Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The Australian Cup 2017 is the weight-for-age feature on the ‘Super Saturday’ race card at Flemington Racecourse this weekend, a detailed form guide analysis and betting preview for which can be found below.
There are a dozen smart staying types facing off in the $1.5 million Group 1 Australian Cup (2000m) this Melbourne Autumn Racing Carnival, the feature running as Flemington Race 8 at 4:35pm (AEDT).
It is a star-studded edition of the lead-up into Sydney’s The BMW in a fortnight and five of the runners are currently under double-figures for the win in the Australian Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au.
Battling for top spot in Australian Cup betting are the Darren Weir-trained Humidor ($4.20) and Caulfield Cup winning mare Jameka ($4.40) who both look set to peak.
Four-year-old Humidor is the up-and-comer in the field coming off a second in the Group 2 Peter Young Stakes (1800m), while the Ciaron Maher-trained mare Jameka is a proven Group 1 horse out to improve on her fourth in the same traditional lead-up.
The Peter Young Stakes winner Stratum Star ($6.50) chases a fourth straight turf triumph, while the Robert Hickmott-trained The United States (47.50) will be fitter for his first-up third in the same race.
Below we take a closer look at the full Australian Cup form guide, betting history, race facts and statistics to find the value in the markets this weekend.
2017 Australian Cup Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Australian Cup winner was the Chris Waller-trained Preferment (2016) who won on protest (over Awesome Rock) off a Chipping Norton Stakes fourth in Sydney and who was ridden by Hugh Bowman from barrier 9 (of 10) as a $7 shot in betting
- Waller is without a 2017 runner but the previous Australian Cup winning trainers with a starter on Saturday are: Robert Hickmott (10-1-2-1) with #3 The United States; Gai Waterhouse (9-1-2-1) with #5 Ecuador; Lee Freedman (20-2-1-6) with #6 Exospheric and #8 Tom Melbourne; and David Hayes (24-3-2-5) with #9 Boom Time
- Last year’s official winning hoop Hugh Bowman (2-1-0-0) chases back-to-back wins on #11 Jameka ($4.40) out to be the first successive Australian Cup jockey since Craig Newitt (2006-07)
- The other previous Australian Cup winning jockeys with a ride on Saturday are: Damien Oliver (17-1-3-5) on #6 Exospheric and Glen Boss (12-1-2-1) on #8 Tom Melbourne
- First-past-the-post in 2016 #2 Awesome Rock ($18) is back for a second shot at the Australian Cup and out to atone for the protest loss
- Last year’s winning barrier (9) has produced a total of four Australian Cup winners (since 1983) and belongs on Saturday to #4 Mourinho ($67)
- The most successful Australian Cup barrier in that time with five winners is gate eight drawn this year by #9 Boom Time ($31); Awesome Rock also jumped from barrier 8 in 2016
- Preferment (2016) was the first Australian Cup winner to come off a non-Caulfield lead-up run since Octagonal (1997) who won the Chipping Norton Stakes in his last run
- Every horse in this year’s Australian Cup field comes off a run at Caulfield Racecourse
- The Peter Young Stakes (formerly the St George Stakes) is key lead-up race into the Australian Cup including producing 6 of the past 10 winners and 7 on the trot from 2002 – 2008
- #1 Stratum Star ($6.50) chases the Peter Young Stakes – Australian Cup double last achieved by Fiorente (2014)
- The other Peter Young Stakes graduates in the race this year are: Humidor (2nd), The United States (3rd), Jameka (4th), Real Love (5th), Exospheric (6th), Tally (7th), Mourinho (8th), Tom Melbourne (9th) and Awesome Rock (10th)
- The non-Peter Young Stakes horses coming off a different lead-up are: Ecuador (Futurity Stakes 3rd) and Boom Time (Victoria Cup 1st)
- Just one Australian Cup favourite has won since 2004 with Fiorente (2014); #10 Humidor ($4.20) and #11 Jameka ($4.40) are the best in betting this season
- Only one double-figure hope has saluted in the past seven years – Spillway ($13 in 2015)
- Makybe Diva (2005) is the only Australian Cup winning mare since Dane Ripper (1998); the mares out to break the hoodoo this year are: #11 Jameka and #13 Real Love
- The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #3 The United States (32%) followed by #5 Ecuador (31%), #6 Exospheric (31%), #8 Tom Melbourne (31%) and #10 Humidor (31%)
- The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #10 Humidor (77%) followed by #7 Tally (71%)
- The previous winners at the Flemington track are: #2 Awesome Rock (6-2-2-0), #9 Boom Time (2-2-0-0), #11 Jameka (7-2-1-0), #1 Stratum Star (10-1-1-3), #8 Tom Melbourne (3-1-1-1) and #12 Real Love (3-1-0-1)
- The horses with the best 2000m record over the distance are: #4 Mourinho (13-4-0-3), #3 The United States (6-2-2-0), #11 Jameka (4-2-1-1), #12 Real Love (5-2-1-1), #6 Exospheric (4-2-0-1), #8 Tom Melbourne (6-2-1-0), #9 Boom Time (2-2-0-0) and #10 Humidor (3-2-1-0)
Stay tuned for our insider Australian Cup 2017 betting tips to be published shortly, checking out the full race form guide below in the meantime courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au – home of Odds Boost (T&Cs apply).
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