Doncaster Mile 2022 Tips, Best Bets & Betting Update

April 1, 2022

Doncaster Mile 2022 Tips, Best Bets & Betting Update

Day 1 of The Championships is set to run in the wet at Royal Randwick on Saturday headlined by the Doncaster Mile 2022 and below we have our insider tips and best bets for the $3 million classic.

Converge | Photo: Steve Hart | Races.com.au

Converge is a genuine light-weight chance in the 2022 Doncaster Mile on Saturday. Photo: Steve Hart.

Set to run as Randwick Race 9 at 5:15pm (AEDT) this year’s $3 million Group 1 The Star Doncaster Mile (1600m) features a capacity field and with a Heavy (10) track we’re looking towards those mud-larks.

Despite a full line-up just two runners are under double-figures in the latest Doncaster Mile betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au.

Doncaster favourite at $3.90 and firming is Richard & Michael Freedman’s airborne mare Forbidden Love.

She was beaten first-up with excuses behind Overpass in the Group 2 Expressway Stakes (1200m) back in January and has won all four subsequent starts in impressive fashion.

Can she keep the winning streak going with conditions to suit again on Saturday?

The danger according to the bookies at current Doncaster Mile odds of $5 is I’m Thunderstruck for Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr.

He had Forbidden Love’s measure when these two ran against each back in October’s $7.5 million Golden Eagle (1500m), I’m Thunderstruck winning the lucrative four-year-olds’ feature while the mare finished 10th.

That was on a Good (3) however and on a wet track, Forbidden Love chasing a third straight Group 1 victory looks a good bet to turn the tables on Shocking four-year-old I’m Thunderstruck who returns to Sydney fourth-up off a trio of runs south of the border.

So, will the top two in the markets battle it out or is there an upset pending in this year’s Doncaster Mile with plenty of value to be had with the rest of the field found at $10 and over?

To Win: #16 Forbidden Love ($3.90 at time of publish) – BET NOW

Really hard to bet against this mare who is the richest vein of form and continues to rise to the occasions thriving on these mud Sydney tracks. It’s a Heavy (10) again for the Doncaster and she will be absolutely swimming in the conditions where plenty of others might struggle. She comes off three really strong wins including a 3.22 length win on a Heavy (10) here over 1400m in the Guy Walter with 58kg. Back-to-back Group 1 victories after that with 57kg at WFA in the Canterbury and George Ryder. She is so well-weighted here coming back to just 50kg! The only question is the big field, she only beat eight rivals her latest two and there could be a bit of a scrimmage here, but if she gets a clear run, she’ll be very hard to beat late. BACK DON’T SACK.

The Danger: #20 Converge ($10 at time of publish) – BET NOW

If you want to talk about those well-weighted, Converge has to be considered. This gun three-year-old from the Waterhouse/Bott stable gets in on only 49.5kg. A son of Frankel, he’s got a strong record at the track (4:2-0-2) including his Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m) win two back over the mile when beating home Anamoe. That superstar turned the tables in a big way in the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas (2000m) last time out, Converge beaten over six lengths second. Back to 1600m, dropping 7.5kg and no Anamoe in sight? Surely he’s a genuine chance also proven in the wet. EACH WAY.

Best Roughie: #17 Just Folk ($19 at time of publish) – BET NOW

If you’re not on the best three in betting there is huge value to be had in this year’s Doncaster. Of the longer-priced chances, Just Folk is ticking quite a few boxes at a nice price. The Josh Julius-trained five-year-old was very good in easier company last start coming from a mid-field position to defeat Ellsberg in Rosehill’s Group 2 Ajax Stakes (1500m) on a Heavy (9). He trialled well at Warwick Farm late last week behind Eduardo and also carries only 50kg. This is obviously tougher, but he is three-from-three on Heavy going and can surprise a few of these. PLACE CHANCE.

Ready to lock in your Doncaster Mile best bets at the right price? Click here for the latest markets, courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au.

*All odds quoted are provided by Ladbrokes.com.au, correct at time of print and subject to change.

 

 

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2021 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Lost And Running Heads 2021 Th...

Mackinnon Stakes 2021 Results:...

Mackinnon Stakes 2021 Results: Zaaki Wins Consolation Prize

Annabel Neasham‘s scratched Cox Plate favourite Zaaki returned to...

2021 Darley Sprint Classic Res...

2021 Darley Sprint Classic Results: Everest Champion Nature Strip Wins Again

Nature Strip had been beaten as an odds-on favourite five times previously but...

2021 Mackinnon Stakes Day: Fle...

2021 Mackinnon Stakes Day: Flemington Scratchings & Track Report

The final day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival takes place at Headquarters in...

2021 Kennedy Oaks Results: Wil...

2021 Kennedy Oaks Results: Willowy Wins for Godolphin

The James Cummings-trained Willowy donning the iconic Royal Blue of Godolphin...

Horse Racing Today

Kingsford-Smith Cup 2022 Winne...

Queensland Derby 2022 Results:...

Queensland Derby 2022 Results: Kiwi Pinarello Holds Off Paternal To Win

The Kiwis were on top in the 2022 Queensland Derby results at Eagle Farm with...

Doomben Cup 2022 Results: Huet...

Doomben Cup 2022 Results: Huetor In Boil-Over, Zaaki 3rd

The Peter & Paul Snowden-trained import Huetor scored a huge boil-over in...

The Roses 2022 Winner Barb Rai...

The Roses 2022 Winner Barb Raider Firms In Queensland Oaks Betting

The Jerome Hunter-trained Barb Raider is off to the Group 1 $700,000...

2022 South Australian Derby Re...

2022 South Australian Derby Results: Jungle Magnate Wins for Price

Co-trainer Mick Price enjoyed a big day out at Morphettville highlighted by...

Race Results

Kingsford-Smith Cup 2022 Winner Apache Chase Gives Desleigh Forster First Group 1

Queensland Derby 2022 Results: Kiwi Pinarello Holds Off Paternal To Win

Doomben Cup 2022 Results: Huetor In Boil-Over, Zaaki 3rd

The Roses 2022 Winner Barb Raider Firms In Queensland Oaks Betting

2022 South Australian Derby Results: Jungle Magnate Wins for Price

Race Previews

2022 Queensland Derby Day: Eagle Farm Scratchings & Track Report

2022 Kingsford-Smith Cup Field & Betting Update: Favourite Entriviere Draws 17

Dark Destroyer Heads 2022 Queensland Derby Field & Odds

Rescheduled 2022 Doomben Cup Field & Betting Update: Zaaki Odds-On In Barrier 10

The Goodwood 2022 Odds Update: In The Boat Scratched; General Beau Market Mover

Fields & Form

2022 Queensland Derby Day: Eagle Farm Scratchings & Track Report

2022 Kingsford-Smith Cup Field & Betting Update: Favourite Entriviere Draws 17

Dark Destroyer Heads 2022 Queensland Derby Field & Odds

Rescheduled 2022 Doomben Cup Field & Betting Update: Zaaki Odds-On In Barrier 10

The Goodwood 2022 Odds Update: In The Boat Scratched; General Beau Market Mover