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Tomorrow Sydneysiders at the Royal Randwick and racing fans around Australia will enjoy a triple shot of Group 1 action with one of the feature Derby Day races being the $500,000 Inglis Sires Produce Stakes (1400m) and smart filly Shared Reflections is prepared to take on the boys in the juvenile showdown.
Following the early withdrawal of the Anthony Cummings-trained Smart Missile from the 2011 AJC Inglis Sires Produce Stakes field, bookmakers have Bart Cummings’ unbeaten colt Do You Think as the firming $3.50 favourite.
The son of Starcraft won on debut over 1100m at Canterbury in late March before being entered for the premier two-year-olds’ race, the Golden Slipper Stakes last Saturday.
Missing out on the start as the first emergency for the $3.5 million Slipper, Do You Think raced in the Group 3 The Schweppervescence (1400m) at Rosehill instead last weekend and posted their second career win in fine style.
“Do You Think has impressed at both starts and looms as the logical danger,” Paul Vincent from Luxbet said.
A longer-priced contender that has also begun to see some love from the punters that is out to claim an upset tomorrow in the Sires Produce Stake is the Gai Waterhouse-trained Shared Reflections.
The daughter of Umatilla took out the Group 3 Sweet Embrace Stakes (1200m) at Warwick Farm on March 12, which saw her earn a spot in this year’s Golden Slipper.
Shared Reflections could only manage to finish four and a half lengths away sixth to Golden Slipper winner Sepoy last Saturday, however.
Her unsuccessful Slipper run saw her open as a $13 outsider for the Sires Produce Stakes, but the ‘forgive’ attitude of punters has seen her firm into $9.
The filly showed last week that she was perhaps looking for a little more distance than the 1200m, Shared Reflections having found the line well despite a slow start in the Slipper.
Over 1400m tomorrow she should show plenty of improvement and despite having to overcome a double-digit barrier (11 into 10), Shared Reflections can finally give her Gooree Stud owners something to celebrate.
Shared Reflections is owned by the same connections as Smart Missile.
“It’s been a horror week,” Andrew Baddock from Gooree Stud said.
“She (Shared Reflections) ran terrific in the Slipper and Damien Oliver got off her and said I would certainly be pressing on to the Sires and the Champagne Stakes with her.”
Jockey Damien Oliver rode Shared Reflections for the first time in the Slipper and continues his association with her in the Inglis Sires Produce Stakes tomorrow.
“He (Oliver) said they just ran along very quick and she never got that chance to balance up (in the Slipper),” Baddock said.
“She’s certainly looking for 1400 metres to a mile (1600m) and she’ll love the 1400 at Randwick on her home track.
“She’s certainly not without a decent hope in the race.”
Other top fancies for the Inglis Sires Produce Stakes this year include Golden Slipper third placegetter Elite Falls ($3.60), Helmet ($5) and Uate ($10).
John O’Shea’s More Than Ready filly Elite Falls has been in excellent form all season, her highlight run being the upset victory over Satin Shoes in the Group 2 Reisling Stakes (1200m) at Rosehill on March 19 in the wet.
Last Saturday Elite Falls overcame a wide barrier 14 draw in the Golden Slipper to finish three and a half lengths away third to Sepoy and tomorrow she will benefit from the ideal barrier four start.
The Peter Snowden-trained Exceed And Excel colt Helmet has also been well backed in the Sires Produce betting.
“Helmet deliberately missed the Slipper to be targeted for this after the barrier mishap in Melbourne,” Luxbet’s leading bookmaker Paul Vincent told Races.com.au.
“He has loads of ability in my opinion and will settle in front of his main rivals and prove too strong.”
Another potential champion in the making is the Kris Lees-trained Uate who remains unbeaten in their three career starts to date.
“He has come up with a nice gate (two) and I think it has suited him having that little gap (four weeks) between runs,” Lees said of Uate.
“He’ll be the fresh horse on the scene. I’m hoping that’s his advantage, that’s what we are relying on.”
At his last start Ad Valorem colt Uate scored a gritty win over Hot Snitzel in the Group 3 Skyline Stakes (1200m) at Warwick Farm on March 12.
“Obviously it’s a huge class rise from him but Nash (Rawiller) is sticking with him which I think is a big positive,” Lees said.
“He has kept winning, whether he has got the class to win a Group One at this stage is the question, but his manners have improved with each run and he has been pleasing me at home in trackwork.”
The 2011 Inglis Sires Produce Stakes is set to run as Randwick Race 6 tomorrow at 3:00pm (AEST) one event before the 150th AJC Derby takes centre stage at 3:40pm (AEST).
Randwick Race 6 Tips – 2011 Inglis Sires Produce Stakes Selections
- #10 Shared Reflections
- #8 Elite Falls
- #2 Helmet
- # 3 Uate
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