Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The feature race in Victoria on the weekend is Saturday’s Pakenham Cup 2016, betting tips and the updated odds on the staying showdown found below.
Set to run as Race 7 at 4:40pm (AEDT) as part of a nine event card at the West Gippsland region track, this year’s $200,000 Listed Pakenham Cup (2500m) field is down to 12 starters after the scratchings of #3 Auvray and #11 Sly Romance.
Heading the latest Pakenham Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au at $3.70 and firming for the win is classy import Pilote D’Essai for Lindsay Park.
The Oasis Dream five-year-old comes off a two length win in the Listed Ballarat Cup (2200m) a fortnight back, but rises from 54kg that run to 58kg this weekend.
The favourite’s biggest dangers out to stop him securing back-to-back Cup wins in Victoria are the Aaron Purcell-trained Sandown Cup runner-up over two miles last time out Swacadelic ($4.40) and Robert Hickmott’s Irish import Little White Cloud ($5) having just his third run down under.
So will the top fancies be first past the post in the Pakenham Cup results or is there value further down the markets in the likes of 60kg top weight Puccini ($9) coming off a Ballarat Cup fourth or the Robbie Laing-trained Al Maher mare Cinnamon Carter ($11) who saluted over 3000m at Moonee Valley last start?
#2 Swacadelic ($4.40)
Think this German import is starting to return to his best form. He’s been competitive in plenty of staying races during his time in Australia including the eye-catching Sandown Cup second. Drops from 3200m to 2500m and goes up from 54kg to 56kg, but this is easier company and Craig Williams can help him get the job done. Fit and ready to fire, gets things his way from the midfield draw and should be able to hold these out.
#2 Pilote D’Essai ($3.70)
Plenty of boxes ticked by the favourite who is the class horse in the race. He chases back-to-back cup wins after the success at Ballarat. Track worked in his favour there over 2200m and this is his first shot over more distance. Up in kilos, but was out wide last time and was still impressive. Drawn closer to the rails here and up in weight but still a must include in all exotics.
#10 Thunder Teddington ($13)
Early money rolling in for the Jason Warren-trained market mover and we’re happy to put him in our top three. The raider is only lightly raced with wins in five of his 16 starts to date. Has winning form up to 2800m so these metres should suit. Has had four runs in Australia now without finishing in the money, but the last start fifth over 2000m at Flemington on Emirates Stakes Day showed promise. Trialled well since and gets in on the minimum from barrier two.
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