Thousand Guineas 2017 Form Guide & Betting Preview

October 12, 2017

Thousand Guineas 2017 Form Guide & Betting Preview

There may only be eight fillies in this year’s field but there is still a 2017 Thousand Guineas form guide analysis and betting preview on the mile showdown to go over before race day.

Shoals

Shoals boasts the highest win rate of all the fillies in Saturday’s Thousand Guineas 2017 field at Caulfield Racecourse. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

We have one of the smallest fields for this season’s Group 1 $500,000 Schweppes Thousand Guineas (1600m) in over 30 years, but there is still a level of depth in Caulfield Race 6 at 3:15pm (AEST) on Saturday afternoon.

Three of the fillies in the mix are under double-figures in Thousand Guineas betting at Ladbrokes.com.au including the hot favourite Alizee ($2.20).

Thousand Guineas favourites have saluted four times in the past 10 years and the top fancy in 2017, the James Cummings-trained Alizee, comes off a lead-up win in the Group 1 Flight Stakes (1600m).

She impressive over the mile in Sydney and will look to do the same getting on her Melbourne leg for the first time this weekend from barrier two with Glyn Schofield retaining the ride on the flying daughter of Sepoy.

If the Flight Stakes form doesn’t stack up this spring, money is coming for Shoals ($5 into $4.20) to improve on her lead-up second in the Group 2 Thousand Guineas Prelude (1400m) at the track a fortnight back and take out the elite level.

The Prelude winner Booker is the other danger drawn the outside barrier in Thousand Guineas field and paying $7 to do the double for the first time since the David Hayes-trained Irish Lights (2009).

Below we take a full look over the Thousand Guineas 2017 form guide, betting preview and race statistics to uncover any value in the event before punters head to Ladbrokes.com.au for the best weekend odds.

Lindsay Park co-trainer David Hayes chases his fourth Thousand Guineas winner with Pure Scot on Saturday

2017 Thousand Guineas Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Thousand Guineas winner was the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained last start Flight Stakes winner Global Glamour (2016) who jumped from barrier 8 (of 14) and was ridden to victory as the $4.40 second favourite by Kerrin McEvoy
  • The previous Thousand Guineas winning trainers with a runner this weekend are Mick Price with #8 She’s So High ($13) and Lindsay Park head trainer David Hayes chasing his fourth with #4 Pure Scot ($13)
  • The previous Thousand Guineas winning jockeys with a ride on Saturday are Dwayne Dunn on #3 Booker ($7) and five-time winning hoop Damien Oliver on #8 She’s So High
Jockey Damien Oliver gets the chance to ride his sixth Thousand Guineas winner and first since Commanding Jewel (2012) aboard She’s So High this weekend
  • Last year’s Thousand Guineas winning barrier (8) has produced four winners (since 1983) and is drawn this year by #3 Booker
  • The other most successful Thousand Guineas barrier in that time with five winners is gate 5 drawn on Saturday by #8 She’s So High
  • Four of the past 10 Thousand Guineas favourites have saluted for the punters most recently Guelph ($1.40 in 2013)
  • #2 Alizee ($2.20) jumps favourite in Thousand Guineas betting this year
In the past 10 years six of the Thousand Guineas winners saluted at single-figure odds
  • In the past decade four Thousand Guineas winners jumped at double-figures
  • In the past decade four Thousand Guineas winners came off a lead-up win
  • The Flight Stakes has produced three Thousand Guineas champions in 10 years including Guelph (2013) and Global Glamour (2016) who both did the interstate mile double
  • #2 Alizee chases the Flight Stakes – Thousand Guineas double in 2017
  • The other last start winner in the field is #3 Booker coming out of the Thousand Guineas Prelude that has produced two of the past three winners of the Group 1
  • The other Thousand Guineas Prelude graduates in Saturday’s rematch are Shoals (2nd) and She’s So High (4th)
  • The other key Thousand Guineas lead-up race is the Group 2 Edward Manifold Stakes (1600m) that has produced four winners since 2006 including Gallica (2008) who did the double
  • The Edward Manifold Stakes graduates from last Saturday out to frank the form are Leather’n’lace (3rd) and Pure Scot (4th)
  • The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #1 Shoals (80%) followed by #6 Leather’n’lace (60%)
  • The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #1 Shoals (100%), #3 Booker (100%) and #6 Leather’n’lace (100%) who are all yet to finish out of the top three
  • The fillies with previous winning form at the Caulfield track are: #3 Booker (2-1-1-0), #4 Pure Scot (2-1-0-0) and #6 Leather’n’lace (1-1-0-0)
  • The only filly already proven over the distance (1600m) with a mile win is the favourite #2 Alizee (1-1-0-0)

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our exclusive Thousand Guineas 2017 betting tips, checking out the full race form guide below in the meantime courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au.

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