2020 Kennedy Oaks Field & Betting Update: Montefilia Odds-On

November 4, 2020

2020 Kennedy Oaks Field & Betting Update: Montefilia Odds-On

David Payne’s flying filly Montefilia is looking a hard-to-beat odds-on favourite in Kennedy Oaks 2020 betting for Thursday’s million-dollar feature at Flemington.

Montefilia Horse Form (Photo: Steve Hart) | Races.com.au

Montefilia is odds-on favourite and the Races.com.au tip to win the 2020 VRC Oaks. Photo: Steve Hart.

Following on from the all-international trifecta led by Twilight Payment in the 2020 Melbourne Cup on Tuesday, the attention now turns to the three-year-old staying fillies facing off in the Group 1 $1 million Kennedy Oaks (2500m).

The VRC Oaks field features 14 runners this season, but markets at Ladbrokes.com.au are dominated by Payne’s daughter of Kermadec, Montefilia at $1.85 after drawing barrier five.

She comes off the historic Group 1 Flight Stakes (1600m) – Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) double in Sydney, the latter seeing her beat home the boys to become the first filly in history to win both races.

Now she heads south to Flemington where she will be tested again the other way of going getting up over the 2500m.

The markets suggest she will run out the distance and give jockey Hugh Bowman some kind of consolation after his horror Melbourne Cup run when aboard the ill-fated Anthony Van Dyck.

Two other fillies are currently also under $10 for the win with the “dangers” tipped to be Thousand Guineas runner-up Personal ($6) and the Mark Newnham-trained Miravalle ($6.50) drawn in barriers 10 and six respectively.

The Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes-trained Fastnet Rock filly Personal is turning into somewhat of a perennial placegetter having run second in her three latest starts.

She is the early VRC Oaks betting market mover with money suggesting she can finally shrug that status and secure her first victory since breaking her maiden status second-up as a two-year-old at Randwick in September last year.

Jockey Damien Oliver has enjoyed three VRC Oaks winning rides since 2002 including his success aboard last year’s winner Miami Bound (2019) and has won five in total, and he continues his association with Personal on Thursday.

After her Thousand Guineas second to Odeum, Personal stepped-up to 2000m in Flemington’s Group 2 Wakeful Stakes and was far from disgraced running just a quarter-length back second to Victoria Quay.

Without Victoria Quay pressing onto the Oaks, Personal is the best out of that race looking to frank the form while the third-placed Tyche Goddess ($17) is also in the $1 million rematch this week for the Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young training duo.

While admitting that Montefilia is the filly to beat on Thursday, co-trainer Dabernig remains confident in their runner and her ability off a strong spring campaign.

“We’re on our home turf and have been able to stick with our routine,” Dabernig told Mediality Racing this week.

“The important thing is that she has pulled up well. We can’t fault her.

“The Wakeful has been a good guide to the Oaks so hopefully it is again.

“I reckon there is some improvement to come also, she blew up a bit over the back.”

Miravalle meanwhile has won just one of her six career starts to date, the Redoute’s Choice filly most recently seen running fourth in the Wakeful Stakes from a wide barrier (13 of 14).

Click here for the latest Kennedy Oaks 2020 betting odds courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au.

2020 Kennedy Oaks Field & Barriers

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Penalty Hcp Rating
1 14×31411 MONTEFILIA David Payne Hugh Bowman 5 56kg 106
2 2130×5222 PERSONAL Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes Damien Oliver 10 56kg 94
3 82×711807 CAFE RIZU Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) Craig Newitt 14 56kg 65
4 3×31467 SUCCEED INDEED Leon & Troy Corstens Mark Zahra 13 56kg 70
5 82225 SALTO ANGEL (NZ) Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 9 56kg 72
6 0x17664 MIRAVALLESuper Vobis Bonus Scheme Mark Newnham Craig Williams 6 56kg 64
7 10333 TYCHE GODDESSSuper Vobis Bonus Scheme Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young Kerrin McEvoy 3 56kg 73
8 0x53211 BIARCHI David Jolly John Allen 1 56kg 64
9 233 STAR OF EDEN Michael Moroney Billy Egan 2 56kg 67
10 48×0010 ART GLASS Grahame Begg William Pike 12 56kg 61
11 8323 VILANCULOS Danny O’Brien Jamie Kah 7 56kg 67
12 50081 HARD SQUEEZESuper Vobis Bonus Scheme Robbie Griffiths & Mathew de Kock Dean Yendall 8 56kg 60
13 3440 YATTON (NZ) Michael Moroney Jye McNeil 4 56kg 61
14 5650 SWINDON LASS Matthew Brown Brian Higgins 11 56kg 58

Table Credit: Racing Australia.

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