Victoria Derby 2025 Tips & Best Bets

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It’s the race that launches legends — 2500 metres, one crown, and a lifetime of bragging rights. This is the Victoria Derby.

Cup Week kicks off at Flemington on Saturday and the ultimate staying test for three-year-olds headlines the card at HQ, and the Races.com.au team has the expert 2025 Victoria Derby tips and best bets right here.

A capacity line-up of promising young stayers converges for another top-class edition of the Group 1 $2 million Victoria Derby (2500m) where stallion values for the top three across the line are set to skyrocket.

Horse Racing Tip 2025 Victoria Derby Selections: No. 6 Providence, No. 1 Observer, No. 7 Azazel

The latest Victoria Derby odds at Ladbrokes are firmly led by last weekend’s Moonee Valley Vase champion Observer who is at $2.10 to do the double for the first time since Efficient (2006).

So, will Observer handle the quick back-up and rise in distance to hand Ciaron Maher with his second VRC Derby trophy?

Will the Vase runner-up Providence be able to turn the tables with more metres to close the gap?

Or is there an upset Victoria Derby result pending from something further down the markets like last start Caulfield Classic champ Autumn Mystery chasing a hat-trick from a wide draw?

This year’s Victoria Derby winner will be crowned when the time-honoured classic runs as Flemington Race 7 at 4:20pm (AEDT).

In the meantime, check out our Same Race Multi selections below.

2025 Victoria Derby Same Race Multi Selections ($27 at time of publish)

Top 2 – No. 6 Providence
Top 3 – No. 1 Observer
Top 4 – No. 7 Azazel

Chris Waller is no stranger to Derby success, and PROVIDENCE (12) gives him a genuine shot at adding a fourth VRC Derby trophy to the cabinet this Saturday. The Wootton Bassett colt turned heads with a barnstorming finish in the Moonee Valley Vase on Cox Plate Day, rattling home from the tail to grab second behind Observer — the current Derby favourite. It was a massive turnaround from his Gloaming Stakes run in Sydney, where he finished midfield. Back racing the Melbourne way and stepping up in trip, he looked far more at home and showed he’s trending the right way at the right time. Drawn out in 12, he’ll need things to fall into place early, but with Craig Williams taking over from James McDonald, he’s in safe hands. If he can slot in with cover and produce that same booming finish on Flemington’s expansive straight, Providence has the staying power and timing to turn the tables and deliver a Derby-day upset. One for the value hunters. The Victoria Derby market has a clear leader, with OBSERVER (4) firming into a dominant $2.10 favourite following his commanding win in the Moonee Valley Vase on Cox Plate Day. Trained by Ciaron Maher, the progressive son of Ghaiyyath was simply too good over the 2040m, dictating terms from the front and kicking strongly to hold off Providence by half a length. That performance backed up his third in the Caulfield Guineas and confirmed he’s thriving with each run. Now stepping up to 2500m on the quick back-up, he’s chasing a rare double — no horse has completed the Vase–Derby sweep since Efficient in 2006, but Observer looks every bit capable of joining that elite club. Drawn perfectly in barrier four and with Mark Zahra sticking in the saddle, all signs point to another bold showing. He’s fit, flying, and the punters are piling in. If he gets his way up front again, they might be chasing shadows. For value in the Top 4 I’m adding in an underrated runner with AZAZEL (10) the lightly raced challenger rising in grade but putting it all together at the right time to outrun his generous Derby odds. Winner of the Geelong Classic, this untapped youngster shapes as a sneaky value play. He’s a son of former Melbourne Cup champ Shocking so is bred to thrive over the staying trip. He’s shown steady progression this prep and gets the benefit of Michael Dee sticking in the saddle — a rider who knows how to time his run in the big ones. If he continues to improve and handles the rise in class, he could be the one to surprise and go close.

Flemington R7 – Howden Victoria Derby (G1)

Final Race time:

1st	1. Observer (4) J: Mark Zahra 57kg 5×231 T: Ciaron Maher	2.50WIN 1.50PLACE
5th	6. Providence (12) J: Craig Williams 57kg 60382 T: Chris Waller	5.00WIN 1.95PLACE
16th	7. Azazel (10) J: Michael Dee 57kg 141 T: Mark Walker	31.00WIN 6.50PLACE

For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 26/09/2026 12:13:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

View Results: Bet Now: Flemington Race 7

Good luck punters!

Victoria Derby 2025 Results

Flemington R7 - Howden Victoria Derby (G1)

Final Race time:

1st	1. Observer (4) J: Mark Zahra 57kg 5x231 T: Ciaron Maher	2.50WIN 1.50PLACE
2nd	8. Arcora (11) J: John Allen 57kg 31005 T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	61.00WIN 11.00PLACE
3rd	16. Deal Done Fast (1) J: Daniel Stackhouse 57kg 244 T: Matt Cumani	31.00WIN 6.50PLACE
4th	13. One Step Closer (2) J: Jye McNeil 57kg x5104 T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton	126.00WIN 18.00PLACE
5th	6. Providence (12) J: Craig Williams 57kg 60382 T: Chris Waller	5.00WIN 1.95PLACE
6th	14. Savisanta (3) J: Ben Melham 57kg 2223 T: Chris Waller	20.00WIN 4.80PLACE
7th	4. Miewa (8) J: Jordan Childs 57kg 44122 T: Nick Ryan	17.00WIN 4.40PLACE
8th	3. Autumn Mystery (15) J: Blake Shinn 57kg 52211 T: Rory Hunter	10.00WIN 3.00PLACE
9th	9. O'sheamus (5) J: Kerrin McEvoy 57kg x4613 T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton	10.00WIN 3.10PLACE
10th	5. Options (7) J: Harry Coffey 57kg 11315 T: Tony & Calvin McEvoy	12.00WIN 3.40PLACE
11th	11. Engine Of War (9) J: Tommy Berry 57kg 3x127 T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	31.00WIN 6.50PLACE
12th	2. Highvol (13) J: Jamie Mott 57kg 76402 T: Nick Ryan	35.00WIN 7.50PLACE
13th	10. Amazake (6) J: Declan Bates 57kg 7x673 T: Ciaron Maher	71.00WIN 12.00PLACE
14th	15. Mcwoody (14) J: Jamie Melham 57kg 15 T: Mark Walker	46.00WIN 9.00PLACE
15th	12. Matsuda (16) J: Thomas Stockdale 57kg 24814 T: Ciaron Maher	81.00WIN 13.00PLACE
16th	7. Azazel (10) J: Michael Dee 57kg 141 T: Mark Walker	31.00WIN 6.50PLACE

For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 26/09/2026 12:13:50 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

View Results

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