2019 Victoria Derby Day: Flemington Forecast, Scratchings & Track Report

November 2, 2019

2019 Victoria Derby Day: Flemington Forecast, Scratchings & Track Report

The Melbourne Cup Carnival kicks off today, Saturday November 2, and it could be a disastrous day weather-wise at Flemington Racecourse with some nasty forecasts suggesting a soaking for the 2019 Victoria Derby Day racegoers.

The Chosen One. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

The Chosen One remains in the 2019 Lexus Hotham Stakes field despite already being assured of a Melbourne Cup run. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

Flemington Track Report – 02/11/2019

  • Rail: True Entire Circuit
  • Weather: Showers
  • Track Type: Turf
  • Track Rating: Good (4)
  • Irrigation: Nil last 24 hours; 28mm last 7 days
  • Rainfall: 4.2mm last 24 hours; 7.22 last 7 days

Heavy rains, wild winds and flash flooding are forecast for Derby Day 2019 making it a tough one for punters looking ahead to the nine Group races on the program.

There is 100% chance of rainfall by the time the Group 1 races get underway so no doubt there will be a downgrade to the current Good (4) Flemington track rating.

The Bureau of Meteorology has forecast up to 30mm of rainfall across the early afternoon with the Flemington track in for an absolute drenching.

Flemington track manager Liam O’Keeffe said the team were predicting conditions similar to those of 2018 Melbourne Cup Day but hoped that the burst of heavy rainfall stayed away from the race times.

“I would basically describe it as similar to last year’s Melbourne Cup day – if a storm sits over you, you can get a lot of rain but if you can miss the storms you can get away reasonably unscathed,” he said.

“Literally think back to last year’s Melbourne Cup day – if we do get that torrential rain the track can go to heavy once the horses open up the ground.

“But it is going to depend on if those storms sit over the top of us or not.

“It’s just so uncertain the thunderstorm activity.

“It is just going to be one of those wait and see days.”

It could be carnage for the course at HQ by the time the day’s marquee race runs – the three-year-old stayers facing off in Flemington Race 7 (3:45pm) – the Group 1 $2 million AAMI Victoria Derby (2500m).

Despite the forecast, the sole scratching from the 2019 Victoria Derby field is the Danny O’Brien-trained Serious Liaison (7) who was withdrawn with injury and sent straight to the paddock earlier in the week.

The race suffering the highest attrition rate after the official Flemington scratchings for Saturday is the Group 3 $300,000 Lexus Hotham Stakes (2500m).

Offering the winner a free pass into Tuesday’s iconic Group 1 $8 million Lexus Melbourne Cup (3200m), the Hotham Stakes 2019 field is down to 11 runners.

Three horses have come out of the handicap having already secured a spot in the 24-horse Melbourne Cup 2019 field: #2 Sound (11), #5 Neufbosc (10) and #9 Youngstar (5).

Surprisingly the Kiwi training duo of Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman have opted to keep The Chosen One in the mix despite the Savabeel four-year-old sitting 23rd on the current 2019 Melbourne Cup order of entry.

See below for the full Flemington Derby Day race scratchings and jump times before heading to Ladbrokes.com.au for the weekend’s hottest racing odds.

Flemington Race Scratchings – 02/11/2019

Total Scratchings: 11

Race 1 (11:45am) – Group 2 $300,000 TAB Stakes (1200m)

  • No current scratchings

Race 2 (12:20pm) – Group 2 $300,000 G.H. Mumm Wakeful Stakes (2000m)

  • No current scratchings

Race 3 (1:00pm) – Group 3 $500,000 Network 10 Carbine Club Stakes (1600m)

  • #9 Moreno (4)

Race 4 (1:40pm) – Group 3 $300,000 Lexus Hotham Stakes (2500m)

  • #2 Sound (11)
  • #5 Neufbosc (10)
  • #9 Youngstar (5)

Race 5 (2:20pm) – Group 1 $1,000,000 TAB Empire Rose Stakes (1600m)

  • No current scratchings

Race 6 (3:00pm) – Group 1 $1,500,000 Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m)

  • #1 Microphone

Read our insider 2019 Coolmore Stud Stakes Tips & Exotic Selections.

Race 7 (3:45pm) – Group 1 $2,000,000 AAMI Victoria Derby (2500m)

  • #5 Serious Liaison (7)

Read our top 2019 Victoria Derby Day Tips & Exotic Selections.

Race 8 (4:35pm)- Group 1 $2,000,000 Kennedy Cantala (1600m)

  • #17e Noire (13)
  • #18e Admiral’s Joker (18)
  • #19e Variation (7)
  • #20e Iconoclasm (4)

Race 9 (5:15pm) – Group 3 $200,000 Furphy Sprint (1100m)

  • #11 Sweet Scandal (6)

*All times quoted are local (AEDT) and subject to change

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

2020 Underwood Stakes Winner: ...

Brilliant Prelude Win Sees Ins...

Brilliant Prelude Win Sees Instant Celebrity into Thousand Guineas Favouritism

Jockey Craig Williams continued his brilliant run of form at Caulfield on...

Golden Rose Stakes 2020 Winner...

Golden Rose Stakes 2020 Winner: Ole Kirk Upstages Odds-On Favourite Rothfire

Three-year-old colt Ole Kirk has managed to upstage talented Queenslander...

Crosshaven Firms in Caulfield ...

Crosshaven Firms in Caulfield Guineas Betting Following Impressive Prelude Win

The Lindsay Park team appear to have a serious Caulfield Guineas contender on...

Metropolitan Up Next for Bobby...

Metropolitan Up Next for Bobby Lewis Winner Attorney?

The small field of seven proved no match for Attorney on Saturday as Matthew...

Horse Racing Today

2020 Underwood Stakes Winner: ...

Golden Rose Stakes 2020 Winner...

Golden Rose Stakes 2020 Winner: Ole Kirk Upstages Odds-On Favourite Rothfire

Three-year-old colt Ole Kirk has managed to upstage talented Queenslander...

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 2020 ...

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 2020 Winner: Behemoth Too Good Again

David Jolly’s hulking South Australian superstar Behemoth was too good again,...

The Metropolitan 2020 Odds Fir...

The Metropolitan 2020 Odds Firm on Kingston Town Winner Taikomochi

The Metropolitan 2020 odds have firmed on the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian...

MRC Foundation Cup Winner Orde...

MRC Foundation Cup Winner Orderofthegarter Into Caulfield Cup 2020 Field

Last year’s Melbourne Cup winning trainer Danny O’Brien looks to have a...

Race Results

2020 Underwood Stakes Winner: Russian Camelot Claims Second Group 1 on His Way to the Cox Plate

Brilliant Prelude Win Sees Instant Celebrity into Thousand Guineas Favouritism

Golden Rose Stakes 2020 Winner: Ole Kirk Upstages Odds-On Favourite Rothfire

Crosshaven Firms in Caulfield Guineas Betting Following Impressive Prelude Win

Gloaming Stakes Winner Love Tap Firms as 2020 Spring Champion Stakes Favourite

Race Previews

Nature Strip Heads 2020 Darley Sprint Classic Nominations & Betting

Russian Camelot Odds-On Favourite In 10-Horse Underwood Stakes 2020 Field

Victoria Derby 2020 Nominations: Alcyone On Top of All-In Betting

2020 Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes Nominations Attract 56 Sprinters

2020 Moir Stakes Field Released: 13 Sprinters Race at The Valley

Fields & Form

Nature Strip Heads 2020 Darley Sprint Classic Nominations & Betting

Russian Camelot Odds-On Favourite In 10-Horse Underwood Stakes 2020 Field

Victoria Derby 2020 Nominations: Alcyone On Top of All-In Betting

2020 Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes Nominations Attract 56 Sprinters

2020 Moir Stakes Field Released: 13 Sprinters Race at The Valley