2017 Caulfield Cup Betting Facts: The Favourites

October 19, 2017

2017 Caulfield Cup Betting Facts: The Favourites

This Saturday another page in the Caulfield Cup history books will be written with the 2017 edition of the mile and a half classic, but how have the favourites in Caulfield Cup betting stacked up in recent years?

Mongolian Khan

Mongolian Khan (2015) was the first favourite in Caulfield Cup betting to salute since default top fancy Master O’Reilly (2007). Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

Of the 17 stayers doing battle in this weekend’s Group 1 $3.15 million BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m) the money in the markets at Ladbrokes.com.au is on the Aidan O’Brien-trained Irish raider Johannes Vermeer.

Drawn in barrier two and second-up following the eye-catching second to Gailo Chop in last Saturday’s Group 1 Ladbrokes Stakes (2000m) at the Caulfield track, the Lloyd Williams-owned raider is in from $5 to $4.20 in the latest Caulfield Cup odds.

Last spring the Ciaron Maher-trained mare Jameka (2016) made it back-to-back wins for the punters in the Caulfield Cup results, saluting at $4.25.

The year prior, the Murray Baker-trained Kiwi visitor Mongolian Khan (2015) broke a drought for favourites in Caulfield Cup betting, the $5 top fancy the first to salute at the top of the markets since Master O’Reilly ($9 in 2007).

Master O’Reilly was favourite in the 2007 Caulfield Cup by default however after the shock scratchings of Maldivian and Eskimo Queen.

Between Master O’Reilly (2007) and Mongolian Khan (2015), all seven Caulfield Cup winners jumped at $10 or above in betting including All The Good (2008) at the blowout price of 40/1.

This weekend smart Galileo stallion Johannes Vermeer, who is yet to win over further than 2011m, is out to make it three straight wins for Caulfield Cup favourites since 2002-2004: Northerly ($5.50 in 2002), Mummify ($5.50 in 2003) and Elvstroem ($4 in 2004).

The other single-figure hopes in the latest Caulfield Cup betting markets are the Darren Weir-trained top weight Humidor ($8.50), one-time favourite Bonneval ($8.50) who finished a disappointing sixth as the beaten top fancy in the Ladbrokes Stakes and Weir’s other runner Amelie’s Star ($9) coming off a win in the Group 3 The Bart Cummings (2500m).

Below we take a look at the full Caulfield Cup facts and stats on the favourites to see whether you should back or sack Johannes Vermeer at Ladbrokes.com.au on the weekend.

Caulfield Cup Favourites: Facts

  • Just 10 Caulfield Cup favourites (or equal favourites) have saluted since 1983
  • The past two favourites in Caulfield Cup betting both won: Mongolian Khan ($5 in 2015) and Jameka ($4.25 in 2016)
  • In the past decade only three top fancies in the Caulfield Cup markets have won
  • In the past decade six Caulfield Cup favourites finished out of the money
  • #3 Johannes Vermeer ($4.20) leads the Caulfield Cup odds in 2017
  • The last time three straight Caulfield Cup favourites saluted was 2002-04
  • From 2007 – 2016 seven Caulfield Cup winners jumped at double-figures
  • The worst result from a Caulfield Cup favourite (since 1983) was December Draw (18th in 2011)
  • December Draw ($3.25) was also the shortest-priced beaten Caulfield Cup favourite (since 1983)
  • Since 1983 two Caulfield Cup favourites have finished runner-up: Veandercross (1992) and Nayrizi (1989)
  • Since 1983 four favourites rounded out the Caulfield Cup trifecta in third: Lucia Valentina (2014), Fairway (2000), Tie The Knot (1998) and Cossack Warrior (1987)

Caulfield Cup Favourites: Results (Since 1983)

Place Caulfield Cup Favourites (SP)
1 MASTER O’REILLY ($9), ETHEREAL ($8EF), ELVSTROEM ($4), MUMMIFY ($5.50), NORTHERLY ($5.50), SKY HEIGHTS ($3.50), PARIS LANE ($4), SYDESTON ($6.50), MONGOLIAN KHAN ($5), JAMEKA ($4.20)
2 VEANDERCROSS ($3.50), NAYRIZI ($5.50)
3 FAIRWAY ($4.50), TIE THE KNOT ($3.50), COSSACK WARRIOR ($5), LUCIA VALENTINA ($4)
4 SHOCKING ($4.50), DORIEMUS ($4.75), ALIBHAI ($5.50)
5 LITTORIO ($4.50), SPHENOPHYTA ($4.50)
6 EL SEGUNDO ($4.25), FOUNTAINCOURT ($6.50)
7 ELECTRONIC ($7.50) HAWKSPUR ($4.25)
8 MARBLE HALLS ($3.75)
12 PREDATORY PRICER ($7)
13 DR. GRACE ($5.50)
15 GLENCADAM GOLD ($4.50)
16 SKY CHASE ($4.50), CANNY LASS ($6)
18 DECEMBER DRAW ($3.25)

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

The Autumn Sun: Cox Plate Stil...

Arcadia Queen is the favourite...

Arcadia Queen is the favourite in the 2018 Kingston Town Classic field

The lightly weighted Arcadia Queen was installed as the short priced favourite...

Voodoo Lad wins 2018 Winterbot...

Voodoo Lad wins 2018 Winterbottom Stakes

The Darren Weir trained Voodoo Lad broke through for his maiden Group 1 win in...

Viddora firms in the betting a...

Viddora firms in the betting after 2018 Winterbottom Stakes barrier draw

Defending titleholder Viddora continues to firm in the betting following the...

Enticing Star can regain her g...

Enticing Star can regain her glow in 2018 Winterbottom Stakes

Winning machine Enticing Star can regain her glow when she steps out in the...

Horse Racing Today

Two times winner Redkirk Warri...

Weir Trumps 2019 Australia Sta...

Weir Trumps 2019 Australia Stakes nominations with six

Leading trainer Darren Weir has trumped the nominations for the 2019 Group 2...

Tuesday Trial Set for Winx at ...

Tuesday Trial Set for Winx at Rosehill

Winx will make her first appearance of the New Year next Tuesday morning in a...

Winx on Track for Tuesday Week...

Winx on Track for Tuesday Week Trial

Chris Waller and mighty mare Winx are prepping for their first appearance of...

Doubt Defying has no worries o...

Doubt Defying has no worries on wet Villiers Stakes track

1600m specialist Doubt Defying will be right at home on a wet surface when he...

Race Results

Bjorn Baker Redoubles Up in Magic Millions Cup

Magic Millions 2YO Classic Results: Exhilarates Shines for Godolphin

Magic Millions 3YO Guineas Results: Boomsara Wins Photo Finish

Long Shot Egyptian Symbol Claims Magic Millions Snippets Win

Tumultuous Goes Back to Back in Magic Millions Trophy

Race Previews

Two times winner Redkirk Warrior among 2019 Newmarket Handicap nominations

Weir Trumps 2019 Australia Stakes nominations with six

Doubt Defying has no worries on wet Villiers Stakes track

Sky Boy draws barrier 9 in 2018 Villiers Stakes

Sky Boy included in 2018 Villiers Stakes nominations

Fields & Form

Two times winner Redkirk Warrior among 2019 Newmarket Handicap nominations

Weir Trumps 2019 Australia Stakes nominations with six

Sky Boy draws barrier 9 in 2018 Villiers Stakes

Sky Boy included in 2018 Villiers Stakes nominations

Arcadia Queen firms in the 2018 Kingston Town Classic betting after the barrier draw