No. 1 Cormier

Flemington R7 – Howden Victoria Derby (G1)
Final Race time: 
7th
1. Cormier (3)
57kgx0843
J: Jamie MottT: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich
6.00WIN
2.35PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 05/11/2026 11:11:32 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

Each Way Danger: No. 3 True Rebel

Flemington R7 – Howden Victoria Derby (G1)
Final Race time: 
5th
3. True Rebel (15)
57kg3121
J: Billy EganT: Danny O’brien
10.00WIN
3.30PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 05/11/2026 11:11:32 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

Best Roughie: No. 4 King Snitz

Flemington R7 – Howden Victoria Derby (G1)
Final Race time: 
8th
4. King Snitz (5)
57kg9311
J: Damian LaneT: Shane Jackson
14.00WIN
4.20PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 05/11/2026 11:11:32 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

Next Best: No. 6 Vallice

Flemington R7 – Howden Victoria Derby (G1)
Final Race time: 
10th
6. Vallice (12)
57kg44522
J: Mark ZahraT: Ciaron Maher
12.00WIN
3.70PLACE
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 05/11/2026 11:11:32 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

Bet on Your 2026 Victoria Derby Tips

Flemington R7 – Howden Victoria Derby (G1)
Final Race time: 
1st
2. Stormy Marco (14)
57kgx2954
J: James McDonaldT: Chris Waller
4.40WIN
1.95PLACE
2nd
14. Cold Shower (4)
57kg316
J: Jett StanleyT: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
126.00WIN
20.00PLACE
3rd
16. Quick Finish (9)
55kg5111
J: Jye McneilT: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy
23.00WIN
6.00PLACE
4th
5. Murshidi (16)
57kgx7321
J: Blake ShinnT: Ciaron Maher
13.00WIN
4.00PLACE
5th
3. True Rebel (15)
57kg3121
J: Billy EganT: Danny O’brien
10.00WIN
3.30PLACE
6th
8. Cignetti (10)
57kgx1233
J: William PikeT: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
7.50WIN
2.70PLACE
7th
1. Cormier (3)
57kgx0843
J: Jamie MottT: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich
6.00WIN
2.35PLACE
8th
4. King Snitz (5)
57kg9311
J: Damian LaneT: Shane Jackson
14.00WIN
4.20PLACE
9th
9. Icy You (8)
57kg21242
J: Craig WilliamsT: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
15.00WIN
4.40PLACE
10th
6. Vallice (12)
57kg44522
J: Mark ZahraT: Ciaron Maher
12.00WIN
3.70PLACE
11th
13. Russian Rock (6)
57kg3×154
J: Michael DeeT: Michael Trotter
27.00WIN
6.50PLACE
12th
12. Written Empire (2)
57kg4136
J: Harry CoffeyT: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes
71.00WIN
13.00PLACE
13th
7. Skua (11)
57kg31662
J: John AllenT: Ciaron Maher
11.00WIN
3.50PLACE
14th
10. True Tone (13)
57kg44213
J: Jason CollettT: Chris Waller
26.00WIN
6.50PLACE
15th
15. King Winston (7)
57kg0245
J: Daniel StackhouseT: Greg Eurell
61.00WIN
12.00PLACE
16th
17. Meet The Prince (1)
57kgx0622
J: Jackson RadleyT: Patrick Kearney
201.00WIN
27.00PLACE
11. Hierarchy (4)SCRATCHED:
18. Locked In (8)SCRATCHED:
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 05/11/2026 11:11:32 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

As the first of the major Group 1 races held during the annual Melbourne Cup Carnival the Victoria Derby tips are some of the most sought after of the spring.

Each season the Group 1 $3 million Victoria Derby (2500m) attracts a field of the best current three-year-old stayers, and the race runs at Flemington Racecourse on the Saturday before Melbourne Cup Day on the first Tuesday of November.

As soon as the Victoria Derby field is released on the Tuesday before race day, punters are chasing the Victoria Derby tips.

Victoria Derby Favourite

Many Victoria Derby tips favour the shortest-priced three-year-old in the Victoria Derby betting markets, but backing the Victoria Derby favourite historically hasn’t been the best for punters.

From 2006 – 2025 just five of the Victoria Derby winners jumped favourite in the markets: Efficient (2006), Tarzino (2015), Ace High (2017), Hitotsu (2021), Riff Rocket ($2.20 in 2023) and most recently Observer ($2.45 in 2025).

A better Victoria Derby betting tip then is to lay the favourite and back a longer-priced runner in the Victoria Derby odds.

Plenty of double-figure outsiders have been successful in the race including Manzoice ($21 in 2022), Johnny Get Angry ($21 in 2020), Prized Icon ($17 in 2016), Fiveandahalfstar ($41 in 2012), Sangster ($13 in 2011), Lion Tamer ($13 in 2010) and even triple-figure roughie Rebel Raider ($101 in 2007) so don’t be afraid to include a longer-priced three-year-old in your 2026 Victoria Derby Tips.

Add an in-form roughie in your Victoria Derby tips as plenty of outsiders have won the 3YO's classic in the past decade

Victoria Derby Lead-Up Races

When it comes to Victoria Derby tips one of the key things to consider is the lead-up races and runs of the youngsters in the field.

Checking out the full Victoria Derby form guide provided at an online bookmaker like Ladbrokes or right here at Races.com.au is a top Victoria Derby tip as it can uncover real value in the markets.

Traditionally the key Victoria Derby lead-up race is the Group 2 Moonee Valley Vase (2040m) run the Saturday before on Cox Plate Day. Efficient (2006) and Observer (2025) nearly two decades later are the latest three-year-olds to complete the Moonee Valley Vase – VRC Derby double.

The other standout Victoria Derby lead-up race is the Norman Robinson Stakes – now known as the Group 3 Caulfield Classic (2000m) and run on Caulfield Cup Day a fortnight before VRC Derby Day.

Polanski (2013) was the last horse to complete the Caulfield Classic – Victoria Derby double, while in 2019 the Victoria Derby winner Warning improved on a lead-up second in the Caulfield Classic from Caulfield Cup Day.

Riff Rocket (2nd in 2023) was the last Victoria Derby winner to come via a lead-up run in the Caulfield Classic.

The Moonee Valley Vase and Ladbrokes Classic are the two key Victoria Derby lead-up races

 

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