Can Dear Demi Win the 2014 Caulfield Cup For the Girls?

The Clarry Conners-trained Dear Demi is one of just three guaranteed mares in the 2014 Caulfield Cup field, though she sits in good company. Lucia Valentina is the favourite for the $3 million race while Rising Romance has proven successful over the top level of racing.

Dear Demi (outside) is looking to win the Caulfield Cup this Saturday for the girls. Photo by Race Horse Photos Australia.

So it begs the question, can the girls take out the Group 1 Crown Golden Ale Caulfield Cup (2400m) this Saturday? And can Dear Demi be the mare to do it?

She’s already proven successful in the Caulfield Cup, taking out third place in the race last year, and looks to be in a better position ahead of this year’s race. Not only will she get a better start from a lower gate, she’s in better form following a win in the Group 2 Stocks Stakes (1600m) and runner-up in the Group 2 Let’s Elope Stakes (1400m).

However she did falter her last time out in the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m) after a strong run that saw her with a chance around the turn before disappointing late, which could mean she’s not suited to the longer distance this time round.

Dear Demi drew barrier 13, however she’ll likely jump from 11 with Jim Cassidy in the saddle. She has stayed at mostly the same odds in the Caulfield Cup betting market at Ladbrokes.com.au, currently offering $17.

Caulfield Cup Horse Form: #12 Dear Demi

Barrier: 13 (into 11)
Weight: 5kg
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: Clarry Conners
Owners: Strawberry Hill Stud
Age: 5YO
Gender: Mare
Breeding: by Dehere (USA) from Shirley
Career: 37:7-6-7
Win: 19%
Place: 54%
Last 6: 8X5217
Prize Money: $2,140,850
Track: 5:0-1-2
Distance: 3:0-1-1
Current 2014 Caulfield Cup Odds: $17

Why Dear Demi Can Win The 2014 Caulfield Cup

Proven success over track/distance having already finished third in last year’s Caulfield Cup
In-form following a Group Two win and second placing in September
Drew barrier 13, which has produced three winners since 1983
Is running at one of the most successful ages considering 5YOs have won 6 times since 1983
Will start from a much better gate than last year (18) in which she managed to finish third
Will enjoy a trip carrying less weight (down from 57 to 54.5kg) which will be lightest run all season

Why Dear Demi Can’t Win the 2014 Caulfield Cup

Disappointed her last time out with a 7th place finish despite strong start
Has yet to win over the same track or distance as the Cup despite numerous attempts
Will carry 1.5kg more than last year’s Cup, in which she came third so might struggle
Considered more of a place getter than winner, so may still come home in the money

Do you think Dear Demi has what it takes to win the Caulfield Cup 2014? Back the mare at Ladbrokes.com.au today.

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