Will Hartnell Win Melbourne Cup 2016 for the Punters?

October 31, 2016

Will Hartnell Win Melbourne Cup 2016 for the Punters?

He is the easing favourite but Hartnell still sits top of the 2016 Melbourne Cup odds for the iconic Flemington Race 7 on Tuesday, so can the Godolphin galloper get the job done for the punters?

Hartnell

Hartnell is out to be just the second Melbourne Cup favourite to salute for the punters in the past decade. Photo: Steve Hart.

It seems crazy that this in-form John O’Shea-trained import off the ace form isn’t top weight for the $6.2 million Group 1 Emirates Melbourne Cup (3200m).

Two back he put three lengths on subsequent Caulfield Cup winner Jameka winning the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington, and then ran second to the unstoppable Winx in the Group 1 Cox Plate (2040m).

Coming back from that weight-for-age run on October 22 with 59kg, the six-year-old son of Authorized will relish the 56kg on Melbourne Cup Day with star hoop James McDonald retaining the ride.

Hartnell jumps from barrier 12, a gate that hasn’t produced a Melbourne Cup winner in over 30 years, but is still favourite in betting at Ladbrokes.com.au.

He’s eased out from an earlier price of $4.80 to $5.50 to be the first favourite to salute since Fiorente (2013), who backed-up from a Cox Plate third, and still represents good value.

Sydney’s Chris Waller saddles-up two Melbourne Cup chances in 2016 – Who Shot Thebarman ($41) and Grand Marshal ($41) – but is happy to put Hartnell on top of his tips for the two mile classic.

“I’m hell bent on the Australian horses, I can’t go past Hartnell because he beat Jameka in the Turnbull,” Waller told Racing Victoria.

“I realise he has had a couple of runs at two miles and not performed at his best, but I feel he is a different horse this preparation and it would just frank the Winx form and obviously Jameka herself.

“Whatever stays the two miles out of those two will be hard to beat as their form is impeccable.”

So can Hartnell hold off the charge of internationals and be the 2016 Melbourne Cup winner improving on his 15th in the race 12 months ago?

2016 Melbourne Cup Horse Form #6 Hartnell

Barrier: 12

Weight: 56kg

Jockey: James McDonald

Trainer: John O’Shea

Owner/s: Godolphin

Age: 6YO

Gender: Gelding

Breeding: by Authorized (IRE) from Debonnaire (GB)

Career: 27-10-6-1

Win: 37%

Place: 63%

Last 6: x21112

Prize Money: $2,673,999

Track: 3-1-0-0

Distance: 3-1-0-0

Current 2016 Melbourne Cup Odds: $5.50

Yes – Hartnell Can Win the 2016 Melbourne Cup

  • Looks very well weighted on 56kg, the lightest weight he’s carried since 55.5kg in last year’s Melbourne Cup
  • Delta Blues (2006) was the last Melbourne Cup winner to carry exactly 56kg to victory, while Protectionist (2014) had 56.5kg on his back two years ago
  • Five of the past six Melbourne Cup winners were six-year-olds so he is the right age historically-speaking to win
  • Is internationally-bred and only two Australian-bred horses have won the race since 2000
  • Is a multiple Group 1 winner and has won over $2.6 million in prize money
  • Hasn’t finished worse than second in all five runs this time in
  • Is a Group 1 winner at the Flemington track
  • Has winning form over the two miles (3-1-0-0)
  • Beat the subsequent Caulfield Cup winner Jameka by three lengths in the Turnbull Stakes
  • Last start second in the Cox Plate sees him attempt to be the fifth Melbourne Cup winner in 11 years to graduate from that race

No – Hartnell Won’t Head the Melbourne Cup 2016 Results

  • Barrier 12 hasn’t produced a Melbourne Cup winner in over 30 years
  • Ran unplaced (15th) in last year’s Melbourne Cup results and only Protectionist (2013) and Brew (2000) have won the Cup at their second shot in the international era
  • James McDonald is yet to ride a Melbourne Cup winner
  • John O’Shea is yet to train a Melbourne Cup winner
  • Fiorente ($7 in 2013) is the only favourite to win the Melbourne Cup in the past decade

Fancy a punt on the Melbourne Cup betting favourite Hartnell? Get him at a better price thanks to Ladbrokes.com.au Odds Boost!

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2021 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Sandown Guineas 2020 Field �...

2020 Zipping Classic Field �...

2020 Zipping Classic Field & Odds Update: Avilius Firming Favourite

Despite a last start failure in the Melbourne Cup the Godolphin-raced Avilius...

2020 Kennedy Oaks Results: Oli...

2020 Kennedy Oaks Results: Oliver Rides Sixth Winner on Personal

Jockey Damien Oliver celebrated his sixth success in the 162nd running of the...

Kennedy Oaks Day Results 2020:...

Kennedy Oaks Day Results 2020: Personal Wins The Oaks

2020 Kennedy Oaks Day continues the racing action of the Melbourne Cup...

2020 Kennedy Oaks Day: Fleming...

2020 Kennedy Oaks Day: Flemington Scratchings & Track Report

Day 3 of the Melbourne Cup Carnival takes place at Flemington Racecourse...

Horse Racing Today

2021 The Goodwood Results: Sav...

2021 Doomben 10,000 Results: E...

2021 Doomben 10,000 Results: Eduardo Digs Deep to Salute for the Punters

Joe Pride‘s red-hot favourite Eduardo was incredibly tenacious digging...

Andrew Ramsden Winner Realm Of...

Andrew Ramsden Winner Realm Of Flowers into 2021 Melbourne Cup Field

The Anthony & Sam Freedman-trained mare Real Of Flowers is into the $8...

Shock Rough Habit Winner Crimi...

Shock Rough Habit Winner Criminal Defence Firms in 2021 Queensland Derby Betting

There was a huge boilover in the 2021 Rough Habit Plate results on Doomben...

2021 Doomben 10,000 Day: Brisb...

2021 Doomben 10,000 Day: Brisbane Scratchings & Track Report

2021 Doomben 10,000 Day: Brisbane Scratchings & Track Report Group 1...

Race Results

2021 The Goodwood Results: Savatoxl Beats Instant Celebrity and Gytrash

2021 Doomben 10,000 Results: Eduardo Digs Deep to Salute for the Punters

Andrew Ramsden Winner Realm Of Flowers into 2021 Melbourne Cup Field

Shock Rough Habit Winner Criminal Defence Firms in 2021 Queensland Derby Betting

Prince Of Boom Explodes in Spirit Of Boom Classic 2021 Results

Race Previews

2021 Doomben 10,000 Day: Brisbane Scratchings & Track Report

The Goodwood Day 2021: Morphettville Scratchings & Track Report

Doomben 10,000 Betting Update 2021: Eduardo Odds-On

2021 Melbourne Cup Hopes Head Andrew Ramsden Stakes Field

The Goodwood 2021 Odds Update: Gytrash Firming Favourite

Fields & Form

2021 Doomben 10,000 Day: Brisbane Scratchings & Track Report

The Goodwood Day 2021: Morphettville Scratchings & Track Report

2021 Melbourne Cup Hopes Head Andrew Ramsden Stakes Field

The Goodwood 2021 Odds Update: Gytrash Firming Favourite

2021 Scone Cup Field & Odds: Punters Hoping for Royal Celebration