Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
A smart field of mares face off in the 2016 Ladies’ Day Vase at Caulfield Racecourse in the last on Blue Sapphire Stakes Day this afternoon, betting tips and the latest odds for the spring showdown found below.
Due to close the card as Caulfield Race 8 at 5:45pm (AEDT), this year’s $150,000 Group 3 Ladies’ Day Vase (1600m) runs with a capacity 16 starters.
Heading the updated Ladies’ Day Vase odds at Ladbrokes.com.au paying $4.60 and firming (in from $5.50) is the widely-drawn Euro Angel for Team Hawkes.
Dwayne Dunn rides the in-form Rip Van Winkle four-year-old from barrier 10 on 55kg, a nice drop from the 59kg she had on her back when runner-up over 1400m at Warwick Farm last start.
She returns to Melbourne for the first time since her second in the Rivette Final (1600m) at Flemington and will appreciate getting back out to a mile and reuniting with Dunn.
Her biggest dangers looking at the latest Ladies’ Day Vase betting markets include Group 2 placed Egypt ($7) form Melbourne Cup winning horseman Mark Kavanagh, the Lindsay Park-trained seven-year-old Gabella ($8) and Peter & Paul Snowden’s Fastnet Rock four-year-old Serene Majesty ($9) who has winning form at the track.
So will the best in betting get across the line first or is there value tipping an upset Ladies’ Day Vase result this afternoon from the likes of Michael Moroney’s last start Caulfield winner Alaskan Rose ($9.50) or the Cindy Alderson-trained Let’s Elope Stakes placegetter two back Manageress ($11)?
#7 Alaskan Rose ($9.50)
Like the value offered for this Encosta De Lago four-year-old who comes off the first-up win over 1400m at the track defeating French Emotion on September 17. That form was franked with the runner-up winning the Group 2 Blazer Stakes (1400m) at Flemington next run. Alaskan Rose has won second-up, is Group 1 performed, is two-from-five at Caulfield and the distance looks ideal two runs in. She’s drawn wide but saluted from a similar gate last start and is well-weighted.
#15 Euro Angel ($4.60)
Money pouring in for the favourite and she has definite class, claims and upside to suggest she can get the job done for the punters if Dunn can give her the right run from the wider alley. He is back on replacing Tommy Berry and this Hawkes-trained mare should enjoy a mile second-up after doing lots wrong in her resuming run. She’s consistent and hasn’t run a bad race yet so think she’ll be improving.
#14 Dulverton ($19)
Nice price on this smoky shot for local trainer Robert Smerdon, the Commands four-year-old coming off a string of top three runs this time in. She has plenty of form over the mile (7-3-1-1) including a trio of wins, the latest two back at Moonee Valley. She also ran at the Valley over 1600m on September 23 for a third last start, beaten only a quarter-length. There’s no denying that’s her pet track and she could struggle at Caulfield, but if she can stay steady around the turn with her regular rider Craig Williams on she’s a top three hope again.
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