As the first of the major Group 1 races held during the annual Melbourne Cup Carnival the Victoria Derby tips are some of the most sought after of the spring.
Each season the $1.5 million Group 1 Victoria Derby (2500m) attracts a field of the best current three-year-old stayers and the race runs at Flemington Racecourse on the Saturday before Melbourne Cup Day on the first Tuesday of November.
As soon as the Victoria Derby field is released on the Wednesday before race day, punters are chasing the Victoria Derby tips.
2016 Victoria Derby Tips
The 2016 Victoria Derby tips will be published right here as soon as the final field and betting markets from Ladbrokes.com.au are released the week of the race.
2016 Victoria Derby Tips
- The Winner: #1 Sacred Elixir – (Back Sacred Elixir to Win) – The firming favourite is out to go back-to-back for punters after the success of Tarzino (2015) last year who broke a nine year drought for favourite backers. This Kiwi raider is already a Group 1 winner, jumps from the right barrier (1) and won last Saturday’s Moonee Valley Vase with all the upside to handle racing on successive weekends and step up in distance.
- The Runner-Up: #4 Rocketeeer – (Back Rocketeer Each Way) – Mick Price won the VRC Derby 12 months ago with the top fancy in Victoria Derby betting and he is in with an outside chance this year. There’s been plenty of upsets in the VRC Derby results in recent years, and even from his wide alley, this perennial runner-up coming off the Norman Robinson Stakes placing is a livewire hope.
- The Third Placegetter: #7 Captain Duffy – (Back Captain Duffy to Place) – The Geelong Classic winner gets the run of the race from barrier two and last year’s winning jockey Craig Newitt is in the saddle. He has been forgotten by the punters, but ate up the 2200m last start showing sharp improvement and can surprise at juicy Victoria Derby odds again this weekend.
Read a more detailed 2016 Victoria Derby Betting Tips post now for all the Derby form and facts on our Victoria Derby trifecta selections!
Victoria Derby Favourite
Many Victoria Derby tips favour the shortest-priced three-year-old in the Victoria Derby betting markets, but backing the Victoria Derby favourite historically hasn’t been the best for punters.
From 2006 – 2015 just two of the 10 Victoria Derby winners jumped favourite in the markets: Efficient (2006) and Tarzino (2015). In total from 1983 – 2015 just seven Victoria Derby favourites were successful.
A better Victoria Derby betting tip then is to lay the favourite and back a longer-priced runner int he Victoria Derby odds.
Plenty of double-figure outsiders have been successful in the race including: Fiveandahalfstar ($40 in 2012), Sangster ($12 in 2011), Lion Tamer ($12 in 2010) and even triple-figure roughie Rebel Raider ($100 in 2007) so don’t be afraid to include a longer-priced three-year-old in your 2016 Victoria Derby Tips.
Victoria Derby Lead Up Races
When it comes to Victoria Derby tips one of the key things to consider is the lead-up races and runs of the youngsters in the field.
Checking out the full Victoria Derby form guide provided at an online bookmaker like Ladbrokes.com.au or right here at Races.com.au is a top Victoria Derby tip as it can uncover real value in the markets.
Traditionally the key Victoria Derby lead-up race is the the Group 2 Moonee Valley Vase (2040m) run the Saturday before on Cox Plate Day. The last Victoria Derby winner to come off a run in the MV Vase was Tarzino (3rd in 2015), while the last to complete the double was Efficient (2008).
The other standout Victoria Derby lead-up race is the Norman Robinson Stakes – now known as the Group 3 Ladbrokes Caulfield Classic (2000m) and run on Caulfield Cup Day a fortnight before VRC Derby Day. Polanski (2013) was the last horse to complete the Caulfield Classic – Victoria Derby double.