Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Sydney’s The Everest race may be stealing headlines lead-up to this weekend but the 2017 Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas in Melbourne is the classic race of the day, a comprehensive form guide analysis and betting preview for which is detailed below.
Summer Passage has come out of the Group 1 $2 million Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas (1600m) field, paving the way for the sole emergency Mighty Boss to gain a run from gate five.
Updated Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas betting at Ladbrokes.com.au still favours a return to form from the Tony McEvoy-trained Royal Symphony who dons winkers in the Group 1.
The Domesday colt is at $4.20 to improve on the lead-up fourth in the Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) and has last year’s winning hoop Dwayne Dunn continuing associations.
The danger looking at the latest Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas odds into $4.60 is Catchy, the Lindsay Park-trained filly the only girl in the mix.
Surround (1976) was the last filly to beat the boys in the Caulfield Guineas, and Blue Diamond winner Catchy needs to improve on a lead-up third in the Thousand Guineas Prelude against her own kind to be the next.
To help uncover the value in the race below we take a look at the full Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas 2017 form guide, betting history and race statistics before you lock in your selections at Ladbrokes.com.au.
2017 Caulfield Guineas Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Caulfield Guineas winner was the Team Hawkes-trained Divine Prophet (2016) who came off a lead-up second in Sydney’s Group 2 Stan Fox Stakes (1500m), jumped from barrier 1 (of 14) and was ridden to victory by Dwayne Dunn as a $7 shot in betting
- Since 1983 trainer John Hawkes has won the race three times also successful with Lonhro (2001) and All Too hard (2012)
- Last year’s winning stable are out to go back-to-back this weekend saddling-up #5 Showtime ($11)
- The only other previous Caulfield Guineas winning trainer (since 1983) with a runner in 2017 is David Hayes who won with Palace Reign (1992) and St. Covet (1994) and who saddles-up #16 Catchy ($4.60) this weekend
- Last year’s winning jockey Dwayne Dunn is out to ride successive Caulfield Guineas winners for the first time since R.S. Dye (1997-98) aboard #6 Royal Symphony ($4.20)
- The other previous Caulfield Guineas winning jockeys (since 1983) with a ride this weekend are: Damien Oliver on #5 Showtime, Brad Rawiller on #13 Salsamor ($21) and dual winner Luke Nolen on #12 Éclair Sunshine ($41)
- The past three Caulfield Guineas winners had their final lead-up in the Group 2 Stan Fox Stakes in Sydney with Divine Prophet (2nd in 2016) along with Press Statement (2015) and Shooting To Win (2014) who both completed the double
- #7 Gold Standard ($9.50) is out to do the Stan Fox Stakes – Caulfield Guineas double in 2017 but subsequently ran fourth in the Golden Rose Stakes
- All of the Stan Fox Stakes graduates in the Caulfield Guineas field have had a subsequent lead-up run
- The other Caulfield Guineas horses that ran in the Stan Fox Stakes this year are Sanctioned (2nd) and The Mission (7th)
- Four of the past eight Caulfield Guineas winners had their final lead-up in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude with the double completed by Anacheeva (2010) and Helmet (2011)
- #8 Perast ($10) chases the Prelude – Caulfield Guineas double this spring
- The other Caulfield Guineas Prelude graduates backing-up in the Group 1 rematch on Saturday are: Kementari (3rd), Royal Symphony (4th), Éclair Sunshine (5th), Levendi (6th) and Al Passem (8th)
- The other key lead-up race into the Caulfield Guineas that last produced a winner in 2008 when Whobegotyou did the double is Moonee Valley’s Group 2 Stutt Stakes (1600m)
- #5 Showtime ($11) chases the Stutt Stakes – Caulfield Guineas double this weekend
- The other Stutt Stakes graduates in the Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas this year are: Salsamor (2nd), Holy Snow (3rd), The Mission (6th) and Azazel (7th)
- Econsul (Stan Fox 6th in 2004) was the last Caulfield Guineas winner to run worse than fourth in the lead-up; that rules out: #1 The Mission, #3 Azazel, #10 Al Passem, #12 Éclair Sunshine and #14 Levendi this year
- Last year’s winning barrier (1) has produced the most Caulfield Guineas winners (since 1983) with eight saluting from the inside alley in that time; #5 Showtime is drawn barrier one this year
- Since 2008 only two Caulfield Guineas winners jumped from a double-digit barrier with Whobegotyou (11 of 16 in 2008) and Press Statement (14 of 16 in 2015)
- #16 Catchy is out to be the first Caulfield Guineas winning filly since Surround (1976)
- Since 2009 six of the eight Caulfield Guineas winners started at under $10 in betting including three favourites saluting
- #6 Royal Symphony is out to be the sixth favourite in Caulfield Guineas betting in 11 years to win and the first since Press Statement ($2.50 in 2015)
- The other single-figure hopes in the Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas odds this year are: #16 Catchy ($4.60), #11 Kementari ($5.50) and #7 Gold Standard ($9.50)
- The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #6 Royal Symphony (80%) followed by #14 Levendi (67%) and #16 Catchy (63%)
- The best Place Rate of field belongs to #13 Salsamor (100%) who is yet to run out of the money followed by #16 Catchy (88%) and #9 Sanctioned (83%)
- The horses with previous winning form at the Caulfield track are: #16 Catchy (5-3-1-1), #8 Perast (2-1-0-1), #10 Al Passem (3-1-1-0) and #4 Sircconi (1-1-0-0)
- The horses with a past win over the mile distance are: #1 The Mission (2-1-0-0), #5 Showtime (1-1-0-0) and #9 Royal Symphony (1-1-0-0)
Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas 2017 tips, checking out the full race form guide below courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au in the meantime.
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