2017 Melbourne Cup Form Guide & Betting Preview

November 6, 2017

2017 Melbourne Cup Form Guide & Betting Preview

The Melbourne Cup 2017 steals the show at Flemington Racecourse as Race 7 at 3:00pm (AEDT) on Tuesday, November 7, and our comprehensive Melbourne Cup Form Guide Analysis and Melbourne Cup Betting Preview on the two mile classic is detailed below.

Cismontane

Lexus Stakes winner Cismontane chases the double last completed by Shocking (2009) in Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup 2017 results. Photo: Steve Hart.

After the withdrawal of Who Shot Thebarman from the Group 1 $6.25 million Emirates Melbourne Cup (3200m), there are 23 Melbourne Cup horses left in contention.

Updated Melbourne Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au have the Hughie Morrison-trained UK raider Marmelo as the new $8.50 favourite looking to salute for the punters for just the second time since 2005.

Hugh Bowman of Winx fame retains the ride on the Duke Of Marmalade entire who ran the fastest final sectionals first-up in his eye-catching Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400m) run on October 21.

Defending Melbourne Cup winner Almandin ($9), one of six in the mix for five-time winning owner Lloyd Williams, is the only other hopeful under $10 in the Melbourne Cup odds.

The other best in betting include the Darren Weir-trained Cox Plate runner-up Humidor ($10), Irish visitor Johannes Vermeer ($10) coming off a third in the Caulfield Cup and another Northern hemisphere-trained raider Wall Of Fire who was one of the last minute inclusions into the Melbourne Cup field for 2017.

To help uncover the value in the ‘Race That Stops A Nation’ this spring, the full 2017 Melbourne Cup Form Facts, Melbourne Cup Betting History and Melbourne Cup Statistics on how to pick the Melbourne Cup winner are listed right here.

2017 Melbourne Cup Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Melbourne Cup winner was the Robert Hickmott-trained, Lloyd Williams-owned Almandin (2016) who came off a win in Flemington’s Group 3 The Bart Cummings (2500m), jumped from barrier 17 (of 24) and had Kerrin McEvoy aboard at odds of $11
  • #2 Almandin returns in the Melbourne Cup 2017 field looking for successive victories for the first time since Makybe Diva (2003-05)
  • Almandin (56.5kg) rises 4.5kg this spring, a weight last carried to victory by Protectionist (2014)
  • He comes off the same lead-up race but finished fourth as the beaten favourite in this year’s The Bart Cummings results
  • Almandin is at easing Melbourne Cup odds of $9 out to be just the third single-figure winner since 2005

Melbourne Cup Form: Trainers & Jockey

  • Last year’s Melbourne Cup winning trainer Robert Hickmott also won the race with Green Moon (2012)
  • Hickmott returns with #2 Almandin, #8 Bondi Beach and #16 Gallante looking to be the first back-to-back winning Melbourne Cup trainer since Lee Freedman with Makybe Diva (2004-05)
  • The other previous Melbourne Cup winning trainers (since 1983) with a runner in 2017 are: Darren Weir (Prince Of Penzance, 2015) with #3 Humidor, #13 Big Duke and #23 Amelie’s Star; German horseman Andreas Wohler (Protectionist, 2014) with #6 Red Cardinal; and Gai Waterhouse (Fiorente, 2013) with #24 Cismontane
  • Last year’s winning Melbourne Cup jockey Kerrin McEvoy is back chasing successive wins by a hoop for the first time since Glen Boss who rode Makybe Diva for all three of her victories (2003-05) aboard #6 Red Cardinal
  • McEvoy also rode Brew (2003) to victory so is after his third Melbourne Cup winning ride
  • The other previous Melbourne Cup winning jockeys with a ride this year are: Blake Shinn (Viewed, 2008) on #3 Humidor, the aforementioned Glen Boss (Makybe Diva, 2003-5) on #10 Ventura Storm, Corey Brown (Shocking, 2009) on #22 Rekindling
  • Craig Williams on #20 Wall Of Fire is out to be the eighth jockey to complete the Grand Slam of Australian Racing (Golden Slipper, Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate & Melbourne Cup)
  • Kathy O’Hara on #19 Single Gaze is out to join Michelle Payne (2015) as the only other female Melbourne Cup winning jockey in history

Melbourne Cup Form: Lead-Up Races

  • #23 Amelie’s Star chases The Bart Cummings – Melbourne Cup double Almandin (2016) did last year
  • The reigning champion #2 Almandin comes off a fourth in that same race, while Amelie’s Star had a follow-up Caulfield Cup run (11th)
  • #24 Cismontane chases the Lexus Stakes – Melbourne Cup double for the first time since Shocking (2009)
  • Three of the past five Melbourne Cup winners came off a Moonee Valley lead-up
  • The Moonee Valley graduates in the race this year are: #3 Humidor (Cox Plate 2nd), #13 Big Duke (MV Gold Cup 4th) and #17 Libran (MV Gold Cup 2nd)
  • The Moonee Valley Gold Cup produced Prince Of Penzance (2nd of 2015)
  • The Cox Plate produced recent Melbourne Cup winners Fiorente (3rd in 2013) and Green Moon (7th in 2012)
  • The Geelong Cup has produced two Melbourne Cup winners in the past decade with French raiders Americain (2010) and Dunaden (2011) both doing the double
  • #16 Gallante (7th) is the only Geelong Cup graduate in the race this year
  • Vintage Crop (1993) was the last Melbourne Cup winner to come off a non-Australian lead-up
  • The 2017 Melbourne Cup raiders in the field this year first-up with a lead-up run in Australia are: #4 Tiberian, #6 Red Cardinal, #9 Max Dynamite, #14 US Army Ranger (imported, now Australian-trained), #18 Nakeeta, #21 Thomas Hobson and #22 Rekindling
  • The last Melbourne Cup winner straight out of the Caulfield Cup was Delta Blues (3rd in 2006)
  • The Caulfield Cup graduates in the 2017 race are: Boom Time (1st), Single Gaze (2nd), Johannes Vermeer (3rd), Humidor (5th), Marmelo (6th), Amelie’s Star (11th), Wicklow Brave (12th) and Ventura Storm (13th)
  • #15 Boom Time chases the Caulfield Cup – Melbourne Cup double last achieved by Ethereal (2001)

Melbourne Cup Form: Barriers

  • Last year’s Melbourne Cup winning barrier (17) has produced 3 winners (since 1983) and belongs this year to #24 Cismontane
  • The most successful Melbourne Cup barrier in that time producing four winners is barrier 11 drawn this year by #19 Single Gaze
  • The only Melbourne Cup barrier never to produce a winner is 18 and this year #16 Gallante is out to break the hoodoo

Read more on the 2017 Melbourne Cup Barrier Stats & Facts.

Melbourne Cup Form: Age

  • Six-year-olds have dominated the Melbourne Cup results in the past 30 years including six wins between 2006-16
  • The 6YOs in the race this year are: #4 Tiberian, #6 Red Cardinal, #8 Bondi Beach, #13 Big Duke, #15 Boom Time and #23 Amelie’s Star
  • Overall five-year-olds have won the most Melbourne Cups (44) followed by four-year-olds (43)
  • The 5YOs in the race this year are: #3 Humidor, #5 Marmelo, #7 Johannes Vermeer, #10 Ventura Storm, #14 US Army Ranger, #19 Single Gaze, #20 Wall Of Fire and #24 Cismontane
  • #22 Rekindling is the sole four-year-old in the 2017 Melbourne Cup Field
  • #12 Wicklow Brave is out to be the first nine-year-old Melbourne Cup winner in history

Melbourne Cup Form: Favourites

  • Since Makybe Diva (2005) the only Melbourne Cup favourite to salute for the punters is Fiorente (2013)
  • #5 Marmelo ($8) is current favourite in 2017 Melbourne Cup betting
  • A total of six Melbourne Cup favourites have won since 1983

Melbourne Cup Form: Weights

  • Last year’s Melbourne Cup winning weight was 52kg and this year #21 Thomas Hobson (52kg) is the only horse allocated those exact kilos
  • #1 Hartnell (57kg) carries the 2017 Melbourne Cup top weight and is out to be the first horse since Makybe Diva (5kg in 2005) to carry more than 56.5kg to victory
  • #24 Cismontane (50kg) is the 2017 Melbourne Cup lightweight and is out to join Rogan Josh (1990) and Black Knight (1984) as the Melbourne Cup winners since 1983 to carry that weight to victory

Melbourne Cup Form: Win & Place Rates

  • The best Win Rate of the field belongs to #6 Red Cardinal (50%) followed by #2 Almandin (40%)
  • The highest Place rate of the field belongs to #6 Red Cardinal (90%) followed by #13 Big Duke (74%) and #24 Cismontane (74%)

Melbourne Cup Form: Track & Distance Records

  • The horses with the previous winning form over the distance (3200m) are: #12 Wicklow Brave (19:7-1-2), #6 Red Cardinal (2-2-0-0), #21 Thomas Hobson (5:2-1-0), #9 Max Dynamite (9:1-4-0), #1 Hartnell (4:1-0-1), #2 Almandin (1:1-0-0) and #16 Gallante (2:1-0-0)
  • The horses with previous winning form at the track (Flemington) are: #2 Almandin (5:3-0-0), #3 Humidor (4:2-0-1), #15 Boom Time (3:2-0-0), #1 Hartnell (5:1-1-1), #23 Amelie’s Star (3:1-1-0) and #24 Cismontane (3:1-0-0)

Check out the complete 2017 Melbourne Cup Form Guide below, courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au – home of the best Melbourne Cup odds and options this Tuesday.

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