2016 Caulfield Cup Form Guide & Betting Preview

October 12, 2016

2016 Caulfield Cup Form Guide & Betting Preview

The Caulfield Cup 2016 takes centre stage in Melbourne this Saturday, October 15, with a class line-up of stayers facing off in the world’s richest mile and a half handicap – a detailed Caulfield Cup form guide analysis and betting preview found below.

Sir John Hawkwood

The Metropolitan winner Sir John Hawkwood has the best 2400m record heading into Saturday’s Caulfield Cup 2016 in Melbourne. Photo: Steve Hart.

Running as Caulfield Race 8 at 4:30pm (ADET) as the only elite level on the 10-race card, this season’s $3 million Group 1 BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m) has attracted a capacity field of 18 starters plus two emergencies.

Just one single-figure hope has won the Caulfield Cup in the past four years when Mongolian Khan ($4) saluted for the punters as last year’s favourite.

Currently four runners in the 2016 Caulfield Cup betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au are under $10 including the clear $3.50 favourite Jameka.

The biggest threats to stop local trainer Ciaron Maher winning his first Caulfield Cup with last year’s Crown Oaks winning mare include the Charlie Appleby-trained UK galloper Scottish ($7.50), fellow international raider Articus ($8.50) and Melbourne Cup winning horseman Darren Weir’s sole runner Real Love ($8.50).

That’s the story told by the bookies but what does the Caulfield Cup form guide, betting history and statistics reveal about who you should back and who you should sack in this staying classic?

2016 Caulfield Cup Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Melbourne Cup winner was New Zealander Mongolian Khan (2015) who came off a third in the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m) and jumped from barrier 6 (of 18) carrying 55kg as the $4 favourite
  • Mongolian Kahn ($4 in 2015) was the first Caulfield Cup favourite since Master O’Reilly (2007) to salute for the punters; this year’s favourite is #11 Jameka ($3.50)
  • Just three single-figure runners in the past decade have won the Caulfield Cup; this year that rules out the favourite #11 Jameka as well as #4 Scottish ($7.50), #9 Articus ($8.50) and #12 Real Love ($8.50)
  • Last year was the first year since Mummify (2nd in 2003) that a Caulfield Cup winner came off a run in the Caulfield Stakes
  • In the past decade the most successful Caulfield Cup lead-up race has been the Turnbull Stakes producing four winners most recently Fawkner (3rd in 203)
  • The Turnbull Stakes graduates in the Caulfield Cup field this year are: Jameka (2nd), Tally (3rd), Preferment (4th), Tarzino (6th), the first emergency De Little Engine (7th), Our Ivanhowe (8th) and Set Square (10th)
  • #16 Fanatic ($101) is out to go back-to-back for New Zealand-trained horses in the Caulfield Cup this weekend
  • Along with the Kiwi Mongolian Khan (2015) two of the other three most recent Caulfield Cup winners were internationally trained with Japan’s Admire Rakti (2014) and French raider Dunaden (2012)
  • The international Caulfield Cup horses in the mix this year are: #4 Scottish, #5 Sir Isaac Newton and #9 Articus
  • #3 Exospheric also has his first run down under in the race, the expat debuting for Lee & Anthony Freedman
  • Last year’s winning Caulfield Cup barrier (6) has produced to winners (since 1983) and belongs this year to #2 Our Ivanhowe ($26)
  • #2 Our Ivanhowe ran third in the Caulfield Cup trifecta last year and is out to go two better this year
  • The most successful Caulfield Cup barrier (since 1983) producing five winners is barrier nine belonging on Saturday to #5 Sir Isaac Newton ($11)
  • Barrier 7 is the next most successful in that time with four winners; barrier 7 belongs this year to #4 Scottish
  • The previous Caulfield Cup winning trainers (since 1983) with a runner on Saturday are: Lee Freedman (31-4-2-2) who co-trains #2 Our Ivanhowe and #3 Exospheric in partnership with his son Anthony; David Hayes (21-2-2-0) who trains #7 Almoonqith in partnership with his son Ben and nephew Tom Dabernig; and Danny O’Brien (8-1-1-2) with #19e De Little Engine
  • The previous Caulfield Cup winning jockeys (since 1983) with a ride on Saturday are: Damien Oliver (21-4-2-1) on #3 Exospheric; Craig Williams (12-2-1-1) on #12 Real Love; Dwayne Dunn (13-1-0-0) on #2 Our Ivanhowe; Kerrin McEvoy (14-1-0-2) on #4 Scottish; Zac Purton (3-1-0-0) on #9 Articus; and Nicholas Hall (5-1-1-0) on #11 Jameka
  • Since Ethereal (2001) the only Caulfield Cup winning mare has been Southern Speed (2011) from the 28 to attempt the feat; the four mares in the mix this year are: #11 Jameka, #12 Real Love, #13 Set Square and #16 Fanatic
  • In the past 20 years 11 four-year-olds have won the Caulfield Cup including Mongolian Khan (2015); the 4YOs in the mix this year are: #6 Tarzino, #10 Tally, #11 Jameka and #16 Fanatic
  • In the past 10 years three six-year-olds have won the Caulfield Cup most recently Fawkner (2013); the 6YOs in the mix this year are: #12 Real Love and #19e De Little Engine
  • Tawqueet (2006) was the last Caulfield Cup winner to come off a Sydney lead-up completing The Metropolitan – Caulfield Cup double for the second year after the success of Railings (2005)
  • #8 Sir John Hawkwood ($16) comes off The Metropolitan win this year
  • The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #9 Articus (44%) followed by #3 Exospheric (40%), #15 Sacred Master (39%) and #17 Pemberley (38%)
  • The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #4 Scottish (82%) followed by #9 Articus (78%), #10 Tally (77%) and #17 Pemberley (75%)
  • Previous winners over the distance (2400m) are: #2 Our Ivanhowe (9-3-0-1), #8 Sir John Hawkwood (7-3-2-0), #12 Real Love (5-1-1-2), #14 Big Memory (6-1-4-0), #3 Exospheric (3-1-0-1), #1 Preferment (3-1-0-0), #15 Sacred Master (2-1-0-0), #7 Almoonqith (4-1-0-0), #16 Fanatic (1-1-0-0), #18 Go Dreaming (1-1-0-0), #19e De Little Engine (3-1-1-0) and #20e Vengeur Masque (1-1-0-0)
  • #3 Scottish (2-0-2-0) has had two runs over the distance for two seconds
  • Previous winners at the track (Caulfield) are: #6 Tarzino (5-1-0-0), #10 Tally (2-1-0-0), #11 Jameka (4-1-1-1), #13 Set Square (5-1-1-0) and #14 Big Memory (7-1-1-1)

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our detailed Caulfield Cup horse form posts as well as the best Caulfield Cup betting tips to be published shortly.

In the meantime check out the comprehensive 2016 Caulfield Cup Form Guide from Ladbrokes.com.au below.

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