next to go

2025 Newmarket Handicap winner Joliestar

Group 1 The Everest Odds Update, Late Mail & Tips

Lucy Henderson October 18, 2025

Group 1 The Everest Odds Update, Late Mail & Tips

Chances are you're about to lose.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

The final field is locked in, the market’s on the move, and punters are keen to get behind the season’s elite sprinters – below is the ultimate Races.com.au guide to The Everest 2025 with the latest odds, late mail, and expert tips ahead of today’s $20 million sprint at Randwick.

2025 Newmarket Handicap winner Joliestar
Joliestar maps perfectly for a potential 2025 The Everest upset. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

The richest turf race on the planet returns to Royal Randwick today, Saturday October 18, and the mountain is steeper than ever with Hong Kong flyer Ka Ying Rising ready to conquer the ninth running of the now world-famous Group 1 The Everest (1200m).

Ka Ying Rising has the class, but Overpass and War Machine bring tactical edge and momentum. Joliestar is the midfield swooper to watch. Expect fireworks from the jump!

David Hayes‘ four-time Group 1 winner remains the firm favourite in The Everest betting at Ladbrokes.com.au but late mail from the Sydney and tactical maps suggest a few challengers could cause an upset.

Randwick Track Report

  • Rail: +3m Entire
  • Penetrometer: 5.21
  • Weather: Fine
  • Dual Track Meeting: N
  • Track Type: Turf
  • Track Rating: Good 4
  • General Comment: Finalised 18/10 – 7:45am
  • Irrigation: Nil last 24hrs, 21mm last 7 days
  • Rainfall: 1.5mm last 24hrs, 1.6mm last 7 days
  • Going Stick: Index 9.3, Shear 12.5

Randwick is currently rated a Good 4, with no major rain forecast which suits speed horses and those drawn inside.

Randwick Race 7 (4:15PM AEDT) – The Everest

Scratchings: None

Market Moves

Standout Market Mover:

  • No. 5 War Machine – $15 into $9.50
From smoky to serious contender, Lindsay Park's Stradbroke champ, War Machine, is the early mover punters are rallying behind to keep the wins coming second-up today. He turned heads fresh, smashing his rivals in the Group 2 Gilgai Stakes while lugging serious weight. This is his biggest challenge yet, but he’s rising to every occasion and fully deserves his crack at The Everest. Shortening fast, now into single digits after early double-figure quotes.

Favourite:

  • No. 1 Ka Ying Rising – $1.80 out to $2
Ka Ying Rising has climbed the Hong Kong sprinting ranks with style, and now he’s ready to scale The Everest. He’s got the ratings, the rhythm, and the rider with Zac Purton down under to continues associations making him the one to beat. The market knows he’s the fastest horse in the race, and while Randwick may be new territory, winning certainly isn’t. He has eased out slightly now and is no longer odds-on opening up value if you're on the favourite but also indicating the punters think he could be vulnerable with plenty of locals ready to run over the top of him late. Odds hovering around $2. Still firm, but not bulletproof.

Market Firmers:

  • No. 2 Briasa – $13 into $10
  • No. 3 Overpass – $51 into $41

Market Drifts:

  • No. 4 Jimmysstar – $9 out to $10
  • No. 6 Mazu – $101 into $126
  • No. 8 Angel Capital – $21 out to $26
  • No. 12 Tempted – $13 out to $16

Steady in the Markets:

  • No. 9 Joliestar – $6
  • No. 10 Lady Shenandoah – $13
  • No. 11 Magic Time – $61

Rank Outsider:

  • No. 7 Jedibeel – $201

Speed Map Predictions

  • Leaders: No. 1 Ka Ying Rising, No. 3 Overpass, No. 6 Mazu
  • Midfield: No. 2 Briasa, No. 5 War Machine, No. 10 Lady Shenandoah, No. 11 Magic Time
  • Off Midfield: No. 7 Jedibeel, No. 9 Joliestar, No. 12 Tempted
  • Backmarkers: No. 4 Jimmysstar, No. 8 Angel Capital
Speed Map Tips: Overpass is expected to push forward and set the tempo as one of the potential leaders, with Briasa possibly tracking but at risk of being posted three wide. Ka Ying Rising will be right up on speed but could potentially be overrun late. Off the map, Joliestar and Lady Shenandoah loom as the late dangers, while Jimmysstar is the backmarker to watch for a final swoop!

Late Mail Contenders

Top Seed

No. 1 Ka Ying Rising

Ka Ying Rising’s trial was underwhelming, but insiders say he’s improved sharply since and looks ready to peak. He’s the best sprinter in the world on ratings, and if he brings his A-game, he’s hard to beat.

Randwick R7
Final Race time: 
1st
1. Ka Ying Rising (7) J: Zac Purton 58.5kg
T: David A Hayes
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 03/02/2026 03:57:34 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

The Danger

No. 9 Joliestar

Each-way value with strong form lines and tactical versatility to improve on her seventh in the race with excuses last year. Could get a soft run midfield and has one of the best hoops in the world – James McDonald – riding. Proven at Randwick, handles pressure, and could be the one to fly home late. She launched her campaign in blistering style, recapturing the brilliance of her Group 1 Newmarket win and putting key rivals to the sword in The Shorts. A sharp trial since has kept her ticking over. She shapes as the most serious challenger to the Hong Kong superstar.

Randwick R7
Final Race time: 
5th
9. Joliestar (5) J: James McDonald 56.5kg
T: Chris Waller
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 03/02/2026 03:57:34 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

Value Play

No. 2 Briasa

Has talent but risks getting caught wide. Needs everything to go right in the run but if things pan out for this grey sensation, he’s every hope to win at a track and trip he’s proficient at. Beat them in the Premiere, has proven himself top-class, but the barrier draw hasn’t been kind. He’s still a genuine contender.

Randwick R7
Final Race time: 
8th
2. Briasa (10) J: Tyler Schiller 58.5kg
T: M, W & J Hawkes
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 03/02/2026 03:57:34 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

Roughie to Watch

No. 3 Overpass

Don’t ignore the tactical map – set to lead and could pinch a top three finish it left alone until the very end. This underrated flyer is the expected pace setter out to control the tempo. Maps well and has the toughness to stick on. A strong play to fill the exotics at a huge price.

 

Randwick R7
Final Race time: 
4th
3. Overpass (9) J: Josh Parr 58.5kg
T: Bjorn Baker
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 03/02/2026 03:57:34 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

Industry Top Tips

Win Bet: No. 1 Ka Ying Rising

  • Why: Rated the best sprinter in the world, with 14 wins from 16 starts.
  • Concerns: Trial was flat, but trainer David Hayes and jockey Zac Purton say he’s bounced back.

Value Play: No. 3 Overpass

  • Why: Maps to lead, handles pressure, and has the toughness to stick on.
  • Odds: At $41/$7 offers enormous each-way value for punters wanting to take on Ka Ying.

X-Factor: No. 5 War Machine

  • Why: Explosive fresh win in the G2 Gilgai under a big weight. Market mover with upside.
  • Odds: Shortening fast, now into single digits.

Late Danger: No. 9 Joliestar

  • Why: Strong turn of foot, proven at Randwick, and was brilliant in The Shorts. Could be the one to flash late.
  • Odds: Around $6, good price for a good mare.

Lucy Henderson’s Same Race Multi Selections ($16 at time of publish)

  • Top 2 – No. 1 Ka Ying Rising
  • Top 3 – No. 2 Briasa
  • Top 4 – No. 12 Tempted

KA YING RISING (7) is the Hong Kong sprinting machine everyone’s talking about — and with 14 wins from 16 starts, it’s easy to see why he’s the Everest favourite. Trained by David Hayes and ridden by Zac Purton, this four-time Group 1 winner has dominated the 1200m scene overseas and arrives in Sydney with serious form, including a crushing win at Sha Tin last start under 61kg. There’s been some noise about his condition since landing, but Hayes has shut that down and says the horse is spot-on. Barrier seven looks perfect, and with his record, speed, and class, it’s hard to tip against him — Ka Ying Rising could lead them from barrier to box.

BRIASA (10) might be drawn wide, but he’s massive value and a genuine each-way danger in The Everest. Team Hawkes’ flashy grey is flying under the radar yet arrives third-up rock-hard fit with six wins from seven goes at 1200m and proven Randwick form. He’s already knocked off Jimmysstar in the Premiere Stakes and was only a length off Joliestar fresh in The Shorts, so the local form lines stack up. Tyler Schiller sticks, the stable’s confident, and while he hasn’t faced Ka Ying Rising yet, if Briasa lands in the right spot from gate 10, he’s more than capable of shaking things up at a juicy price.

TEMPTED (1) looks a cracking value place chance in The Everest, with just 51kg on her back and a dream draw in barrier one. Maher’s classy filly has been ultra-consistent, and while no filly’s ever won the race, she’s got the form to give it a shake. A dual Group 2 winner as a juvenile with a Golden Slipper third to Marhoona, she’s picked up right where she left off this prep — winning the Run To The Rose and placing in the Golden Rose behind Beiwacht. The 1400m stretched her last time, but back to 1200m she’s right in the mix, and with Craig Williams aboard, she’ll get every chance to run into the money.

Randwick R7
Final Race time: 
1st
1. Ka Ying Rising (7) J: Zac Purton 58.5kg
T: David A Hayes
2nd
12. Tempted (1) J: Craig Williams 51kg
T: Ciaron Maher
8th
2. Briasa (10) J: Tyler Schiller 58.5kg
T: M, W & J Hawkes
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 03/02/2026 03:57:34 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

The Everest 2025 Results

Randwick R7
Final Race time: 
1st
1. Ka Ying Rising (7) J: Zac Purton 58.5kg
T: David A Hayes
2nd
12. Tempted (1) J: Craig Williams 51kg
T: Ciaron Maher
3rd
4. Jimmysstar (11) J: Ethan Brown 58.5kg
T: Ciaron Maher
4th
3. Overpass (9) J: Josh Parr 58.5kg
T: Bjorn Baker
5th
9. Joliestar (5) J: James McDonald 56.5kg
T: Chris Waller
6th
8. Angel Capital (3) J: Ben Melham 58.5kg
T: Chris Waller
7th
10. Lady Shenandoah (6) J: Damian Lane 56.5kg
T: Chris Waller
8th
2. Briasa (10) J: Tyler Schiller 58.5kg
T: M, W & J Hawkes
9th
6. Mazu (2) J: Jason Collett 58.5kg
T: Joseph Pride
10th
5. War Machine (4) J: Tim Clark 58.5kg
T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes
11th
7. Jedibeel (8) J: Kerrin McEvoy 58.5kg
T: Brad Widdup
12th
11. Magic Time (12) J: Michael Dee 56.5kg
T: Grahame Begg
For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 03/02/2026 03:57:34 PM (Australia/Brisbane)

THINK. IS THIS A BET YOU REALLY WANT TO PLACE?

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2021 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Horse Racing Today

Think. Is this a bet you really want to place?

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au