Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
A small but talented field of winter stayers face off in Saturday’s Brisbane Cup 2016 on Stradbroke Handicap Day, betting tips and the latest odds on the mile and a half Eagle Farm showdown detailed below.
Running as Eagle Farm Race 6 at 1:40pm (AEST), this year’s $300,000 Group 2 Evergreen Turf Brisbane Cup (2400m) features only a dozen final acceptors.
Sitting top of the latest Brisbane Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au paying $4.20 is the Darren Weir-trained former WA-trained Perth Cup winning mare Real Love.
She has a wide gate 10 of 12 draw for her and jockey Brad Rawiller to overcome, but plenty of time to do so over a distance the five-year-old daughter of Desert King boasts a good record over (4-1-1-2).
Real Love has been in flying form over the season including her Group 2 Adelaide Cup (3200m) third in mid-March and, more recently, back-to-back Doomben wins during the Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival.
Two back she won the Group 3 JRA Cup (2000m) before her one length success over Puccini in the Group 3 Premier’s Cup (2200m) on May 28.
The two weeks between runs looks ideal for Saturday’s top fancy who will enjoy the extra metres, but who goes up from 58kg last start to 58.5kg on the weekend.
There are a further three hopes in the Brisbane Cup betting markets under $10 for the win with the in-form JRA Cup runner-up Sir John Hawkwood ($5.50), the Gai Waterhouse-trained 59kg top weight Ecuador ($6) in the outside alley and Benzini ($8.50) from NZ who ran a nice third to Real Love in the Premier’s Cup in his maiden run down under.
So can Real Love overcome the weight and extend her winning streak to three straight in Brisbane or is there value further down the markets from the likes of perennial runner-up this campaign Iggi Pop ($11) or the market mover Rudy ($11) for the Gold Coast’s Helen Page?
#3 Real Love ($4.20)
Sticking with the bookies and think Real Love will be hard to hold out based on her star recent form against similar company in Brisbane. She’s a Perth Cup winner over the distance and an Adelaide Cup placegetter over two miles and will relish getting back up to 2400m here. The weight is still manageable, the field size small and on the back of the JRA Cup – Premier’s Cup double she’s come out of the traditional Brisbane Cup lead-up.
#2 Junoob ($11)
Chris Waller trains this rising nine-year-old who may be having his 49th career run on the weekend but who is still racing in nice form. His latest win was the Ballarat Cup (2200m) last November and he comes off the JRA Cup (4th) – Premier’s Cup (6th) lead-up. Last time out he was beaten four lengths carrying 60kg and he will appreciate the drop back to 58.5kg here while the winner (Real Love) goes up a half-kilo.
#1 Ecuador ($6)
Waterhouse’s High Chaparral six-year-old gives the weight away carrying the 59kg top weight, but is in flying form having won his past two on the trot in Sydney including the Listed WJ McKell Cup (2400m) over the same distance at Randwick a fortnight back with a half-kilo extra on his back. He overcame gate 12 of 12 that day and has the same wide alley, which suits his style, this weekend in Brisbane.
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