Group 1 Caulfield Cup Odds Update, Late Mail & Tips

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The Caulfield Cup 2025 is here – 2400 metres, 18 contenders, and one golden ticket to spring greatness.

Get ready punters, when those gates fly open, the crowd will roar, and the Cup call begins – Caulfield’s crown jewel is ready to run this afternoon at 5:15pm and below is the ultimate Races.com.au guide to the Caulfield Cup with the latest odds, late mail, and expert tips ahead of today’s $5 million classic.

2025 Naturalism Stakes winner Half Yours — Naturalism Stakes winner Half Yours is dominant favourite in 2025 Caulfield Cup betting. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

Horse Racing Tip Half Yours is the one to beat, but Middle Earth and Meydaan bring depth and danger. With international flair and local grit, the 2025 Caulfield Cup promises a thrilling finish!

Tony & Calvin McEvoy‘s lightly weighted local Half Yours is the firm favourite in Caulfield Cup betting at Ladbrokes, but late mail suggests the imported Middle Earth and international raider Meydaan are peaking at the right time.

Caulfield Track Report

Rail: Out 3m Entire Circuit
Weather: Fine
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Rating: Good 4
General Comment: Finalised 18/10 – 7:30am
Irrigation: 6mm last 24 hours, 30mm last 7 days
Rainfall: nil last 24 hours, 6.6mm last 7 days
Track Information: Inspection 6AM 18/10; Going Stick- 8.6, Penetrate- 8, Shear- 10, Soil Moisture- 25.9%

Caulfield is currently rated a Good 4, with no major rain forecast – ideal for genuine stayers.

Caulfield Race 9 (5:15PM AEDT) – Caulfield Cup

Scratchings: None

Caulfield Cup 2025 Odds Update

Half Yours: Clear favourite, currently around $2.90, after a fast-finishing Turnbull Stakes run.
Middle Earth: Strong local chance for Maher, sitting at $12.00, adds depth to the staying ranks.
Deakin: Each-way value, around $16.00, consistent and well-weighted.
Meydaan: International raider, value now out to $11.00, representing the Crisford stable.
Presage Nocturne: French stayer, off a close third in the Kergolay, well respected but right out to $46.00.

Market Moves

Standout Market Mover:

No. 1 Vauban – $14 into $9.50

Favourite:

No. 15 Half Yours – $2.45 out to $2.90

Market Firmers:

No. 3 Middle Earth – $14 into $12
No. 5 Absurde – $31 into $23
No. 10 Deakin – $20 into $16
No. 11 Golden Snap – $20 into $16
No. 12 Revelare – $26 into $21
No. 13 River Of Stars – $91 into $81
No. 16 Royal Supremacy – $12 into $9.50
No. 18 Plymouth – $91 into $61

Market Drifts:

No. 2 Presage Nocturne – $26 out to $46
No. 4 Meydaan – $8.50 out to $11
No. 6 Land Legend – $18 out to $31
No. 7 Zardozi – $26 out to $31
No. 8 Adelaide River – $16 out to $23
No. 14 Birdman – $16 out to $18

Steady in the Markets:

No. 17 Valiant King – $26

Rank Outsider:

No. 9 Bankers Choice – $91

Speed Map Predictions

Leader: No. 9 Bankers Choice
On Pace: No. 10 Deakin, No. 13 River Of Stars
Midfield: No. 1 Vauban, No. 2 Presage Nocturne, No. 4 Meydaan, No. 5 Absurde, No. 12 Revelare, No. 14 Birdman, No. 15 Half Yours, No. 16 Royal Supremacy, No. 18 Plymouth
Off Midfield: No. 7 Zardozi, No. 11 Golden Snap, No. 17 Valiant King
Off Pace: No. 8 Adelaide River
Backmarkers: No. 3 Middle Earth, No. 6 Land Legend

Speed Map Betting Tips

Half Yours: Ideal map position, midfield with cover. If the tempo is genuine, he’ll get every chance to unleash late.
Meydaan: Maps well, midfield with room to move. Peaking at the right time and well-weighted for his rating.

Late Mail Contenders

Top Seed

No. 15 Half Yours Favourite has drawn well (2) and looks primed to peak third-up. Was huge stamping his tick with a commanding Group 3 Naturalism Stakes win two starts back here at Caulfield. He then flashed home for a brave fourth to Sir Delius in the Group 1 Turnbull against elite company. Stable confidence is high. Heads the market for good reason. With a 3.5kg weight drop and a step up to 2400m, he’s perfectly placed, and with even luck in running, he’ll be right in the finish.

Caulfield R9 – Sportsbet Caulfield Cup (G1)

Final Race time:

1st

15. Half Yours (2)

J: Jamie Melham 52.5kg

21514 T: Tony & Calvin McEvoy

2.60WIN

1.45PLACE

For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:31:06 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

View Results: Bet Now: Half Yours

The Danger

No. 4 Meydaan Has impressed in trackwork and brings strong overseas form. Peaking at the right time, maps well and market support make him a live chance. A progressive five-year-old from the Crisford stable, the same team behind West Wind Blows and Without A Fight, arrives with upside and international credentials. He’s taken time to hit his stride, but his latest run at Kempton was a breakout performance, finishing just behind two proven Group 1 stayers who later placed in the top 10 of the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, the pinnacle of global staying contests. With a favourable draw and momentum on his side, he profiles as a serious winning chance.

Caulfield R9 – Sportsbet Caulfield Cup (G1)

Final Race time:

9th

4. Meydaan (5)

J: Andrea Atzeni 56kg

20523 T: Simon & Ed Crisford

15.00WIN

4.20PLACE

For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:31:06 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

View Results: Bet Now: Meydaan

Best Value Roughie

No. 2 Presage Nocturne Northern Hemisphere visitor is the unknown quantity; he’s classy but untested on Australian soil. Brings French flair and proven stamina, he shapes up as the dark horse with the ability to surprise. Second-up and fresh off a 55-day break, his Euro form is solid. Kicked off with a close third at Deauville in the Group 2 Kergorlay, just a long neck off Double Major while lugging 59kg. Last prep, he also ran third second-up in the Group 1 Vtesse Vigier at Longchamp over 3100m. While November 4 and 3200m calls, this isn’t out of his reach as a warmup.

Caulfield R9 – Sportsbet Caulfield Cup (G1)

Final Race time:

4th

2. Presage Nocturne (8)

J: Stephane Pasquier 57.5kg

x13x3 T: Alessandro Botti

67.00WIN

13.00PLACE

For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:31:06 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

View Results: Bet Now: Presage Nocturne

Industry Top Tips

Favourite: No. 15 Half Yours — backed by nearly every expert for his class and setup.
Value Play: No. 6 Land Legend — settles at the back with the ability to go on with it late and swoop into the money.
X-Factor: No. 4 Meydaan — international raider with form behind Arc runners.
Wildcard: No. 1 Vauban — Glen Boss’s pick, could defy the weight and history.

Lucy Henderson’s Same Race Multi Selections ($71 at time of publish)

Top 2 – No. 15 Half Yours
Top 3 – No. 4 Meydaan
Top 4 – No. 2 Presage Nocturne

HALF YOURS (2) looks the real deal for the Caulfield Cup and I’m happy to be with him leading the markets to run top two. The $2.90 favourite has drawn perfectly in gate two, gets in light with just 52.5kg, and Jamie Melham sticks after steering him to a dominant 3.5-length win in the Group 3 Naturalism Stakes here last month. He was strong late behind Melbourne Cup fancy Sir Delius in the Turnbull and now steps up to 2400m — a trip he smashed in the Caloundra Cup over winter. The Naturalism–Caulfield Cup double hasn’t been done since Jameka in 2016, and favourites don’t always win this, but he maps beautifully and brings the right form. I’m backing him to get it done or at least go very close. MEYDAAN (5) appeals if you’re chasing value. The UK raider looks a serious threat to the locals and could easily hand Simon & Ed Crisford a Caulfield Cup trophy. The stable knows the terrain — they brought West Wind Blows for second in 2023 and campaigned Without A Fight who went on to do the Cups double after transferring to the Freedmans — and this lightly raced son of Frankel has been trending the right way. He hit a career peak last start in the Group 3 September Stakes at Kempton, finishing just behind two Group 1 stayers who ran 4th and 7th in the Arc, which is elite form. He carried 60.5kg there and was only two lengths off Giavellotto, so dropping to 56kg here is a big plus. With Andrea Atzeni aboard and a good draw to work from, he’s well set up and proven over similar trips — definitely worth an Each Way play. PRESAGE NOCTURNE (8) at the price looks overs and gives off serious Americain vibes, so I’m happy to have an Each Way nibble on the flashy French grey. Trained by Alessandro Botti and ridden by regular hoop Stephane Pasquier, he’s a proven stayer with wins up to 3000m and two runner-up efforts over the mile and a half. He arrives off a narrow defeat in the Group 2 Prix Kergorlay — a race that’s historically stacked up well in Aussie spring features — and the 57.5kg second topweight shouldn’t faze him. He’s fit off a 55-day let-up, maps to settle midfield, and with pedigree, class, and form lines all ticking boxes, he’s a genuine top-three chance.

Caulfield R9 – Sportsbet Caulfield Cup (G1)

Final Race time:

1st	15. Half Yours (2) J: Jamie Melham 52.5kg 21514 T: Tony & Calvin McEvoy	2.60WIN 1.45PLACE
4th	2. Presage Nocturne (8) J: Stephane Pasquier 57.5kg x13x3 T: Alessandro Botti	67.00WIN 13.00PLACE
9th	4. Meydaan (5) J: Andrea Atzeni 56kg 20523 T: Simon & Ed Crisford	15.00WIN 4.20PLACE

For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:31:06 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

View Results: Bet Now: Caulfield Race 9 SRM

Caulfield Cup 2025 Results

Caulfield R9 - Sportsbet Caulfield Cup (G1)

Final Race time:

1st	15. Half Yours (2) J: Jamie Melham 52.5kg 21514 T: Tony & Calvin McEvoy	2.60WIN 1.45PLACE
2nd	13. River Of Stars (4) J: Beau Mertens 53.5kg 3x780 T: Chris Waller	91.00WIN 16.00PLACE
3rd	17. Valiant King (16) J: Jye McNeil 52kg 93x01 T: Chris Waller	27.00WIN 6.50PLACE
4th	2. Presage Nocturne (8) J: Stephane Pasquier 57.5kg x13x3 T: Alessandro Botti	67.00WIN 13.00PLACE
5th	16. Royal Supremacy (6) J: Robbie Dolan 52.5kg 01121 T: Ciaron Maher	8.50WIN 2.90PLACE
6th	14. Birdman (10) J: Teo Nugent 52.5kg x2517 T: Chris Waller	23.00WIN 6.00PLACE
7th	5. Absurde (1) J: Ben Allen 55.5kg 32x3x T: Willie Mullins	23.00WIN 6.00PLACE
8th	10. Deakin (7) J: Daniel Stackhouse 54kg 1x076 T: Phillip Stokes	15.00WIN 4.20PLACE
9th	4. Meydaan (5) J: Andrea Atzeni 56kg 20523 T: Simon & Ed Crisford	15.00WIN 4.20PLACE
10th	7. Zardozi (11) J: Harry Coffey 54.5kg 0x570 T: Ciaron Maher	41.00WIN 9.00PLACE
11th	3. Middle Earth (3) J: Mark Zahra 56.5kg 9x509 T: Ciaron Maher	14.00WIN 4.00PLACE
12th	8. Adelaide River (9) J: Jordan Childs 54kg x8827 T: Kris Lees	19.00WIN 5.00PLACE
13th	1. Vauban (13) J: Blake Shinn 58.5kg 0x365 T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	8.50WIN 2.90PLACE
14th	11. Golden Snap (18) J: S Hamanaka 53.5kg 1x6x2 T: Katsunori Tanaka	18.00WIN 5.00PLACE
15th	18. Plymouth (17) J: Celine Gaudray 51kg x0612 T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	71.00WIN 13.00PLACE
16th	9. Bankers Choice (14) J: Billy Egan 54kg 72x03 T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	81.00WIN 14.00PLACE
17th	12. Revelare (12) J: Luke Currie 53.5kg x7117 T: Robert Hickmott	35.00WIN 8.00PLACE
18th	6. Land Legend (15) J: Jamie Mott 55.5kg x3950 T: Chris Waller	51.00WIN 11.00PLACE

For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing. Data retrieved: 09/09/2026 01:31:06 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

View Results

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