Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Jockey Dwayne Dunn has described his mount Inference as a “live chance” to win the 2017 Caulfield Cup this weekend for Hawkes Racing.
The four-year-old entire is a beautifully-bred son of dual Cox Plate winner So You Think out to break a nearly seven month winning drought in Saturday’s Group 1 $3.15 million BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m).
Currently Inference sits as a $16 shot in the Caulfield Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au coming off a lead-up fifth behind Gailo Chop in last Saturday’s Group 1 Ladbrokes Stakes (2000m).
Dunn was aboard for that run as well as the horse’s other two Melbourne runs this spring, plus partnered Inference early in his career for six of his seven opening starts.
That included the brave third from the outside alley as a three-year-old at Flemington in the 2016 Group 1 Victoria Derby (2500m).
Inference hasn’t won a race since Tommy Berry rode him on a Heavy (10) Sydney track in the Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m) back in early March, a performance that even surprised the stable.
Next-up Inference jumped favourite on another mud track in the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas (2000m) but was luckless running second to Gingernuts.
Inference also ran over the mile and a half in the Group 1 ATC Derby (2400m) when over five lengths beaten for sixth behind Jon Snow, another Caulfield Cup chance on Saturday.
All four of the four-year-old’s runs this prep, the first of which was against Winx in the Group 2 Warwick Stakes (1400m) in Sydney, have been at weight-for-age carrying either 58kg or more.
He should be flying then coming right back to just 53.5kg for the Caulfield Cup, which is the lightest weight he has carried in his career, and gets the blinkers on for Saturday’s Grand Final.
“He is a live chance in the race, he has been set for this race and he gets back to the handicaps which is a real plus for him,” Dunn told RSN.
“He has been just starting to get to top gear and he has been closed down his last two races.
“But he has been raced into fitness and blinkers applied will be a big bonus.
“His racing pattern won’t change a lot but I would probably prefer to have three or four behind him than be last or second last.
“There looks enough speed in the race for him, a typical kind of Caulfield Cup.”
Co-trainer John Hawkes is after his second Caulfield Cup success after that of Railings (2005), while Dunn rode the next year’s winner Tawqeet (2006) to victory for David Hayes.
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