Caulfield Racecourse is host to Melbourne’s only stakes race this weekend with the Sir John Monash Stakes 2016 lighting up the track on Saturday, betting tips and the latest odds for the weight-for-age winter feature detailed below.
Due to jump as Caulfield Race 8 at 4:15pm (AEST) on the nine-race program, this season’s $150,000 Group 3 Sir John Monash Stakes (1100m) field features 16 classy sprinters.
Heading the latest Sir John Monash Stakes betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au – home of Odds Boost – at a quote of $4.40 and firming is the David Hayes & Tom Dabernig-trained Fast ‘N’ Rocking.
Dwayne Dunn rides the five-year-old from a mid-field barrier six draw, the horse racing for the first time since his close fourth behind Black Heart Bart in the Group 1 The Goodwood (1200m).
From 16 previous Caulfield runs Fast ‘N’ Rocking has enjoyed three wins, two seconds and a third, but his last run at the track was a 10th to Flamberge in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate (1100m) in late February.
Saturday he faces an easier class of rivals and with a credible fresh record the bookies are taking no chances with the gelding who hasn’t won a race since October last year.
The other best fancied in the Sir John Monash Stakes odds include Mark Kavanagh’s Manhattan Rain mare Wild Rain ($6.50) who has a stellar record over the distance (7-3-3-0), the Ciaron Maher-trained Girl Guide ($6.50) and the 2014 winner Lord Of The Sky ($7).
So will the best in betting finish in the money or is there value tipping an upset Sir John Monash Stakes result from the likes of the Darren Weir-trained Thermal Current ($14) or Runsati ($15) drawn a treat in barrier two?
#6 Thermal Current ($14)
Like the value on offer for this last start Swan Hill winner from the record-breaking stables of Weir. Weir is on fire this season and could bag another winter Black-Type with this Exceed And Excel gelding whose last start produced a Gold Topaz (1200m) victory on June 10. A freshen-up since has the horse ticking along nicely, he goes well fresh, loves the distance (8-2-2-0) and comes off a trial win in the mud. Will get the run of the race from barrier four and has fitness on his side.
#1 Fast ‘N’ Rocking ($4.40)
Lots of boxes ticked by the favourite who is also drawn a treat (6) and has Dunn aboard. The duo combined two back in mid-April for a Group 3 third at Randwick, he’ll enjoy getting back to Caulfield where he is a multiple winner and is a Group 1 performed galloper with plenty of class. Has been a while between runs, but this grade of race suits and he’ll be finishing strongly right up there.
#11 Olivier ($26)
Another big value punt for a place in the Sir John Monash this year and another Weir-trained galloper from the right stable. A five-year-old son of Statue Of Liberty, he was last seen running second (defeated a short half-head) over 1050m in Adelaide on June 25. Three weeks between runs is ideal, has strong form at Caulfield (6-2-1-1) where he won back-to-back races over this distance earlier in the winter. Right track, right distance – if he handles gate 12 and WFA he’s a top three chance for sure.
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