Who Will Win the Melbourne Cup 2010?

October 31, 2010

Who Will Win the Melbourne Cup 2010?

This is the question everyone in Australia is now asking and many people forming an opinion as to who will win the Melbourne Cup in 2010. There will be street corner tips, people who like the colours or the jockey or the trainer (who wouldn’t consider a Bart Cummings trained horse) but there could be a little more science to it. We will tell you who will win this years cup based on the real statistics.

2010 Melbourne Cup

2010 Melbourne Cup Trophy - photo courtesy © VRC

When considering past statistics on the Melbourne Cup we don’t think it is worthwhile going back further than 10 years. Training methods, horse supplements, jockeys and trainers all change, its a changing world so lets look at our most recent history.

Here are some tips for finding this years Melbourne Cup winner. The last 10 Melbourne Cup winners have all fallen within these parameters

Last 10 Melbourne Cup Winners

  • Brew in the 2000 Melbourne Cup
  • Ethereal in the 2001 Melbourne Cup
  • Media Puzzle in the 2002 Melbourne Cup
  • Makybe Diva in the 2003, 2004, 2005 Melbourne Cups
  • Delta Blues in the 2006 Melbourne Cup
  • Efficient in the 2007 Melbourne Cup
  • Viewed in the 2008 Melbourne Cup
  • Shocking in the 2009 Melbourne Cup

Tips for Picking the 2010 Melbourne Cup Winner

  • 1. The last 2 starts the horse has run in a race over 2000 meters or more
  • 2. The age of the horse is between 4 and 7 years
  • 3. It has had a race start within the last 17 days
  • 4. The horse has to have run a place in its last 6 starts – it must have some current form
  • 5. The horse must have won a race in the last 12 months and has to have won a race in its last 6 starts
  • 6. The horse should have a 40% place strike rate in its last 10 starts
  • 7. The prospect should not have been beaten by more than 7 lengths at its last start and must have finished in the first 12 past the post
  • 8. The jockey must have ridden the horse before in a race start
  • 9. From the horse’s last run it cannot be going up more than 2.5 kilos in weight it has to carry and it shouldn’t be dropping more than 7.5 kilos in weight
  • 10. The horse will be weighted no more than 8 kilos less than the top weight for the cup
  • 11. The horse must have started in a weight for age race (WFA) or Handicap race (HCP) at its last 3 starts
  • 12. Do not back a horse that has led the field to the turn at its last start, ideally your horse would have been running from 2nd to 12th on the turn
  • 13. Your horse will not have odds of greater than 50-1
  • 14. It doesn’t matter if you like the horses name
  • 15. And it doesn’t matter if you like the colours or the jockey

So you think picking the Melbourne Cup winner is difficult, don’t excuse the pun or we will challenge you to a shoot out!

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2021 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Military Mission Fires in 2023...

Zipping Classic 2023 Field �...

Zipping Classic 2023 Field & Odds Update: Vow And Declare Defends Title

Danny O’Brien’s 2019 Melbourne Cup winner Vow And Declare continues to show a...

Overpass Heads 2023 Winterbott...

Overpass Heads 2023 Winterbottom Stakes Field & Betting Markets

Bjron Baker’s The Everest performer Overpass is tipped to return to winning...

Osipenko Leads The Gong 2023 R...

Osipenko Leads The Gong 2023 Race Field & Betting

The Chris Waller-trained Pierro four-year-old Osipenko is firm favourite in...

2023 Railway Stakes Field ...

2023 Railway Stakes Field & Betting Update: Tuvalu Narrow Favourite

The Lindsey Smith-trained top-weight Tuvalu is narrow favourite in the latest...

Horse Racing Today

2024 The Galaxy Results: Zapat...

Golden Slipper Results 2024: L...

Golden Slipper Results 2024: Lady Of Camelot Beats Coleman, Storm Boy Third

Co-trainer Gai Waterhouse extended her record to eight victories in the 2024...

2024 George Ryder Stakes Winne...

2024 George Ryder Stakes Winner Veight Beats Older Rivals

Veight joined an elite list of three-year-olds to beat home the older horses...

Rosehill Guineas 2024 Results:...

Rosehill Guineas 2024 Results: Riff Rocket Flies Home Late Ahead of ATC Derby

Chris Waller’s VRC Derby winner from the spring, Riff Rocket, now has the...

2024 Ranvet Stakes Results: Vi...

2024 Ranvet Stakes Results: Via Sistina Too Good Debuting for Waller

Yu Long Investments lucrative European purchase, the now Chris Waller-trained...

Race Results

2024 The Galaxy Results: Zapateo Upsets Sunshine In Paris

Golden Slipper Results 2024: Lady Of Camelot Beats Coleman, Storm Boy Third

Imperatriz Defends Title in 2024 William Reid Stakes

2024 George Ryder Stakes Winner Veight Beats Older Rivals

Rosehill Guineas 2024 Results: Riff Rocket Flies Home Late Ahead of ATC Derby

Race Previews

UK Raider Post Impressionist Heads Tancred Stakes Field & Odds

2024 Australian Cup Field & Betting Update: Pride Of Jenni v Mr Brightside

Golden Slipper 2024 Tips & Betting Update

The Galaxy 2024 Race Field & Odds: Ozzmosis Leads Betting on Slipper Day Sprint

2024 Rosehill Guineas Field & Betting Update: Riff Rocket Set to Take Off

Fields & Form

UK Raider Post Impressionist Heads Tancred Stakes Field & Odds

2024 Australian Cup Field & Betting Update: Pride Of Jenni v Mr Brightside

Golden Slipper 2024 Tips & Betting Update

The Galaxy 2024 Race Field & Odds: Ozzmosis Leads Betting on Slipper Day Sprint

2024 Rosehill Guineas Field & Betting Update: Riff Rocket Set to Take Off