Anthony Freedman has the Brisbane Winter Racing...
This afternoon in south Sydney the Illawarra Turf Club will host the Kembla Grange Classic 2017, a smart field of three-year-old fillies facing off in the Group 3 clash.
Running as Race 6 at 4:25pm (AEDT), this season’s $200,000Group 3 Arrowfield Kembla Grange Classic (1600m) originally drew a final field of fifteen hopefuls.
The Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained daughter of Beneteau has won both of her starts this time in, including a three length effort from barrier 12 of 12 over 1400m on February 22 at Rosehill.
Hussterical took on the older mares in that race and will enjoy coming back against a field of fellow fillies for her first test at a mile.
Occupying the second line of Kembla Grange Classic betting in an open market is the early mover Lubiton ($4.20 into $3.50) who gets the rails run from barrier one.
Bjorn Baker prepares the Snitzel filly who is down in class after two fifths in Group 2 company at Royal Randwick in February.
The latest saw her run five lengths off the ATC Oaks-bound winner La Bella Diosa in the Group 2 Surround Stakes (1400m) on a Heavy (9) track.
She is down in grade for this, has winning form up to 1550m and should get a gun run from the inside alley with Glyn Schofield retaining the ride.
The Chris Waller-trained Dawn Wall ($4.20), also chasing a third win on the trot like the favourite, is the other top fancy in the latest Kembla Grange Classic odds this autumn.
The lightly-raced daughter of Fastnet Rock has shown enormous potential over her three start career so far including her smart two length win in a Benchmark 71 over 1800m at Rosehill last month.
She is back down to 1600m this afternoon and that is the query, whether she is too dour for the distance.
Waller also still officially has Dawn Wall accepted for the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) on Coolmore Classic Day this Saturday, a race she is likely to scratch out of in favour of the Kembla Grange Classic.
So will the top three in betting finish in the money or is there an upset Kembla Grange Classic result pending from the likes of the Matthew Smith-trained Faraway Town ($8) or proven miler Ceylon ($10)?
#2 Faraway Town ($8)
Think the value definitely is in this Not A Single Doubt filly who doesn’t have the best winning strike rate, but who shapes-up as a big chance to secure her second win at start number fourteen. Last time out she backed-up from a Magic Millions 3YO Guineas fifth (as a $61 roughie) to finish runner-up to Invincible Gem in the Group 3 Spring Stakes (1600m) on February 13 at Randwick. Beaten nearly four lengths that day, but the form was franked with Invincible Gem backing up for the Randwick Guineas second last weekend. Happy to follow that form line.
#5 Lubiton ($3.50)
Inside run for Baker’s progressive filly who is down in grade off two strong Group 2 efforts behind the season’s best 3YO fillies. Global Glamour and La Bella Diosa are both Group 1 winners and Lubiton’s form around them has been solid. Winning form up to 1550m so the mile doesn’t look a problem. Money is rolling in for her to post her maiden win since the 3.5 length effort at Canterbury in December and she’ll be peaking third-up here.
#3 Hussterical ($3.40)
Hard to knock a filly in this good a form and she’s chasing the hat-trick of wins after Hawkesbury (1100m) and Rosehill (1400m) wins. The latest saw her overcome a very wide alley and she’ll be better from a nice mid-field draw here. Put three lengths on her closest rival over 1400m so the step-up to 1600m shouldn’t be an issue. Favourite could salute for the punters.
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