Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
A line-up of in-form stayers face off over the two miles at Randwick Racecourse on Day 2 of ‘The Championships’ this Saturday, our insider 2017 Sydney Cup betting tips and latest odds on the feature found below.
Fourteen horses are in the mix for this autumn’s $2 million Group 1 Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m) and the latest markets at Ladbrokes.com.au are dominated by the Darren Weir-trained Big Duke.
The in-form Victorian raider has been backed in from $2.80 to $2.60 in Sydney Cup betting after his big two length win under 58kg at the track in last Saturday’s Group 2 Chairman’s Handicap (2600m).
That looks the form to follow into Saturday’s race where Big Duke drops from 58kg to 52kg even with his half-kilo penalty so the Raven’s Pass gelding looks weighted to win handing Weir his maiden Group 1 in Sydney.
If an upset Sydney Cup result occurs the bookies are tipping it to come from either the veteran Chris Waller-trained Who Shot Thebarman ($8) carrying the 57kg top weight as he tackles the race for a fourth straight year or last start Neville Sellwood Stakes winner Assign ($7).
Earlier we published our exclusive 2017 Sydney Cup Form Guide & Preview and our tips based on the race facts and stats uncovered are detailed below.
#7 Big Duke ($2.60)
Hard to knock a horse going this good and coming back so much in the weights. The Chairman’s win was comprehensive on a wet Randwick track last week and coming back six kilos should see this galloper fly home in his first 3200m attempt. He is flying and with Craig Williams in the saddle he looks a good thing to complete the double last achieved by The Offer (2014), who was also the last favourite in Sydney Cup betting to salute. Right weight, right age, best Win Rate (50%) of the field and is unbeaten on Heavy tracks.
#6 Chance To Dance ($19)
Love the Sydney Cup odds on offer for this Kiwi raider who goes very well in the wet and comes off an Adelaide Cup fourth beaten under three lengths over the two miles. This is a pretty weak edition of the Sydney Cup with only one previous Group 1 winner in the mix, so even though this is a class rise, think he can handle. Has a good 63% Place Rate and the wet track could prove the key. Also coming back in weight (58kg to 53kg).
#10 Penglai Pavilion ($9)
One of two Charlie Appleby-trained raiders in the mix and is an unknown who is being well-backed ($10 into $9). Everything brought over by Appleby and Godolphin in the spring performed and the stable has this son of Monson tipped to do the same. Hasn’t raced since October, but has winning form up to 4220m and in an open race on just 52kg with last year’s winning hoop Kerrin McEvoy aboard he is every chance.
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