Anthony Freedman has the Brisbane Winter Racing...
The Manikato Stakes 2016 takes place under the lights at Moonee Valley Racecourse on the eve of Cox Plate Day on Friday night and a full form guide preview and betting analysis on the sprint feature can be found right here.
Running as Moonee Valley Race 7, the $1 million Group 1 Manikato Stakes (1200m) features a below capacity field of 11 hopefuls.
The latest Manikato Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au are firmly led by the Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes-trained Chautauqua who is out to go back-to-back after his win 12 months ago and pays $2.30 to do so.
He got the job done from barrier two last season and is drawn the rails on Friday, a barrier that has produced three of the past seven Manikato Stakes winners.
Chautauqua is second-up following his fourth as the beaten favourite behind Mick Price’s gun three-year-old Extreme Choice at The Valley on September 30 in the Group 1 Moir Stakes (1000m).
He’ll be fitter for that run and has a strong second-up record (7-5-1-0), the six-year-old son of Encosta De Lago also set to appreciate the step-up to his pet distance (15-7-6-1).
His main danger according to the Manikato Stakes betting markets is another Group 1 winning three-year-old out to upset the more experienced sprinter, the Peter & Paul Snowden-trained Capitalist ($6).
As a juvenile Capitalist won the Group 1 Golden Slipper Stakes (1200m) and he chases his first win since in his Melbourne debut in the Manikato.
Also at single-figures for the win are the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained Group 1 winning mare English ($8.50) and the Darren Weir-trained Lucky Hussler ($9).
That’s the story told by the bookies but what about the Manikato Stakes form guide, betting history and statistics?
2016 Manikato Stakes Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Manikato Stakes winner was the Team Hawkes-trained Chautauqua (2015) who came off a win in Flemington’s Group 2 Gilgai Stakes, jumped from barrier 2 (of 10) with Tommy Berry aboard saluting for the punters
- #2 Chautauqua ($2.30) returns in 2016 chasing successive wins in the Manikato Stakes for the first time since Spark Of Life (2004-05)
- This year Chautauqua comes off a fourth in the Group 1 Moir Stakes (1000m), which has produced two of the past three Manikato Stakes winners
- Buffering (2013) and Lankan Rupee (2013) both ran second in the Moir Stakes before their respective Manikato wins
- #1 Buffering ($11) is back this weekend looking for a second victory on non-successive years following a first-up fifth in the Moir Stakes
- The full list of Moir Stakes graduates backing up in the Manikato Stakes field this year is: Chautauqua (4th), Buffering (5th) and Lucky Hussler (7th)
- Along with Chautauqua’s co-trainer John Hawkes (12-2-1-1) the other previous Manikato Stakes winning trainers with a runner this year are: Robert Heathcote (5-1-0-0) with #1 Buffering; Chris Waller (3-1-0-0) with #7 Japonisme, John O’Shea (1-1-0-0) with #9 Holler; and Peter Snowden (3-1-1-1) who co-trains #11 Capitalist with son Paul
- The previous Manikato Stakes winning jockeys with a ride on Friday night are: Damian Browne (4-1-0-0) on #1 Buffering; Glyn Schofield (1-1-0-0) on #7 Japonisme; and dual champ Kerrin McEvoy (6-2-2-1) on #11 Capitalist
- Last year’s winning barrier (2) has produced just one winner (since 1983) and this year #1 Buffering is out to be the second
- The most successful Manikato Stakes barriers in that time with five wins each are 10 and 11; those gates are drawn this year by #3 Lucky Hussler (10) and #6 The Quarterback (11)
- Favourites have a gun recent record in the race with six wins in the past 10 years; #2 Chautauqua is this year’s favourite looking to continue the trend
- Mares have won three times in the past 10 years most recently with Sea Siren (2012); this year #10 English is the only mare taking on the boys in the Manikato
- Five-year-olds have won six of the past 11 editions of the race including back-to-back years; the only 5YO in the mix this year is #8 Fell Swoop ($12)
- Sepoy (2011) was the first three-year-old Manikato Stakes winner since Redoute’s Choice (1999); the 3YO out to buck the trend this year is #11 Capitalist
- The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #11 Capitalist (57%) followed by #8 Fell Swoop (53%) and #2 Chautauqua (52%)
- The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #2 Chautauqua (87%) followed by #11 Capitalist (86%)
- All the horses have top records over the distance (1200m): #1 Buffering (35-12-6-5), #2 Chautauqua (15-7-6-1), #4 Under The Louvre (16-6-2-4), #3 Lucky Hussler (11-4-1-1), #6 The Quarterback (11-4-1-3), #8 Fell Swoop (6-4-1-0), #5 Rebel Dane (18-3-3-4), #7 Japonisme (10-3-0-4), #9 Holler (6-2-2-1), #11 Capitalist (4-2-1-1) and #10 English (4-1-1-1)
- The runners with the best Moonee Valley track record are: #1 Buffering (12-5-1-1), #2 Chautauqua (3-2-0-0), #4 Under The Louvre (4-2-0-1) and #9 Holler (3-2-1-0)
- Previous winners over the Track / Distance are: #1 Buffering (9-3-1-1), #4 Under The Louvre (4-2-0-1), #2 Chautauqua (1-1-0-0), #3 Lucky Hussler (3-1-0-1),
- #5 Rebel Dane ($41) is yet to win at Moonee Valley but from six runs over the track and distance he boasts three thirds making for a nice Place Bet @ Ladbrokes.com.au
Stay tuned for our insider 2016 Manikato Stakes betting tips to be published shortly.
In the meantime see below for the comprehensive form guide provided by Ladbrokes.com.au – home of Enhanced Odds (T&Cs apply).
2016 Manikato Stakes Form Guide
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