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One of the season’s key Group 1 races for three-year-olds takes place today, Saturday October 11, at Caulfield Racecourse with the 2025 Caulfield Guineas stealing the show in Melbourne with punters keen to get in on the action of the stallion-making showdown.
Below, the Races.com.au team look at the updated Caulfield Guineas odds, late mail, and provide their expert tips for the $3 million event.
Caulfield Guineas Track Report
- Rail: True Entire Circuit
- Weather: Overcast Total
- Dual Track Meeting: N
- Track Type: Turf
- Track Rating: Good 4
- General Comment: Finalised 11/10 – 7:45am / Late Scratching R8 N6
- Irrigation: 6mm last 24 hours, 28mm last 7 days
- Rainfall: nil last 24 hours, 2.6mm last 7 days
- Track Information: Inspection 6AM 11/10; Going Stick- 8.8, Penetrate- 8.6, Shear- 9.6, Soil Moisture- 24.3%
Caulfield Race 8 (4:30PM AEDT) – Caulfield Guineas
Scratchings:
- 6. Vega For Luck (6) – SCRATCHED (LATE) 11/10, 8:57 am
- 17. Centu Cavaddi (6) – SCRATCHED 11/10, 6:47 am
- 18. Regal Award (8) – SCRATCHED 11/10, 6:47 am
The Matt Laurie trained VEGA FOR LUCK (6) was a late scratching from the 2025 Caulfield Guineas field on vet’s advice.
Runner-up in the Prelude at his latest, he looked a genuine roughie inclusion at a great price before being withdrawn having shown signs of stiffness.
The field will now be run under capacity with the first emergency already officially scratched prior to the late omission.
Market Moves
Standout Market Mover:
- No. 8 Navy Pilot – $12 into $6
Favourite:
- No. 2 Wodeton – $4.20 into $3.30
Other Market Firmers:
- No. 1 Rivellino – $23 into $21
- No. 4 Nepotism – $19 into $16
Market Drifts:
- No. 3 Vinrock – $6 out to $9.50
- No. 5 West Of Swindon – $13 out to $17
- No. 9 Autumn Boy – $3.70 out to $4.20
- No. 12 Hillier – $51 out to $71
- No. 13 Stay Cosmic – $35 out to $51
- No. 14 Planet Red – $16 out to $26
- No. 15 Romantic Encounter – $81 out to $21
Rank Outsider:
- No. 11 Prestige Ole – $71 out to $91
Speed Map Predictions
- Leaders: No. 15 Romantic Encounter, No. 16 Observer
- Midfield: No. 2 Wodeton, No. 5 West Of Swindon, No. 9 Autumn Boy, No. 11 Prestige Ole, No. 12 Hillier, No. 14 Planet Red
- Off Midfield: No. 1 Rivellino, No. 8 Navy Pilot, No. 13 Stay Cosmic
- Off Pace: No. 3 Vinrock, No. 7 Highvol, No. 10 Space Rider
- Backmarkers: No. 4 Nepotism
Late Mail Contenders
Wodeton and Autumn Boy are locked in a tight battle for favouritism in the 2025 Caulfield Guineas, with Vinrock and Navy Pilot offering value plays.
Nepotism and Planet Red are emerging as late mail smokies.
No. 4 Nepotism (9) is attracting late interest as a forgotten Group 1 winner. Blake Shinn takes over and the step up to 1600m suits. Could be the blowout.
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4. Nepotism (9)
J: Blake Shinn57kg
11×98T: M, W & J Hawkes
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No. 14 Planet Red (5) has been finding the line well and looks overs at his current price. Maps to settle midfield and finish strong.
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14. Planet Red (5)
J: Jordan Childs57kg
1×143T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
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No. 3 Vinrock (11) has drifted slightly but remains a key contender if he can overcome the wide draw. Forgivable last one and a proven Group 1 winner ready to bounce back.
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3. Vinrock (11)
J: Mark Zahra57kg
1×415T: Matt Laurie
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No. 9 Autumn Boy (1) is expected to peak third-up and gets the gun draw in barrier one. Damian Lane sticks.
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9. Autumn Boy (1)
J: Damian Lane57kg
11×27T: Chris Waller
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Top Tips
- Best Bet: Wodeton – Rock-hard fit, strong Golden Rose form, and ready to break through.
- Best Each Way: Vinrock – Proven class, just needs luck from the draw.
- Best Roughie: Nepotism – Group 1 winner with upside at the mile
Lucy Henderson’s Same Race Multi Selections ($16 at time of publish)
- Top 2 – No. 2 Wodeton
- Top 3 – No. 9 Autumn Boy
- Top 4 – No. 4 Nepotism
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9. Autumn Boy (1)
J: Damian Lane57kg
11×27T: Chris Waller
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4. Nepotism (9)
J: Blake Shinn57kg
11×98T: M, W & J Hawkes
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2. Wodeton (7)
J: James McDonald57kg
4×242T: Chris Waller
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| 9. Autumn Boy (1) J: Damian Lane57kg 11x27T: Chris Waller | ||
| 14. Planet Red (5) J: Jordan Childs57kg 1x143T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | ||
| 16. Observer (6) J: Ethan Brown57kg 215x2T: Ciaron Maher | ||
| 3. Vinrock (11) J: Mark Zahra57kg 1x415T: Matt Laurie | ||
| 12. Hillier (14) J: Luke Currie57kg x1243T: Annabel & Rob Archibald | ||
| 8. Navy Pilot (2) J: Jamie Melham57kg 37x21T: Ciaron Maher | ||
| 4. Nepotism (9) J: Blake Shinn57kg 11x98T: M, W & J Hawkes | ||
| 1. Rivellino (3) J: Craig Williams57kg 5x466T: Kris Lees | ||
| 5. West Of Swindon (13) J: Ben Melham57kg 0x421T: Ciaron Maher | ||
| 2. Wodeton (7) J: James McDonald57kg 4x242T: Chris Waller | ||
| 10. Space Rider (8) J: Beau Mertens57kg 4x174T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | ||
| 15. Romantic Encounter (10) J: Daniel Stackhouse57kg 12T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | ||
| 13. Stay Cosmic (12) J: Thomas Stockdale57kg 22x25T: Phillip Stokes | ||
| 7. Highvol (15) J: Declan Bates57kg 1x764T: Nick Ryan | ||
| 11. Prestige Ole (4) J: Harry Coffey57kg 12x59T: Matt Laurie |
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